- The Dolphins are -3.5 point favorites vs the Jaguars
- Total (Over/Under): 37.5 points
- Watch this game on NFLN | NFL+
The Jacksonville Jaguars (0-1-1) visit Hard Rock Stadium to take on the Miami Dolphins (1-0-1) on Aug. 23. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Miami, FL.
The Dolphins are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The Jaguars vs. Dolphins Over/Under is 37.5 total points for the game.
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Jaguars vs. Dolphins Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Jaguars | +3.5 -110 | 37.5 -110 | +155 |
| Dolphins | -3.5 -110 | 37.5 -110 | -190 |
Jaguars vs. Dolphins Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Dolphins will win this game with 75.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Jaguars vs Dolphins Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Jaguars will cover the spread with 67.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Jaguars players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Jaguars Player Prop Bets Today
- Brian Thomas Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.55 Units / 53% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Dolphins players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dolphins Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jason Sanders has hit the Field Goals Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.60 Units / 56% ROI)
Jaguars Best Bets:
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 away games (+5.95 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 2H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.29 Units / 84% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 away games (+3.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 away games (+3.10 Units / 37% ROI)
Dolphins Best Bets:
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+6.20 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in their last 6 games at home (+6.05 Units / 91% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the Game Total Over in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have covered the 4Q Spread in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the Team Total Over in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 81% ROI)
Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Dolphins
The Jaguars are winless (0-5) when tied at the end of quarter 1 since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Jaguars were 1-7 (.125) on the road last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .476.
The Jaguars were winless (0-3) when committing 60 or more yards in penalties last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .440.
The Jaguars were 3-9 (.250) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season — 8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
Miami Dolphins: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars
The Dolphins were 4-1 (.800) when passing for 250 or more yards last season — T-8th-best in NFL. The Lions allowed 244.0 passing yards per game last season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Dolphins were winless (0-6) when allowing 27 or more points last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .183.
The Dolphins were winless (0-5) vs top 10 run offenses last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .335.
The Dolphins are winless (0-9) vs top 10 run offenses since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .379.
Additional Matchup Notes for Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Miami Dolphins
The Dolphins were successful on just 23.6% of pass attempts when their QB was under pressure last season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Lions had pressured opposing QBs on 27.9% of passing plays last season — 5th-best in NFL.
The Dolphins were 4-1 (.800) when passing for 250 or more yards last season — T-8th-best in NFL. The Lions allowed 244.0 passing yards per game last season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
Dolphins WRs had 8 receiving touchdowns last season — fewest in NFL. The Lions allowed 18 receiving touchdowns last season — T-2nd-fewest in NFL.
The Jaguars were successful on just 38.3% of pass attempts with motion last season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Saints allowed a success rate of just 41.9% on pass attempts against motion last season — 4th-best in NFL.
The Jaguars threw 19 touchdown passes last season — T-3rd-fewest in NFL. The Saints allowed 19 passing TDs last season — 4th-fewest in NFL.
The Jaguars averaged just 1.1 passing TDs per game last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL. The Saints allowed just 1.1 passing touchdowns per game last season– T-2nd-best in NFL.
Jacksonville Jaguars Offense: Important Stats
The Jaguars started 6 drives inside opposing territory last season — fewest in NFL.
The Jaguars ran successful plays on 22% of pass attempts on passes when their QB was pressured last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 32%.
The Jaguars had an average time of possession of 26 min and 18 s last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 1,776.
The Jaguars ran 40% of their plays in their opponent’s territory last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
Miami Dolphins Offense: Important Stats
The Dolphins faced a blitz just 8% of the time last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
The Dolphins faced a blitz 90 times last season — fewest in NFL.
The Dolphins ran successful plays on 24% of pass attempts on passes when their QB was pressured last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 32%.
The Dolphins averaged -0.66 epa per play against tight coverage last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.43.
Jacksonville Jaguars Defense: Important Stats
The Jaguars defense allowed a passer rating of 116.3 on motion plays (291 Pass Attempts) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 95.8.
The Jaguars defense allowed a passer rating of 126.0 on 3rd and long (75 Pass Attempts) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 83.1.
The Jaguars defense allowed a passer rating of 127.6 against play action passes (138 Pass Attempts) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 103.1.
The Jaguars defense allowed 71 receptions for 20+ yards last season — most in NFL.
Miami Dolphins Defense: Important Stats
The Dolphins defense allowed -0.42 epa per play on contested throws last season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.06.
The Dolphins defense allowed a passer rating of just 32.5 on contested throws (53 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 73.8.
The Dolphins defense allowed just 3.3 yards per play on contested throws last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.3.
The Dolphins defense allowed successful plays on 24% of plays on contested throws last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 35%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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