Eagles vs Cowboys Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 12

BetMGM Betting Nov 19, 2025, 11:57 AM

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A young fan sands atop a vehicle holding a Dallas Cowboys flag outside Sofi Stadium before a preseason NFL football game between the Dallas Cowboys and Los Angeles Rams, Sunday, Aug. 11, 2024, in Inglewood, Calif. (AP Photo/Gregory Bull)

(AP Photo/Gregory Bull)

The Eagles are -3.5 point favorites vs the Cowboys
Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
Watch this game on FOX

The Philadelphia Eagles (8-2-0) visit AT&T Stadium to take on the Dallas Cowboys (4-5-1) on Nov. 23. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EST in Arlington, TX.

The Eagles are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The Eagles vs. Cowboys Over/Under is 47.5 total points for the game.

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Eagles vs. Cowboys Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Eagles	-3.5 -105	47.5 -110	-190
Cowboys	+3.5 -115	47.5 -110	155

Eagles vs. Cowboys Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Eagles will win this game with 67.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Eagles vs Cowboys Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Eagles will cover the spread with 56.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Eagles players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Eagles Player Prop Bets Today

Jalen Hurts has hit the Interceptions Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.50 Units / 40% ROI)
Saquon Barkley has hit the Longest Rush Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 70% ROI)
Jalen Hurts has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.35 Units / 29% ROI)
Jalen Hurts has hit the Carries Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.35 Units / 28% ROI)
Jalen Hurts has hit the Longest Rush Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 86% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Cowboys players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cowboys Player Prop Best Bets Today

Javonte Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.55 Units / 45% ROI)
Javonte Williams has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 89% ROI)
Javonte Williams has hit the Receptions Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+7.85 Units / 41% ROI)
Jake Ferguson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.45 Units / 38% ROI)
Javonte Williams has hit the Longest Rush Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 47% ROI)

Eagles Best Bets:

The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+6.40 Units / 26% ROI)
The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.25 Units / 27% ROI)
The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.80 Units / 49% ROI)
The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.65 Units / 13% ROI)
The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.85 Units / 41% ROI)

Cowboys Best Bets:

The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 17 games (+10.50 Units / 53% ROI)
The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.45 Units / 47% ROI)
The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 43% ROI)
The Dallas Cowboys have covered the 2Q Spread in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.35 Units / 44% ROI)
The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+6.60 Units / 28% ROI)

Eagles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Eagles are 7-3 (+3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI).

Eagles are 8-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.9 Units / 8.24% ROI
Eagles are 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
Eagles are 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / ROI

Cowboys Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Cowboys are 5-5 (-0.4 Units / -3.67% ROI).

Cowboys are 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.5 Units / -17.73% ROI
Cowboys are 7-3 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI
Cowboys are 3-7 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI

Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys

The Cowboys defense has allowed a fourth down conversion rate of 17% in short yardage situations this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 65%.

The Cowboys defense has allowed first downs on 50% of plays on 3rd down this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

The Cowboys defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 84% on 3rd and short this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 59%.

The Cowboys defense have allowed 10.2 yards per play first read passes this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 7.8.

Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles

The Cowboys ran 44% of their plays in the red zone in the 2nd half in Week 11 — best in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

The Cowboys have averaged -0.03 epa per play against open coverage since Week 8 — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.43.

The Cowboys have thrown the ball 65% of the time (20 Pass Attempts/31 plays) on 3rd and short this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Cowboys have faced a blitz 23% of the time on 3rd and short this season — 2nd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 13%.

Additional Matchup Notes for Philadelphia Eagles vs. Dallas Cowboys