- The Cowboys are a six-point home favorite against the Vikings.
- Dallas is 0-5 SU this season when Dak Prescott throws under 1.5 touchdowns.
- My Cowboys vs Vikings prediction depends on Cowboys offensive injury news.
Needing a miracle stretch to make the playoffs, the Cowboys begin with a Week 15 game against the Vikings.Â
Dallas fell 44-30 at Detroit last Thursday, falling to 6-6-1 on the season. It marked the fifth straight defeat for the Cowboys when Dak Prescott threw fewer than 1.5 touchdowns.Â
Minnesota destroyed Washington 31-0 on Sunday, improving to 5-8 on the season. Not once all year has Kevin O’Connell’s team won back-to-back contests.Â
Bet on Cowboys vs. Vikings and other NFL matchups with up-to-date NFL odds.Â
Cowboys vs. Vikings: NFL Week 15 Odds
Cowboys vs. Vikings Prediction
Depending on the Cowboys’ injury report this week, my Cowboys vs Vikings prediction is the Minnesota Vikings Spread (+6, -110).Â
Very tough game to call early in the week. Buy-low, sell-high strategy says to lay the points with Dallas against a Vikings team off a blowout win.Â
But the matchup analysis suggests some advantages for the Vikings.Â
Dallas ranks ninth in offensive DVOA, per ftnfantasy.com. The offense could also operate without CeeDee Lamb after he sustained a concussion in Detroit.Â
Additionally, Tyler Guyton missing another game is not ideal against a blitz-heavy Brian Flores defense.Â
Before accounting for that adjustment, it still could be a tough matchup for Dallas. Minnesota ranks ninth in defensive DVOA but 31st in defensive variance.Â
Offensively, Minnesota could exploit a sizable advantage against Dallas on the ground. The Vikings rank 11th in rush offense DVOA compared to 30th in pass offense.Â
Dallas ranks 30th and 29th in the corresponding defensive categories. This season, the Vikings are 2-1 SU against teams ranking 27th or worse in rush defense DVOA.Â
At the same time, Dallas is improving against the run since its bye week. Not one running back has cleared 75 yards in any of the Cowboys’ previous four games.Â
If Minnesota can’t run the ball, I question whether J.J. McCarthy can accomplish the same feat as Jared Goff.Â
Given those factors, I’ll wait for injury clarity on the Cowboys offense. If both Lamb and Guyton miss this game, I’d likely side with the Vikings to cover the spread.Â
However, overall confidence in that selection is relatively low given Minnesota’s inconsistent record this year.Â
Betting Cowboys vs. Vikings: NFL Public Betting
| Team | % of ATS Bets | % of ATS Money |
|---|---|---|
| Vikings (+6) | 31% | 33% |
| Cowboys (-6) | 69% | 67% |
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