- The Buccaneers are -7 point favorites vs the Jets
- Total (Over/Under): 43.5 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The New York Jets (0-2-0) visit Raymond James Stadium to take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-0-0) on Sep. 21. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Tampa, FL.
The Buccaneers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -7 (100).
The Jets vs. Buccaneers Over/Under is 43.5 total points for the game.
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Jets vs. Buccaneers Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Jets | +7 -120 | 43.5 -110 | 260 |
| Buccaneers | -7 100 | 43.5 -110 | -325 |
Jets vs. Buccaneers Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Buccaneers will win this game with 77.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Jets vs Buccaneers Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Jets will cover the spread with 70.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Jets players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Jets Player Prop Bets Today
- Braelon Allen has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- Braelon Allen has hit the Carries Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.45 Units / 48% ROI)
- Breece Hall has hit the Carries Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- Braelon Allen has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+4.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- Breece Hall has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+3.85 Units / 56% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Buccaneers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Buccaneers Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Baker Mayfield has hit the TD Passes Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Bucky Irving has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.05 Units / 33% ROI)
- Bucky Irving has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+4.98 Units / 22% ROI)
- Rachaad White has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.85 Units / 60% ROI)
- Cade Otton has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.85 Units / 59% ROI)
Jets Best Bets:
- The New York Jets have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+5.20 Units / 54% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.95 Units / 59% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.80 Units / 35% ROI)
Buccaneers Best Bets:
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+8.72 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+6.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have covered the 4Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.00 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 games (+5.85 Units / 23% ROI)
Jets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Jets are 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Jets are 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -100% ROI
- Jets are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Jets are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / ROI
Buccaneers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Buccaneers are 2-0 (+2 Units / 95.24% ROI).
- Buccaneers are 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.25 Units / 107.14% ROI
- Buccaneers are 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- Buccaneers are 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
New York Jets: Keys to the Game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Jets were winless (0-10) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .389.
The Jets were winless (0-5) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .435.
The Jets were winless (0-4) vs top 10 offenses last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .318.
The Jets were winless (0-5) vs top 10 run offenses last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .335.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Jets
The Buccaneers are 5-1 (.833) vs top 10 run offenses since the 2024 season They play the Jets in Week 3 (Ranks 11th in rushing offense).
The Buccaneers were 3-1 (.750) vs top 10 run offenses last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .335.
The Buccaneers are 5-2 (.714) when not forcing a turnover since the 2024 season — T-2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .286.
The Buccaneers were winless (0-3) when within 3 points at the two minute warning last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
Additional Matchup Notes for New York Jets vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Buccaneers were successful on 66.7% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field last week — 2nd-best in NFL. The Jets allowed a success rate of 61.5% on pass attempts on their own side of the field last week — T-4th-worst in NFL.
Buccaneers RBs have averaged 2.6 yards after contact per carry since the 2024 season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Jets have allowed 2.3 yards after contact per carry since the 2024 season — T-2nd-worst in NFL.
Buccaneers RBs have averaged 2.6 yards after contact per carry since the 2024 season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Jets have allowed 2.3 yards after contact per carry to RBs since the 2024 season — T-5th-worst in NFL.
The Jets had a third down conversion rate of just 0.0% last week — worst in NFL. The Buccaneers defense allowed a third down conversion rate of just 22.2% last week — 2nd-best in NFL.
The Jets have been successful on 75.0% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field this season — best in NFL. The Buccaneers have allowed a success rate of 57.6% on pass attempts on their own side of the field this season — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Jets have been successful on just 28.6% of plays they have run on play action passes this season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Buccaneers have allowed a success rate of just 25.0% on play action passes this season — T-2nd-best in NFL.
New York Jets Offense: Important Stats
The Jets had a third down conversion rate of 0% in Week 2 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
The Jets have 14 of 32 (44%) first downs through the air this season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 64%.
The Jets ran the ball on 28% of plays (36 carries/131 plays) in the red zone last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 49%.
The Jets have 18 of 32 (56%) first downs have come on the ground (56%) this season — 2nd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 36%.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Offense: Important Stats
The Buccaneers have run successful plays on 45% of pass attempts on passes when their QB has been pressured since the 2024 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 32%.
The Buccaneers ran successful plays on 48% of pass attempts on passes when their QB was pressured last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 32%.
The Buccaneers have a third down conversion rate of 32% on third and 10+ yards to go since the 2024 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 18%.
The Buccaneers had a third down conversion rate of 60% in the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 38%.
New York Jets Defense: Important Stats
The Jets defense have allowed 17 broken tackles this season — most in NFL.
The Jets defense has not allowed a late down conversion when opponents had 4-6 yards to go this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 10%.
The Jets defense sacked opponents 14 times in the red zone last season — most in NFL.
The Jets defense allowed an average of 4.1 yards after contact per carry (39 carries) in Week 2 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 2.0.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Defense: Important Stats
The Buccaneers defense blitzed on 25% of plays last season — 2nd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
The Buccaneers defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 22% in Week 2 — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
The Buccaneers defense has allowed 19.3 yards after the catch (174 RAC / 9 receptions) to RBs this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 8.1.
The Buccaneers defense allowed a passer rating of just 50.0 on contested throws (61 Pass Attempts) last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 73.8.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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