- The Eagles are -1 point favorites vs the Chiefs
- Total (Over/Under): 47 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The Philadelphia Eagles (1-0-0) visit GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium to take on the Kansas City Chiefs (0-1-0) on Sep. 14. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
The Eagles are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -1 (-105).
The Eagles vs. Chiefs Over/Under is 47 total points for the game.
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Eagles vs. Chiefs Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Eagles | -1 -105 | 47 -110 | -115 |
| Chiefs | ++1 -115 | 47 -110 | -105 |
Eagles vs. Chiefs Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Eagles will win this game with 52.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Eagles vs Chiefs Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Chiefs will cover the spread with 58.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Eagles players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Eagles Player Prop Bets Today
- Jalen Hurts has hit the Interceptions Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.05 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jalen Hurts has hit the Completions Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.80 Units / 54% ROI)
- Jalen Hurts has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.70 Units / 51% ROI)
- Saquon Barkley has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+8.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jake Elliott has hit the Field Goals Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Chiefs players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Chiefs Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Xavier Worthy has hit the Receptions Over in his last 10 games (+10.80 Units / 87% ROI)
- Xavier Worthy has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.85 Units / 68% ROI)
- Patrick Mahomes has hit the Interceptions Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.55 Units / 50% ROI)
- Patrick Mahomes has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 6 games at home (+7.25 Units / 110% ROI)
- Isiah Pacheco has hit the Carries Under in his last 6 games (+6.15 Units / 99% ROI)
Eagles Best Bets:
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 22 games (+14.41 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 3Q Spread in their last 8 away games (+8.45 Units / 87% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+6.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+6.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 1H Spread in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 84% ROI)
Chiefs Best Bets:
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+8.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have covered the 2Q Spread in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+7.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 39% ROI)
Eagles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Eagles are 0-1 (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- Eagles are 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 23.26% ROI
- Eagles are 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Eagles are 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / ROI
Chiefs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Chiefs are 0-1 (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- Chiefs are 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.65 Units / -100% ROI
- Chiefs are 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Chiefs are 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs
The Eagles were undefeated (3-0) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .249.
The Eagles were 11-1 (.917) when forcing 1 or more turnovers last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .593.
The Eagles were 10-3 (.769) after a win last season — 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .588.
The Eagles were 3-1 (.750) vs top 10 run defenses last season — 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .300.
Kansas City Chiefs: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles
The Chiefs were undefeated (9-0) when within 7 points at the two minute warning last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Chiefs were undefeated (8-0) at home last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .524.
The Chiefs were undefeated (4-0) when within 3 points at the two minute warning last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Chiefs were 15-2 (.882) last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
Additional Matchup Notes for Philadelphia Eagles vs. Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs were successful on 58.8% of rush attempts last week — 4th-best in NFL. The Eagles allowed a success rate of 59.1% on rush attempts last week — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Chiefs were successful on 35.3% of pass attempts when their QB was under pressure last season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Eagles had pressured opposing QBs on just 20.1% of passing plays last season — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Chiefs threw for 20+ yards on 42 of 600 attempts last season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Eagles allowed 20+ yards on just 6.5% of attempts last season — best in NFL.
The Eagles were successful on 56.5% of pass attempts last week — 5th-best in NFL. The Chiefs allowed a success rate of 61.8% on pass attempts last week — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Eagles were successful on 57.1% of pass attempts against a base front last week — T-5th-best in NFL. The Chiefs allowed a success rate of 64.0% on pass attempts with a base front last week — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Eagles were successful on 62.5% of plays they ran against a base rush last week — T-best in NFL. The Chiefs allowed a success rate of 55.9% with a base rush last week — 4th-worst in NFL.
Philadelphia Eagles Offense: Important Stats
The Eagles ran successful plays on 65% of plays on motion plays in Week 1 — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Eagles averaged 8.1 yards per play on contested throws last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 5.3.
The Eagles started 27 drives inside opposing territory last season — most in NFL.
The Eagles threw the ball 30% of the time (145 Pass Attempts/486 plays) on 1st down last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
Kansas City Chiefs Offense: Important Stats
The Chiefs averaged just 2.2 yards per play against tight coverage last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 3.8.
The Chiefs ran successful plays on 75% of plays in the 3rd quarter in Week 1 — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
The Chiefs ran successful plays on 57% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Chiefs have averaged just 2.2 yards per play against tight coverage since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 3.5.
Philadelphia Eagles Defense: Important Stats
The Eagles defense allowed successful plays on 44% of plays first read passes last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
The Eagles defense allowed successful plays on 38% of pass attempts from their own territory last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 48%.
The Eagles defense allowed successful plays on 44% of pass attempts first read passes last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
The Eagles defense allowed just 5.5 yards per dropback (2,961 yards/542 attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 6.6.
Kansas City Chiefs Defense: Important Stats
The Chiefs defense allowed 3 TD passes in Week 1 — T-2nd-most in NFL.
The Chiefs defense allowed an average of 16.1 fantasy points per game to RBs last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 21.8.
The Chiefs defense allowed just 2.5 yards per play with tight coverage last season — T-2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 3.8.
The Chiefs defense allowed 93.7 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 126.8.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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