- The Giants are -3.5 point favorites vs the Jets
- Total (Over/Under): 39.5 points
- Watch this game on NFLN | NFL+
The New York Jets (1-0-0) visit MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Giants (1-0-0) on Aug. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in East Rutherford, NJ.
The – are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Jets vs. Giants Over/Under is total points for the game.
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Jets vs. Giants Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Jets | |||
| Giants |
Jets vs. Giants Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Jets will win this game with 71.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Jets vs Giants Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Jets will cover the spread with 66.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Jets players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Jets Player Prop Bets Today
- Breece Hall has hit the Carries Under in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 90% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Giants players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Theo Johnson has hit the Receptions Over in his last 7 games (+7.50 Units / 92% ROI)
Jets Best Bets:
- The New York Jets have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.30 Units / 72% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.95 Units / 50% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.85 Units / 57% ROI)
Giants Best Bets:
- The New York Giants have covered the 4Q Spread in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 62% ROI)
- The New York Giants have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+6.50 Units / 65% ROI)
- The New York Giants have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.65 Units / 45% ROI)
- The New York Giants have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New York Giants have hit the 2H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+3.84 Units / 77% ROI)
Jets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread last NFL season, the Jets were ( Units / ROI).
- Jets are 5-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.3 Units / -49.65% ROI
- Jets are 10-6 when betting the Over for +3.4 Units / 18.18% ROI
- Jets are 6-10 when betting the Under for -5 Units / ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread last NFL season, the Giants were ( Units / ROI).
- Giants are 3-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.9 Units / -41.58% ROI
- Giants are 6-11 when betting the Over for -6.15 Units / -32.8% ROI
- Giants are 11-6 when betting the Under for +4.4 Units / 23.59% ROI
New York Jets: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Giants
The Jets were winless (0-5) vs top 10 run offenses last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .335.
The Jets were winless (0-6) when allowing 27 or more points last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .183.
The Jets were 1-8 (.111) when not forcing a fumble last season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .418.
The Jets were 1-7 (.125) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — 7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .401.
New York Giants: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Jets
The Giants are 1-9 (.100) vs top 10 pass defenses since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .521.
The Giants were 1-10 (.091) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .402.
The Giants were winless (0-9) when passing for less than 200 yards last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .422.
The Giants were 1-13 (.071) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .399.
Additional Matchup Notes for New York Jets vs. New York Giants
The Giants threw 15 touchdown passes last season — fewest in NFL. The Jets allowed 18 passing TDs last season — T-2nd-fewest in NFL.
The Giants threw for 3,521 passing yards in 17 games (just 207.1 YPG) last season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Jets allowed just 192.6 passing yards per game last season — 4th-best in NFL.
The Giants averaged just 0.9 passing TDs per game last season — worst in NFL. The Jets allowed just 1.1 passing touchdowns per game last season– T-2nd-best in NFL.
The Jets averaged 0.21 epa per play with motion in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 5th-best in NFL. The Giants allowed 0.22 epa per play against motion in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL.
The Jets were successful on 55.9% of pass attempts with motion in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 5th-best in NFL. The Giants allowed a success rate of 57.1% on pass attempts against motion in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Jets threw the ball 59.7% of the time in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 4th-highest in NFL. The Giants allowed 8.0 yards per dropback in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL.
New York Jets Offense: Important Stats
The Jets ran the ball on 28% of plays (36 carries/131 plays) in the red zone last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 49%.
The Jets threw the ball 69% of the time (90 Pass Attempts/131 plays) in the red zone last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Jets averaged -0.24 epa per play on first read passes in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.24.
The Jets ran the ball on 15% of plays (32 carries/210 plays) on 3rd down last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 25%.
New York Giants Offense: Important Stats
The Giants averaged -0.19 epa per play on play action passes last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.09.
The Giants committed 6 turnovers in the red zone last season — 2nd-most in NFL.
The Giants averaged just 8.0 yards per play against open coverage last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 9.3.
The Giants averaged just 4.8 yards per play at home last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.8.
New York Jets Defense: Important Stats
The Jets defense allowed successful plays on 26% of pass attempts from their own territory in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Jets defense has allowed at least 5 yards on 35% of first down plays since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Jets defense allowed successful plays on 22% of pass attempts in the 2nd half in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Jets defense has allowed successful plays on 42% of plays against play action passes since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 49%.
New York Giants Defense: Important Stats
The Giants defense allowed successful plays on 36% of pass attempts with tight coverage last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 23%.
The Giants defense allowed a passer rating of 110.2 on motion plays (218 Pass Attempts) last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 95.8.
The Giants defense allowed a passer rating of 65.7 with tight coverage (122 Pass Attempts) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 28.0.
Offenses facing the Giants targeted TEs 17% of the time (84 Pass Attempts/503 plays) last season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 21%.
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