- The Dolphins are -2.5 point favorites vs the Lions
- Total (Over/Under): 37.5 points
The Miami Dolphins (0-0-1) visit Ford Field to take on the Detroit Lions (1-1-0) on Aug. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Detroit, MI, MI.
The – are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Dolphins vs. Lions Over/Under is total points for the game.
Bet now on Lions vs Dolphins & all NFL games with BetMGM
Dolphins vs. Lions Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Dolphins | |||
| Lions |
Dolphins vs. Lions Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Lions will win this game with 79.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Dolphins vs Lions Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Lions will cover the spread with 75.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Lions vs Dolphins and all NFL games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Dolphins players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dolphins Player Prop Bets Today
- Jason Sanders has hit the Field Goals Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.60 Units / 56% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Lions players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Lions Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jahmyr Gibbs has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.40 Units / 43% ROI)
Dolphins Best Bets:
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+6.20 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have covered the 4Q Spread in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.85 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the 1H Team Total Under in their last 5 away games (+5.15 Units / 92% ROI)
Lions Best Bets:
- The Detroit Lions have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 16 games (+11.65 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 20 games (+10.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 15 games (+9.40 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+9.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.05 Units / 38% ROI)
Dolphins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread last NFL season, the Dolphins were ( Units / ROI).
- Dolphins are 8-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -10.51% ROI
- Dolphins are 8-9 when betting the Over for -1.9 Units / -10.16% ROI
- Dolphins are 9-8 when betting the Under for +0.2 Units / ROI
Lions Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread last NFL season, the Lions were ( Units / ROI).
- Lions are 15-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.05 Units / 9.06% ROI
- Lions are 10-7 when betting the Over for +2.25 Units / 11.34% ROI
- Lions are 7-10 when betting the Under for -4 Units / -20.25% ROI
Miami Dolphins: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Lions
The Dolphins were 4-1 (.800) when passing for 250 or more yards last season — T-8th-best in NFL. The Lions allowed 244.0 passing yards per game last season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Dolphins were winless (0-6) when allowing 27 or more points last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .183.
The Dolphins were winless (0-5) vs top 10 run offenses last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .335.
The Dolphins are winless (0-9) vs top 10 run offenses since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .379.
Detroit Lions: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Dolphins
The Lions are 3-1 (.750) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .259.
The Lions were undefeated (8-0) on the road last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .476.
The Lions were 10-1 (.909) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .378.
The Lions were 14-1 (.933) when scoring 22 or more points last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .745.
Additional Matchup Notes for Miami Dolphins vs. Detroit Lions
The Lions were successful on 50.0% of pass attempts against a light front last season — 5th-best in NFL. The Dolphins pressured opposing QBs on 18% of pass attempts with a light front last season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Lions had a third down conversion rate of 55.6% against the blitz in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Dolphins defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 55.6% when blitzing in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Dolphins were successful on just 23.6% of pass attempts when their QB was under pressure last season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Lions had pressured opposing QBs on 27.9% of passing plays last season — 5th-best in NFL.
The Dolphins were 4-1 (.800) when passing for 250 or more yards last season — T-8th-best in NFL. The Lions allowed 244.0 passing yards per game last season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
Dolphins WRs had 8 receiving touchdowns last season — fewest in NFL. The Lions allowed 18 receiving touchdowns last season — T-2nd-fewest in NFL.
Miami Dolphins Offense: Important Stats
The Dolphins faced a blitz just 8% of the time last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
The Dolphins faced a blitz 90 times last season — fewest in NFL.
The Dolphins ran successful plays on 24% of pass attempts on passes when their QB was pressured last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 32%.
The Dolphins averaged -0.66 epa per play against tight coverage last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.43.
Detroit Lions Offense: Important Stats
The Lions ran successful plays on 56% of pass attempts last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Lions ran 22% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st half last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
The Lions averaged 0.43 epa per play on first read passes last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 0.21.
The Lions averaged 0.23 epa per play in the 1st half last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.02.
Miami Dolphins Defense: Important Stats
The Dolphins defense allowed -0.42 epa per play on contested throws last season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.06.
The Dolphins defense allowed a passer rating of just 32.5 on contested throws (53 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 73.8.
The Dolphins defense allowed just 3.3 yards per play on contested throws last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.3.
The Dolphins defense allowed successful plays on 24% of plays on contested throws last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 35%.
Detroit Lions Defense: Important Stats
The Lions defense allowed first downs on just 32% of plays on 3rd down last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
The Lions defense has allowed a late down conversion rate of 7% when opponents had 4-6 yards to go since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 10%.
The Lions defense allowed 28 receptions for 20+ yards in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — most in NFL.
The Lions defense allowed a Completion Pct of just 39% (35 completions/89 attempts) in the red zone last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 57%.
Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,500? Bet now on Lions vs Dolphins and all NFL games with BetMGM
More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
More NFL Odds at BetMGM
Take your football entertainment to the next level with NFL betting at the online sportsbook.
From futures like Chiefs Super Bowl odds, Lions odds to win the division, or Ravens playoff odds, to weekly odds like spreads, moneylines, and over/under totals, there’s something for everyone.
And with the best sportsbook promotions, you could land a welcome offer, sports betting Odds Boost, or a Parlay Boost! You can also check out NFL picks and predictions and updated Super Bowl predictions throughout the year.
Log in to your BetMGM account today — or sign up for a new account via the online sportsbook or BetMGM iOS app or BetMGM Android app — to start betting!
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
