Dolphins vs Jets Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 14

BetMGM Betting Dec 07, 2025, 9:49 AM

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Fans arrive at MetLife Stadium before an NFL football game between the New York Jets and the Buffalo Bills Sunday, Sept. 8, 2019, in East Rutherford, N.J.

(AP Photo/Seth Wenig)

The Dolphins are -2.5 point favorites vs the Jets
Total (Over/Under): 40.5 points
Watch this game on CBS

The Miami Dolphins (5-7-0) visit MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Jets (3-9-0) on Dec. 7. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in East Rutherford, NJ.

The Dolphins are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Dolphins vs. Jets Over/Under is 40.5 total points for the game.

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Dolphins vs. Jets Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Dolphins	-2.5 -115	40.5 -105	-145
Jets	+2.5 -105	40.5 -115	120

Dolphins vs. Jets Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Dolphins will win this game with 57.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Dolphins vs Jets Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Jets will cover the spread with 54.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Dolphins players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dolphins Player Prop Bets Today

Ollie Gordon II has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 68% ROI)
Tua Tagovailoa has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.50 Units / 38% ROI)
Malik Washington has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.00 Units / 58% ROI)
Devon Achane has hit the Carries Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.95 Units / 69% ROI)
Devon Achane has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.85 Units / 64% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Jets players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Jets Player Prop Best Bets Today

Mason Taylor has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 57% ROI)
Mason Taylor has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 55% ROI)
Nick Folk has hit the Field Goals Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+6.25 Units / 40% ROI)
Isaiah Davis has hit the Carries Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.20 Units / 61% ROI)
Mason Taylor has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 49% ROI)

Dolphins Best Bets:

The Miami Dolphins have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.30 Units / 32% ROI)
The Miami Dolphins have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+5.90 Units / 25% ROI)
The Miami Dolphins have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+5.38 Units / 20% ROI)
The Miami Dolphins have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+4.95 Units / 21% ROI)
The Miami Dolphins have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 20 games (+4.70 Units / 17% ROI)

Jets Best Bets:

The New York Jets have covered the 2H Spread in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.47 Units / 41% ROI)
The New York Jets have hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+7.62 Units / 43% ROI)
The New York Jets have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.40 Units / 34% ROI)
The New York Jets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.45 Units / 33% ROI)
The New York Jets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.70 Units / 45% ROI)

Dolphins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Dolphins are 6-6 (-0.6 Units / -4.51% ROI).

Dolphins are 5-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 11.33% ROI
Dolphins are 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 3.79% ROI
Dolphins are 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / ROI

Jets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Jets are 7-5 (+1.65 Units / 12.64% ROI).

Jets are 3-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.75 Units / -38.46% ROI
Jets are 7-5 when betting the Over for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI
Jets are 5-7 when betting the Under for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI

Miami Dolphins: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Jets

The Dolphins faced a blitz just 8% of the time last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

The Dolphins faced a blitz 90 times last season — fewest in NFL.

The Dolphins ran successful plays on 24% of pass attempts on passes when their QB was pressured last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 32%.

The Dolphins faced a blitz just 7% of the time on Early Downs last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 12%.

New York Jets: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Dolphins

The Jets ran the ball on 28% of plays (36 carries/131 plays) in the red zone last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 49%.

The Jets threw the ball 69% of the time (90 Pass Attempts/131 plays) in the red zone last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Jets ran successful plays on 52% of pass attempts on motion plays last season — 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Jets went three and out on 32% of their drives in the 1st quarter last season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: 23%.

Additional Matchup Notes for Miami Dolphins vs. New York Jets