- The Broncos are -3 point favorites vs the Jaguars
- Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The Jacksonville Jaguars (10-4-0) visit Empower Field at Mile High to take on the Denver Broncos (12-2-0) on Dec. 21. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05pm EST in Denver, CO.
The Broncos are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).
The Jaguars vs. Broncos Over/Under is 46.5 total points for the game.
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Jaguars vs. Broncos Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Jaguars vs. Broncos Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Broncos will win this game with 59.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Jaguars vs Broncos Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Jaguars will cover the spread with 53.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Jaguars players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Jaguars Player Prop Bets Today
- Trevor Lawrence has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 63% ROI)
- Bhayshul Tuten has hit the Carries Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- Bhayshul Tuten has hit the Longest Rush Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Bhayshul Tuten has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 41% ROI)
- Dyami Brown has hit the Longest Reception Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 61% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Broncos players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Broncos Player Prop Best Bets Today
- RJ Harvey has hit the Longest Rush Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.80 Units / 59% ROI)
- Pat Bryant has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Courtland Sutton has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.85 Units / 63% ROI)
- Bo Nix has hit the Completions Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- Marvin Mims Jr. has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 86% ROI)
Jaguars Best Bets:
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+6.75 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 games (+6.10 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+5.00 Units / 23% ROI)
Broncos Best Bets:
- The Denver Broncos have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 games (+12.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 2H Moneyline in their last 8 games at home (+8.30 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+7.10 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have covered the 2H Spread in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.85 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have covered the 4Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.80 Units / 62% ROI)
Jaguars Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Jaguars are 9-5 (+3.5 Units / 22.73% ROI).
- Jaguars are 10-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.35 Units / 28.82% ROI
- Jaguars are 8-6 when betting the Over for +1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI
- Jaguars are 6-8 when betting the Under for -2.8 Units / ROI
Broncos Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Broncos are 6-8 (-2.7 Units / -17.65% ROI).
- Broncos are 12-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.55 Units / 31.56% ROI
- Broncos are 6-8 when betting the Over for -2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI
- Broncos are 8-6 when betting the Under for +1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI
Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Broncos
Broncos WRs have 182 receptions in 14 games (13.0 per game) this season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Jaguars have allowed 23.6 receptions per game this season — T-3rd-worst in NFL.
Broncos WRs have 182 receptions in 14 games (13.0 per game) this season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Jaguars have allowed 12.9 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-3rd-worst in NFL.
The Broncos have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 19.7% of pass attempts since the 2024 season — T-3rd-best in NFL. The Jaguars have pressured opposing QBs on just 20.0% of passing plays since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
Denver Broncos: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars
The Jaguars have a third down conversion rate of just 29.6% in the fourth quarter this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Broncos defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 22.0% in the 4th quarter this season — 2nd-best in NFL.
The Jaguars have been successful on just 31.8% of rush attempts against a base rush this season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Broncos have allowed a success rate of just 36.4% on rush attempts with a base rush this season — 2nd-best in NFL.
The Jaguars have been successful on just 22.8% of pass attempts when their QB was under pressure since the 2024 season — worst in NFL. The Broncos have pressured opposing QBs on 31.2% of passing plays since the 2024 season — T-best in NFL.
Additional Matchup Notes for Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Denver Broncos
The Jaguars have a third down conversion rate of just 29.6% in the fourth quarter this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Broncos defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 22.0% in the 4th quarter this season — 2nd-best in NFL.
The Jaguars have been successful on just 31.8% of rush attempts against a base rush this season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Broncos have allowed a success rate of just 36.4% on rush attempts with a base rush this season — 2nd-best in NFL.
The Jaguars have been successful on just 22.8% of pass attempts when their QB was under pressure since the 2024 season — worst in NFL. The Broncos have pressured opposing QBs on 31.2% of passing plays since the 2024 season — T-best in NFL.
Broncos WRs have 182 receptions in 14 games (13.0 per game) this season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Jaguars have allowed 23.6 receptions per game this season — T-3rd-worst in NFL.
Broncos WRs have 182 receptions in 14 games (13.0 per game) this season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Jaguars have allowed 12.9 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-3rd-worst in NFL.
The Broncos have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 19.7% of pass attempts since the 2024 season — T-3rd-best in NFL. The Jaguars have pressured opposing QBs on just 20.0% of passing plays since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
Jacksonville Jaguars Offense: Important Stats
Broncos WRs have 182 receptions in 14 games (13.0 per game) this season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Jaguars have allowed 23.6 receptions per game this season — T-3rd-worst in NFL.
Broncos WRs have 182 receptions in 14 games (13.0 per game) this season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Jaguars have allowed 12.9 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-3rd-worst in NFL.
The Broncos have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 19.7% of pass attempts since the 2024 season — T-3rd-best in NFL. The Jaguars have pressured opposing QBs on just 20.0% of passing plays since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
Denver Broncos Offense: Important Stats
The Jaguars have a third down conversion rate of just 29.6% in the fourth quarter this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Broncos defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 22.0% in the 4th quarter this season — 2nd-best in NFL.
The Jaguars have been successful on just 31.8% of rush attempts against a base rush this season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Broncos have allowed a success rate of just 36.4% on rush attempts with a base rush this season — 2nd-best in NFL.
The Jaguars have been successful on just 22.8% of pass attempts when their QB was under pressure since the 2024 season — worst in NFL. The Broncos have pressured opposing QBs on 31.2% of passing plays since the 2024 season — T-best in NFL.
Jacksonville Jaguars Defense: Important Stats
Broncos WRs have 182 receptions in 14 games (13.0 per game) this season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Jaguars have allowed 23.6 receptions per game this season — T-3rd-worst in NFL.
Broncos WRs have 182 receptions in 14 games (13.0 per game) this season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Jaguars have allowed 12.9 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-3rd-worst in NFL.
The Broncos have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 19.7% of pass attempts since the 2024 season — T-3rd-best in NFL. The Jaguars have pressured opposing QBs on just 20.0% of passing plays since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
Denver Broncos Defense: Important Stats
The Jaguars have a third down conversion rate of just 29.6% in the fourth quarter this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Broncos defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 22.0% in the 4th quarter this season — 2nd-best in NFL.
The Jaguars have been successful on just 31.8% of rush attempts against a base rush this season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Broncos have allowed a success rate of just 36.4% on rush attempts with a base rush this season — 2nd-best in NFL.
The Jaguars have been successful on just 22.8% of pass attempts when their QB was under pressure since the 2024 season — worst in NFL. The Broncos have pressured opposing QBs on 31.2% of passing plays since the 2024 season — T-best in NFL.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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