- The Cowboys are -2.5 point favorites vs the Falcons
- Total (Over/Under): 36.5 points
- Watch this game on NFLN | NFL+
The Atlanta Falcons (0-2-0) visit AT&T Stadium to take on the Dallas Cowboys (0-2-0) on Aug. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
The Cowboys are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Falcons vs. Cowboys Over/Under is 36.5 total points for the game.
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Falcons vs. Cowboys Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Falcons | +2.5 -110 | 36.5 -115 | +125 |
| Cowboys | -2.5 -110 | 36.5 -105 | -150 |
Falcons vs. Cowboys Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Cowboys will win this game with 71.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Falcons vs Cowboys Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Cowboys will cover the spread with 75.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Falcons players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Falcons Player Prop Bets Today
- Bijan Robinson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.55 Units / 56% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Cowboys players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cowboys Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Brandon Aubrey has hit the Field Goals Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+9.45 Units / 35% ROI)
Falcons Best Bets:
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.80 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 away games (+4.60 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have covered the 3Q Spread in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.35 Units / 35% ROI)
Cowboys Best Bets:
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.85 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have covered the 2Q Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 games (+4.80 Units / 31% ROI)
Atlanta Falcons: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys
The Falcons were 7-3 (.700) when forcing 1 or more turnovers last season — 9th-best in NFL. The Titans turned the ball over 33 times last season — T-most in NFL.
The Falcons were undefeated (4-0) when not throwing an interception last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .619.
The Falcons were 7-3 (.700) when forcing 1 or more turnovers last season — 9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .593.
The Falcons were 1-5 (.167) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes last season — T-3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .433.
Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Falcons
The Cowboys were 1-7 (.125) when throwing at least 1 interception last season — 6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .376.
The Cowboys were 2-7 (.222) at home last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .524.
The Cowboys were 2-9 (.182) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays last season — T-6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .402.
The Cowboys were 1-6 (.143) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
Additional Matchup Notes for Atlanta Falcons vs. Dallas Cowboys
Cowboys WRs averaged 23.4 targets per game last season — 3rd-highest in NFL. The Ravens allowed 12.9 receptions per game to WRs last season — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Cowboys scored just 3.4 points per Red Zone drive last season — T-worst in NFL. The Ravens allowed just 3.9 points per Red Zone drive last season — T-3rd-best in NFL.
The Cowboys were successful on just 21.7% of pass attempts against a heavy rush last season — worst in NFL. The Ravens allowed a success rate of just 36.8% on pass attempts with a heavy rush last season — 5th-best in NFL.
The Falcons were successful on 85.7% of rush attempts on play action passes last season — best in NFL. The Titans allowed a success rate of 68.8% on rush attempts on play action passes last season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Falcons ran 57.2% offensive plays on their opponent’s side of the field in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Titans allowed their opponents to run53.1% of plays in their territory in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 5th-worst in NFL.
Falcons RBs averaged 2.5 yards after contact per carry in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — T-3rd-best in NFL. The Titans allowed 2.8 yards after contact per carry in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL.
Atlanta Falcons Offense: Important Stats
The Falcons averaged -0.95 epa per play when their QB was scrambling last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.30.
The Falcons ran successful plays on 61% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Falcons went three and out on 11% of their drives last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 21%.
The Falcons ran successful plays on 50% of rush attempts last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
Dallas Cowboys Offense: Important Stats
The Cowboys committed 9 turnovers in the red zone last season — most in NFL.
The Cowboys averaged 0.00 epa per play on first read passes last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.21.
The Cowboys ran successful plays on 25% of rush attempts on play action passes last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: 53%.
The Cowboys have committed 13 turnovers in the red zone since the 2023 season — most in NFL.
Atlanta Falcons Defense: Important Stats
The Falcons defense allowed successful plays on 72% of plays with a stacked front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Falcons defense allowed 27 TD passes in the red zone last season — T-most in NFL.
The Falcons defense averaged a sack every 19.6 pass attempts (609 Pass Attempts/31 Sacks) last season — 2nd-worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 14.6.
The Falcons defense sacked opposing QBs on just 5% of pass attempts (31/609) last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 7%.
Dallas Cowboys Defense: Important Stats
The Cowboys defense hurried opposing QBs on 22% of pass attempts last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 16%.
The Cowboys defense sacked opposing QBs on 9% of pass attempts (52/564) last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 7%.
The Cowboys defense allowed 23 rushing TDs in the red zone last season — most in NFL.
The Cowboys defense have allowed -0.66 epa per play with tight coverage since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.47.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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