- The Commanders are -6 point favorites vs the Giants
- Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The New York Giants (0-0-0) visit Northwest Stadium to take on the Washington Commanders (0-0-0) on Sep. 7. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Landover, MD.
The Commanders are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -6 (-110).
The Giants vs. Commanders Over/Under is 45.5 total points for the game.
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Giants vs. Commanders Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +6 -110 | 45.5 -105 | +225 |
| Commanders | -6 -110 | 45.5 -115 | -275 |
Giants vs. Commanders Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Commanders will win this game with 82.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Giants vs Commanders Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Giants will cover the spread with 53.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Giants players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today
- Russell Wilson has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 6 away games (+8.10 Units / 91% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Commanders players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Commanders Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Matt Gay has hit the Field Goals Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.85 Units / 49% ROI)
Giants Best Bets:
- The New York Giants have covered the 4Q Spread in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 62% ROI)
- The New York Giants have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+6.50 Units / 65% ROI)
- The New York Giants have hit the 1H Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- The New York Giants have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New York Giants have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+2.89 Units / 15% ROI)
Commanders Best Bets:
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.80 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+6.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have covered the 2Q Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+4.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.60 Units / 65% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Giants were 3-0 (+3 Units / 92.31% ROI).
- Giants are 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.3 Units / 68.75% ROI
- Giants are 3-0 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Giants are 0-3 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / ROI
Commanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Commanders were 0-3 (-3.3 Units / -100% ROI).
- Commanders are 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -100% ROI
- Commanders are 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.69% ROI
- Commanders are 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.25 Units / -37.31% ROI
New York Giants: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Commanders
The Giants were 1-10 (.091) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .402.
The Giants were 1-8 (.111) at home last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .524.
The Giants were 2-5 (.286) when sacking the QB 3 or more times last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .664.
The Giants were winless (0-4) vs top 10 pass defenses last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .553.
Washington Commanders: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Giants
The Commanders were 9-2 (.818) when rushing for 120 or more yards last season — 5th-best in NFL. The Giants allowed an average of 137.4 rushing yards per game last season — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Commanders were winless (0-4) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Commanders were undefeated (5-0) when the opposing team commits 60 yards or more in penalties. last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .560.
The Commanders were 8-2 (.800) after a win last season — 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .588.
Additional Matchup Notes for New York Giants vs. Washington Commanders
The Commanders were successful on 57.9% of pass attempts on play action passes last season — 5th-best in NFL. The Giants allowed a success rate of 60.7% on pass attempts on play action passes last season — worst in NFL.
The Commanders threw 12 touchdown passes in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — T-2nd-most in NFL. The Giants allowed 9 passing TDs in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — T-4th-most in NFL.
The Commanders were 9-2 (.818) when rushing for 120 or more yards last season — 5th-best in NFL. The Giants allowed an average of 137.4 rushing yards per game last season — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Giants were successful on just 25.0% of rush attempts on play action passes last season — T-worst in NFL. The Commanders allowed a success rate of just 40.0% on rush attempts on play action passes last season — T-4th-best in NFL.
The Giants were successful on just 41.7% of pass attempts with motion last season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Commanders allowed a success rate of just 41.3% on pass attempts against motion last season — 3rd-best in NFL.
Giants TEs had just 28.6 receiving yards per game last season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Commanders allowed an average of just 39.9 receiving yards per game to TEs last season — 5th-best in NFL.
New York Giants Offense: Important Stats
The Giants committed 6 turnovers in the red zone last season — 2nd-most in NFL.
The Giants scored 3.4 points per Red Zone drive last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: 4.3.
The Giants averaged just 4.8 yards per play at home last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.8.
The Giants ran successful plays on 23% of pass attempts against a heavy rush last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
Washington Commanders Offense: Important Stats
The Commanders ran 22% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
The Commanders started 10 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 2nd half last season — fewest in NFL.
The Commanders averaged 0.56 epa per play against a stacked front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.09.
The Commanders scored on 52% of their drives (26/50) in the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 35%.
New York Giants Defense: Important Stats
The Giants defense allowed a passer rating of 65.7 with tight coverage (122 Pass Attempts) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 28.0.
The Giants defense allowed successful plays on 36% of pass attempts with tight coverage last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 23%.
The Giants defense allowed -0.10 epa per play with tight coverage last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.43.
Offenses facing the Giants targeted TEs 17% of the time (84 Pass Attempts/503 plays) last season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 21%.
Washington Commanders Defense: Important Stats
The Commanders defense has allowed 64 TD passes since the 2023 season — most in NFL.
The Commanders defense has allowed scores on 49% of opponent drives (52/105) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 34%.
The Commanders defense has allowed 4.3 TDs per interception (64 TDs allowed, and 15 INT) since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.9.
The Commanders defense allowed scores on 56% of opponent drives (43/77) in the 2nd half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 37%.
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