Eagles vs. Commanders Prediction: NFC Championship Odds, Betting Picks

It’s an NFC East rubber match in the NFC Championship game as the Eagles are set to host the Commanders. 

Philadelphia escaped with a 28-22 win over the Rams in the divisional round to reach the championship. When Philadelphia hosted Washington, they captured a 26-18 win. 

Washington’s 45-31 win over Detroit gave the Commanders a seventh straight win. Now, Jayden Daniels will look to become the first rookie quarterback to reach the Super Bowl. 

Bet on Eagles vs. Commanders and other NFL matchups with up-to-date NFL odds. 

NFC Championship Odds: Eagles vs. Commanders

Eagles vs. Commanders Prediction

Based on Jalen Hurts’ strong record as a favorite against good teams and the Commanders’ weak rush defense, my Eagles vs. Commanders prediction is the Eagles Spread (-6, -110). 

This game presents a tricky scenario as I’m holding an Eagles Super Bowl futures ticket. 

There’s no interest in hedging, however, as Hurts is 16-0 SU as a home favorite against a team with a winning percentage north of 51%. 

The average margin of victory for Hurts in those games: 12.1 points, including 13.4 points when he’s listed between -5 and -2.5. 

Irrespective of venue, Hurts is 18-5 SU in such situations, including 16-3 when the opponent’s win percentage falls between 54% and 83%. 

There are two big concerns for Washington in this game: their reliance on turnovers and their inability to stop the run. 

Washington owns a +6 turnover differential in the playoffs. But their turnover differential against the Eagles this season is -4. 

Washington lost the yards per play battle by 1.1 yards at Detroit, but five turnovers buoyed them to a 14-point win. 

Most concerning about Washington’s divisional round performance? Their inability to stop the run. 

Detroit rushed for 201 yards on only 23 attempts. Now, Washington has to face an Eagles team that rushed for 228 and 211 yards in two meetings with the Commanders. 

Lastly, the Eagles haven’t lost a game Hurts finished since Week 4. So long as this spread stays under two key numbers – six and seven – it would be the Eagles or nothing. 

Eagles vs. Commanders Player Props

Based on Washington’s weak rush defense and Jalen Hurts’ potential injury, my Eagles vs. Commanders player prop prediction is Saquon Barkley Over 24.5 Rushing Attempts (-120). 

Sometimes it’s hip to be square, and this bet falls under that category. 

Barkley cleared this number in both head-to-head meetings against Washington this season, with 26 and 29 carries to his name. 

Some of the latter figure can be attributed to Jalen Hurts exiting with a concussion. With Hurts once again appearing less than 100%, another heavy workload should be expected for Barkley. 

That’s compounded by the fact Washington’s defense possesses no answer for stopping the run. 

The Commanders rank 26th in rush defense DVOA, per ftnfantasy.com. 

Quality rushing offenses without a running back by committee approach recognized that fact and attacked it earlier in the season. 

In addition to Barkley clearing this number twice, Ravens running back Derrick Henry amassed 24 attempts against the Commanders. 

As a result, back Barkley’s continued success against Washington.

Betting Eagles vs. Commanders: NFL Public Betting