- The Bengals are -3.5 point favorites vs the Jaguars
- Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
- Watch this game on CBS
The Jacksonville Jaguars (1-0-0) visit Paycor Stadium to take on the Cincinnati Bengals (1-0-0) on Sep. 14. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
The Bengals are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).
The Jaguars vs. Bengals Over/Under is 49.5 total points for the game.
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Jaguars vs. Bengals Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Jaguars | ++3.5 -115 | 49.5 -110 | 155 |
| Bengals | -3.5 -105 | 49.5 -110 | -190 |
Jaguars vs. Bengals Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Bengals will win this game with 64.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Jaguars vs Bengals Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Jaguars will cover the spread with 69.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bengals players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Bengals Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Noah Fant has hit the Receptions Over in his last 10 games (+10.75 Units / 83% ROI)
- Joe Burrow has hit the TD Passes Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.20 Units / 38% ROI)
- Joe Burrow has hit the Carries Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.05 Units / 51% ROI)
- Joe Burrow has hit the Completions Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.85 Units / 67% ROI)
- Ja’Marr Chase has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 86% ROI)
Bengals Best Bets:
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+4.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.80 Units / 19% ROI)
Jaguars Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Jaguars are (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Jaguars are 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 45.45% ROI
- Jaguars are 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Jaguars are 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / ROI
Bengals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bengals are 0-1 (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- Bengals are 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 44.44% ROI
- Bengals are 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Bengals are 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals
The Jaguars were winless (0-5) vs top 10 run defenses last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .300.
The Jaguars were winless (0-5) vs top 10 offenses last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .318.
The Jaguars were 2-12 (.143) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .399.
The Jaguars were 3-10 (.231) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays last season — 8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .435.
Cincinnati Bengals: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars
The Bengals were winless (0-4) whe trailing at the end of the first half last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .243.
The Bengals were 7-1 (.875) vs bottom 10 offenses last season — 9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .729.
The Bengals were winless (0-4) vs top 10 offenses last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .318.
The Bengals were 3-1 (.750) when rushing for 120 or more yards last season — 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .646.
Additional Matchup Notes for Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Cincinnati Bengals
The Bengals ran 53.0% offensive plays on their opponent’s side of the field last season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Jaguars allowed their opponents to run50.5% of plays in their territory last season — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Bengals were successful on 50.6% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field last season — 4th-best in NFL. The Jaguars allowed a success rate of 52.4% on pass attempts on their own side of the field last season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Bengals threw the ball 60.4% of the time last season — highest in NFL. The Jaguars allowed 7.5 yards per dropback last season — worst in NFL.
The Jaguars ran 57.4% offensive plays on their opponent’s side of the field last week — 5th-best in NFL. The Bengals allowed their opponents to run60.6% of plays in their territory last week — 2nd-worst in NFL.
Jacksonville Jaguars Offense: Important Stats
The Jaguars started 6 drives inside opposing territory last season — fewest in NFL.
The Jaguars ran successful plays on 10% of plays in the 3rd quarter in Week 1 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
The Jaguars ran successful plays on 22% of pass attempts on passes when their QB was pressured last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 32%.
The Jaguars faced a blitz 40% of the time on 3rd and short in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
Cincinnati Bengals Offense: Important Stats
The Bengals ran successful plays on 50% of pass attempts on passes when their QB was pressured last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 32%.
The Bengals went three and out on 60% of their drives in Week 1 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 23%.
The Bengals threw 2.5 TD passes per game (43/17) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 1.5.
The Bengals converted first downs on 49 of 157 plays (31%) on plays when their QB was pressured last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 19%.
Jacksonville Jaguars Defense: Important Stats
The Jaguars defense allowed a passer rating of 126.0 on 3rd and long (75 Pass Attempts) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 83.1.
The Jaguars defense allowed 71 receptions for 20+ yards last season — most in NFL.
The Jaguars defense allowed 8 TDs on first drive of the game last season — most in NFL.
The Jaguars defense allowed 403.5 yards from scrimmage per game last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 353.3.
Cincinnati Bengals Defense: Important Stats
The Bengals defense allowed 9 broken tackles in Week 1 — most in NFL.
The Bengals defense allowed an average of 1.6 yards after contact per carry (467 carries) last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: 2.0.
The Bengals defense has allowed an average of 1.6 yards after contact per carry (938 carries) since the 2023 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: 1.9.
The Bengals defense allowed successful plays on 52% of plays in the 1st quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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