- The Colts are -1 point favorites vs the Dolphins
- Total (Over/Under): 47 points
- Watch this game on CBS
The Miami Dolphins (0-0-0) visit Lucas Oil Stadium to take on the Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0) on Sep. 7. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Indianapolis, IN.
The Colts are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -1 (-105).
The Dolphins vs. Colts Over/Under is 47 total points for the game.
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Dolphins vs. Colts Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Dolphins | +1 -115 | 47 -110 | -110 |
| Colts | -1 -105 | 47 -110 | -110 |
Dolphins vs. Colts Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Colts will win this game with 57.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Dolphins vs Colts Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Dolphins will cover the spread with 59.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Dolphins players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dolphins Player Prop Bets Today
- Jason Sanders has hit the Field Goals Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.60 Units / 56% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Colts players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Colts Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jonathan Taylor has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 88% ROI)
Dolphins Best Bets:
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+6.20 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have covered the 4Q Spread in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 away games (+5.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.65 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+4.05 Units / 55% ROI)
Colts Best Bets:
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.95 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+5.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have covered the 2Q Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 34% ROI)
Dolphins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Dolphins were 2-1 (+1.05 Units / 33.33% ROI).
- Dolphins are 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 37.38% ROI
- Dolphins are 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.11% ROI
- Dolphins are 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.18 Units / ROI
Colts Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Colts were 1-2 (-1.22 Units / -36.75% ROI).
- Colts are 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.7 Units / -62.71% ROI
- Colts are 3-0 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 89.55% ROI
- Colts are 0-3 when betting the Under for -3.25 Units / -100% ROI
Miami Dolphins: Keys to the Game vs. the Indianapolis Colts
The Dolphins were winless (0-6) when allowing 27 or more points last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .183.
The Dolphins were 1-6 (.143) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .469.
The Dolphins were 3-4 (.429) when rushing less than 25 times last season — T-8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .278.
The Dolphins were 6-1 (.857) when the opposing team converts less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — T-7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .599.
Indianapolis Colts: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Dolphins
The Colts were winless (0-6) when rushing less than 25 times last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .278.
The Colts were 4-5 (.444) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times last season — 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .249.
The Colts were 6-3 (.667) when within 7 points at the two minute warning last season — T-6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Colts were 7-3 (.700) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season — 9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .571.
Additional Matchup Notes for Miami Dolphins vs. Indianapolis Colts
The Colts scored on 22.2% of their drives in the second half in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Dolphins defense allowed scores on 23.8% of opponent drives in the second half in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 5th-best in NFL.
Colts RBs averaged just 4.2 yards after the catch in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Dolphins allowed just 5.6 yards after catch per reception to RBs in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — T-3rd-best in NFL.
The Colts threw the ball just 44.7% of the time in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 3rd-lowest in NFL. The Dolphins allowed just 5.4 yards per dropback in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — T-2nd-best in NFL.
The Dolphins averaged just -0.83 epa per play against tight coverage in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Colts allowed just -0.83 epa per play with tight coverage in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 5th-best in NFL.
The Dolphins averaged just 3.9 yards per carry on rushes to the left side of the field last season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Colts allowed just 3.9 yards per carry when defending on rushes to the left last season — T-best in NFL.
Miami Dolphins Offense: Important Stats
The Dolphins faced a blitz 90 times last season — fewest in NFL.
The Dolphins faced a blitz just 8% of the time last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
The Dolphins averaged -0.31 epa per play against a stacked front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.09.
The Dolphins ran successful plays on 24% of pass attempts on passes when their QB was pressured last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 32%.
Indianapolis Colts Offense: Important Stats
The Colts ran successful plays on 21% of pass attempts on passes when their QB was pressured last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 32%.
The Colts ran successful plays on 40% of pass attempts in the 1st half last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Colts threw 59% of their pass attempts 1 to 10 yards downfield last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 70%.
The Colts did not turn the ball over on downs in the red zone last season — T-fewest in NFL.
Miami Dolphins Defense: Important Stats
The Dolphins defense allowed just 3.3 yards per play on contested throws last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.3.
The Dolphins defense allowed -0.42 epa per play on contested throws last season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.06.
The Dolphins defense allowed a passer rating of just 32.5 on contested throws (53 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 73.8.
The Dolphins defense allowed -0.26 epa per play on first drive of the game last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.
Indianapolis Colts Defense: Important Stats
The Colts defense missed 156 tackles last season — most in NFL.
The Colts defense allowed successful plays on 49% of pass attempts on contested throws last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: 35%.
The Colts defense allowed 76 broken tackles last season — 2nd-most in NFL.
The Colts defense allowed 0.56 epa per play open coverage last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.42.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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