Giants vs Bears Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 10

BetMGM Betting Nov 07, 2025, 10:52 AM

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Chicago Bears fans cheer during the first half of an NFL football game against the Carolina Panthers, Sunday, Oct. 6, 2024, in Chicago. The Bears defeated the Panthers 36-10. (AP Photo/Kamil Krzaczynski)

(AP Photo/Kamil Krzaczynski)

The Bears are -4.5 point favorites vs the Giants
Total (Over/Under): 47 points
Watch this game on FOX

The New York Giants (2-7-0) visit Soldier Field to take on the Chicago Bears (5-3-0) on Nov. 9. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Chicago, IL.

The Bears are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Giants vs. Bears Over/Under is 47 total points for the game.

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Giants vs. Bears Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Giants	+4.5 -110	47 -110	185
Bears	-4.5 -110	47 -110	-225

Giants vs. Bears Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Bears will win this game with 62.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Giants vs Bears Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Giants will cover the spread with 55.2% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Giants players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

Darius Slayton has hit the Receptions Under in his last 7 away games (+7.05 Units / 64% ROI)
Wan’Dale Robinson has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.20 Units / 28% ROI)
Jaxson Dart has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 6 games (+6.05 Units / 51% ROI)
Darius Slayton has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.85 Units / 60% ROI)
Wan’Dale Robinson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+4.05 Units / 21% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bears players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Bears Player Prop Best Bets Today

Cole Kmet has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.20 Units / 38% ROI)
Olamide Zaccheaus has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 86% ROI)
Rome Odunze has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.25 Units / 32% ROI)
Caleb Williams has hit the Interceptions Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+5.65 Units / 28% ROI)
D’Andre Swift has hit the Longest Rush Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.95 Units / 61% ROI)

Giants Best Bets:

The New York Giants have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+3.95 Units / 18% ROI)
The New York Giants have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.85 Units / 43% ROI)
The New York Giants have covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.70 Units / 18% ROI)
The New York Giants have hit the 1H Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.65 Units / 30% ROI)
The New York Giants have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.55 Units / 17% ROI)

Bears Best Bets:

The Chicago Bears have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.50 Units / 32% ROI)
The Chicago Bears have hit the 1H Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.75 Units / 43% ROI)
The Chicago Bears have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.70 Units / 39% ROI)
The Chicago Bears have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.46 Units / 19% ROI)
The Chicago Bears have covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.25 Units / 16% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Giants are 4-5 (-1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI).

Giants are 2-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.55 Units / -17.22% ROI
Giants are 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
Giants are 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / ROI

Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Bears are 5-3 (+1.75 Units / 20% ROI).

Bears are 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.2 Units / 32.99% ROI
Bears are 5-2 when betting the Over for +2.8 Units / 31.82% ROI
Bears are 2-5 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -39.77% ROI

New York Giants: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears

The Bears defense allowed 10 receptions for 20+ yards in Week 9 — most in NFL.

The Bears defense has allowed successful plays on 64% of plays against play action passes this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 49%.

The Bears defense has averaged a turnover percentage of 4% (19 / 463) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 2%.

The Bears defense has allowed successful plays on 75% of pass attempts open coverage this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 61%.

Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Giants

The Bears have averaged 8.1 yards per play in the 2nd half since Week 6 — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 5.7.

The Bears scored on 73% of their drives (8/11) in Week 9 — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

The Bears have started 14 drives inside their own 20 yard line this season — T-fewest in NFL.

The Bears have started 5 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 1st half this season — fewest in NFL.

Additional Matchup Notes for New York Giants vs. Chicago Bears