Falcons vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 16

• The Falcons are -2.5 point favorites vs the Cardinals
• Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
• Watch this game on FOX

The Atlanta Falcons (5-9-0) visit State Farm Stadium to take on the Arizona Cardinals (3-11-0) on Dec. 21. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05pm EST in Glendale, AZ.

The Falcons are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Falcons vs. Cardinals Over/Under is 47.5 total points for the game.

Bet now on Cardinals vs Falcons & all NFL games with BetMGM

Falcons vs. Cardinals Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Falcons vs. Cardinals Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Falcons will win this game with 56.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Falcons vs Cardinals Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Cardinals will cover the spread with 54.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

Bet now on Cardinals vs Falcons and all NFL games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Falcons players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Falcons Player Prop Bets Today

• Kyle Pitts has hit the Longest Reception Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 66% ROI)
• Darnell Mooney has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+5.15 Units / 30% ROI)
• Drake London has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.45 Units / 29% ROI)
• Darnell Mooney has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.40 Units / 26% ROI)
• Kyle Pitts has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 10 away games (+3.95 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Cardinals players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today

• Jacoby Brissett has hit the TD Passes Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+9.60 Units / 96% ROI)
• Jacoby Brissett has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 87% ROI)
• Jacoby Brissett has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 64% ROI)
• Michael Carter has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 89% ROI)
• Jacoby Brissett has hit the Completions Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Falcons Best Bets:

• The Atlanta Falcons have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.20 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+5.90 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Atlanta Falcons have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.00 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.35 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Atlanta Falcons have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 20 games (+2.25 Units / 10% ROI)

Cardinals Best Bets:

• The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.50 Units / 44% ROI)
• The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 2H Game Total Over in their last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 87% ROI)
• The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 1H Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.55 Units / 46% ROI)
• The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+4.00 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Arizona Cardinals have covered the 3Q Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.85 Units / 18% ROI)

Falcons Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Falcons are 7-7 (-0.7 Units / -4.53% ROI).

• Falcons are 5-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.1 Units / -35.32% ROI
• Falcons are 7-6 when betting the Over for +0.4 Units / 2.6% ROI
• Falcons are 6-7 when betting the Under for -1.7 Units / ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Cardinals are 6-8 (-2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI).

• Cardinals are 3-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.7 Units / -50.59% ROI
• Cardinals are 9-5 when betting the Over for +3.5 Units / 22.73% ROI
• Cardinals are 5-9 when betting the Under for -4.9 Units / -31.82% ROI

Atlanta Falcons: Keys to the Game vs. the Arizona Cardinals

The Falcons have a third down conversion rate of 32% this season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

The Falcons have converted late downs on just 12 of 186 plays (7%) with 4-6 yards to go this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 10%.

The Falcons have a third down conversion rate of 7% on third and 10+ yards to go this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

15 of the Falcons offense’s 31 (48%) TDs have come through the air this season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 61%.

Arizona Cardinals: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Falcons

Cardinals WRs have averaged just 3.8 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Falcons have allowed just 3.5 yards after catch per reception to WRs since the 2024 season — best in NFL.

The Cardinals have thrown the ball 53.9% of the time in the red zone since the 2024 season — 4th-highest in NFL. The Falcons have allowed a completion rate of 67.3% when defending in the red zone since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst in NFL.

The Cardinals have thrown the ball 53.9% of the time in the red zone since the 2024 season — 4th-highest in NFL. The Falcons have allowed 41 receiving touchdowns when defending in the red zone since the 2024 season — 2nd-most in NFL.

Additional Matchup Notes for Atlanta Falcons vs. Arizona Cardinals

Cardinals WRs have averaged just 3.8 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Falcons have allowed just 3.5 yards after catch per reception to WRs since the 2024 season — best in NFL.

The Cardinals have thrown the ball 53.9% of the time in the red zone since the 2024 season — 4th-highest in NFL. The Falcons have allowed a completion rate of 67.3% when defending in the red zone since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst in NFL.

The Cardinals have thrown the ball 53.9% of the time in the red zone since the 2024 season — 4th-highest in NFL. The Falcons have allowed 41 receiving touchdowns when defending in the red zone since the 2024 season — 2nd-most in NFL.

The Falcons have a third down conversion rate of 32% this season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

The Falcons have converted late downs on just 12 of 186 plays (7%) with 4-6 yards to go this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 10%.

The Falcons have a third down conversion rate of 7% on third and 10+ yards to go this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

15 of the Falcons offense’s 31 (48%) TDs have come through the air this season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 61%.

Atlanta Falcons Offense: Important Stats

The Falcons have a third down conversion rate of 32% this season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

The Falcons have converted late downs on just 12 of 186 plays (7%) with 4-6 yards to go this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 10%.

The Falcons have a third down conversion rate of 7% on third and 10+ yards to go this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

15 of the Falcons offense’s 31 (48%) TDs have come through the air this season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 61%.

Arizona Cardinals Offense: Important Stats

Cardinals WRs have averaged just 3.8 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Falcons have allowed just 3.5 yards after catch per reception to WRs since the 2024 season — best in NFL.

The Cardinals have thrown the ball 53.9% of the time in the red zone since the 2024 season — 4th-highest in NFL. The Falcons have allowed a completion rate of 67.3% when defending in the red zone since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst in NFL.

The Cardinals have thrown the ball 53.9% of the time in the red zone since the 2024 season — 4th-highest in NFL. The Falcons have allowed 41 receiving touchdowns when defending in the red zone since the 2024 season — 2nd-most in NFL.

Atlanta Falcons Defense: Important Stats

The Falcons have a third down conversion rate of 32% this season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

The Falcons have converted late downs on just 12 of 186 plays (7%) with 4-6 yards to go this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 10%.

The Falcons have a third down conversion rate of 7% on third and 10+ yards to go this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

15 of the Falcons offense’s 31 (48%) TDs have come through the air this season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 61%.

Arizona Cardinals Defense: Important Stats

Cardinals WRs have averaged just 3.8 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Falcons have allowed just 3.5 yards after catch per reception to WRs since the 2024 season — best in NFL.

The Cardinals have thrown the ball 53.9% of the time in the red zone since the 2024 season — 4th-highest in NFL. The Falcons have allowed a completion rate of 67.3% when defending in the red zone since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst in NFL.

The Cardinals have thrown the ball 53.9% of the time in the red zone since the 2024 season — 4th-highest in NFL. The Falcons have allowed 41 receiving touchdowns when defending in the red zone since the 2024 season — 2nd-most in NFL.

Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,500? Bet now on Cardinals vs Falcons and all NFL games with BetMGM

More NFL Betting Predictions:

• Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
• Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
• Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
• Passing Yards Prop Predictions
• Receptions Made Prop Predictions
• Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
• Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
• QB Interception Prop Predictions
• Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
• NFL Betting Previews: Every Game

More NFL Odds at BetMGM

Take your football entertainment to the next level with NFL betting at the online sportsbook.

From futures like Chiefs Super Bowl odds, Lions odds to win the division, or Ravens playoff odds, to weekly odds like spreads, moneylines, and over/under totals, there’s something for everyone.

And with the best sportsbook promotions, you could land a welcome offer, sports betting Odds Boost, or a Parlay Boost! You can also check out NFL picks and predictions and updated Super Bowl predictions throughout the year.

Log in to your BetMGM account today — or sign up for a new account via the online sportsbook or BetMGM iOS app or BetMGM Android app — to start betting!