- The Jaguars are -3 point favorites vs the Saints
- Total (Over/Under): 40.5 points
- Watch this game on NFLN | NFL+
The Jacksonville Jaguars (0-1-0) visit Caesars Superdome to take on the New Orleans Saints (0-1-0) on Aug. 17. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in New Orleans, LA.
The – are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Jaguars vs. Saints Over/Under is total points for the game.
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Jaguars vs. Saints Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Jaguars | |||
| Saints |
Jaguars vs. Saints Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Saints will win this game with 79.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Jaguars vs Saints Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Jaguars will cover the spread with 70.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Jaguars players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Jaguars Player Prop Bets Today
- Brian Thomas Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.55 Units / 53% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Saints players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Saints Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Foster Moreau has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 43% ROI)
Jaguars Best Bets:
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 away games (+5.95 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 2H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.29 Units / 84% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.95 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 away games (+3.65 Units / 34% ROI)
Saints Best Bets:
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+7.70 Units / 37% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.78 Units / 42% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.45 Units / 30% ROI)
Jaguars Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread last NFL season, the Jaguars were ( Units / ROI).
- Jaguars are 4-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.5 Units / -44.81% ROI
- Jaguars are 9-8 when betting the Over for +0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI
- Jaguars are 8-9 when betting the Under for -1.9 Units / ROI
Saints Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread last NFL season, the Saints were ( Units / ROI).
- Saints are 5-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.75 Units / -35.07% ROI
- Saints are 8-9 when betting the Over for -1.9 Units / -10.16% ROI
- Saints are 9-8 when betting the Under for +0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI
Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Saints
The Jaguars are winless (0-5) when tied at the end of quarter 1 since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Jaguars were 1-7 (.125) on the road last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .476.
The Jaguars were winless (0-3) when committing 60 or more yards in penalties last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .440.
The Jaguars were 3-9 (.250) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season — 8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
New Orleans Saints: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars
The Saints were winless (0-8) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .389.
The Saints were winless (0-4) when passing for less than 200 yards last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .422.
The Saints were winless (0-9) when allowing 22 or more points last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .255.
The Saints were winless (0-6) vs top 10 run defenses last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .300.
Additional Matchup Notes for Jacksonville Jaguars vs. New Orleans Saints
Saints RBs had 42.8 receiving yards per game last season — 5th-best in NFL. The Jaguars averaged 41.2 receiving yards per game allowed to RBs last season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Saints ran just 6.8% offensive plays in the red zone in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL. The Jaguars allowed their opponent to run just 9.7% of plays in the red zone in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 3rd-best in NFL.
Saints RBs averaged 7.9 targets per game last season — highest in NFL. The Jaguars allowed 5.2 receptions per game to RBs last season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Jaguars were successful on just 38.3% of pass attempts with motion last season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Saints allowed a success rate of just 41.9% on pass attempts against motion last season — 4th-best in NFL.
The Jaguars threw 19 touchdown passes last season — T-3rd-fewest in NFL. The Saints allowed 19 passing TDs last season — 4th-fewest in NFL.
The Jaguars averaged just 1.1 passing TDs per game last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL. The Saints allowed just 1.1 passing touchdowns per game last season– T-2nd-best in NFL.
Jacksonville Jaguars Offense: Important Stats
The Jaguars started 6 drives inside opposing territory last season — fewest in NFL.
The Jaguars ran successful plays on 22% of pass attempts on passes when their QB was pressured last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 32%.
The Jaguars had an average time of possession of 26 min and 18 s last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 1,776.
The Jaguars ran 40% of their plays in their opponent’s territory last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
New Orleans Saints Offense: Important Stats
The Saints converted late downs on just 11 of 280 plays (4%) with 7-10 yards to go last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 6%.
The Saints targeted RBs 24% of the time (131 Pass Attempts/551 plays) last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 16%.
The Saints ran successful plays on 40% of pass attempts last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Saints converted first downs on just 4 of 45 plays (9%) when their QB was scrambling last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 22%.
Jacksonville Jaguars Defense: Important Stats
The Jaguars defense allowed a passer rating of 116.3 on motion plays (291 Pass Attempts) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 95.8.
The Jaguars defense allowed a passer rating of 126.0 on 3rd and long (75 Pass Attempts) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 83.1.
The Jaguars defense allowed a passer rating of 127.6 against play action passes (138 Pass Attempts) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 103.1.
The Jaguars defense allowed 71 receptions for 20+ yards last season — most in NFL.
New Orleans Saints Defense: Important Stats
The Saints defense allowed successful plays on 55% of rush attempts on motion plays last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Saints defense allowed 6.6 yards per play in the 2nd half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.7.
The Saints defense has allowed first downs on 37% of pass attempts on 3rd and short since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 56%.
The Saints defense allowed successful plays on 60% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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