Cowboys vs. Packers: NFL Week 4 Odds, Prediction

See the latest NFL Week 4 odds, picks and predictions for Cowboys vs. Packers on September 28 at AT&T Stadium.
  • The Cowboys are a 7-point home underdog against the Packers.
  • The Packers have won 10 of their last 11 games against the Cowboys.
  • My Cowboys vs Packers prediction is for the Packers (-6) to cover the spread.

Micah Parsons returns to Dallas as the Packers aim to bounce back against the Cowboys. 

Green Bay suffered a fluke defeat at Cleveland in Week 3. After a blocked field goal, the Browns drove into field goal range and won 13-10 as 8.5-point home underdogs. 

Dallas moved from underdogs to favorites on the road in Chicago. However, the defense delivered another uninspired performance as the Cowboys fell to 1-2 on the season. 

Bet on Cowboys vs. Packers and other NFL matchups with up-to-date NFL odds. 

Cowboys vs. Packers: NFL Week 4 Odds

Cowboys vs. Packers Prediction

Based on the Packers’ strong defensive record and the injury concerns for Dallas, my Cowboys vs Packers prediction is the Packers Spread (-6, -110). 

Albeit against a bad Browns offense, I remain confident that Green Bay holds one of the best defenses in the league. 

Off a loss, they get a Cowboys team with its starting center on IR. Of greater concern for Dallas is the fact that CeeDee Lamb exited Sunday’s game at Chicago with an ankle injury. 

Plus, the Packers showed defensive prowess against both the Commanders and Lions. An argument can be made that both offenses – at full strength – outpace Dallas in quality. 

If the Cowboys offense fails to score, I worry about their viability as underdogs. For Dallas to cover, it likely means the game proves lower-scoring compared to earlier contests. 

Should history against Green Bay prove any indicator, that’s unlikely to happen. 

Green Bay played in Dallas two years ago in the wild-card round. Against a Cowboys defense WITH Micah Parsons, the Packers put up 48 points. 

Dallas just surrendered 37 points to the Giants at home and proved lucky to win that game. Then, the defense struggled once again at Chicago, which looked anemic up until that point. 

Exclusive of Green Bay’s Week 3 performance, the Packers ranked first in offensive DVOA, per ftnfantasy.com. 

Off a fluky loss, I like the Packers to get right and cover the spread against the Cowboys. 

Betting Cowboys vs. Packers: NFL Public Betting

Team% of ATS Bets% of ATS Money% of ML Bets% of ML Money
Packers79%33%48%73%
Cowboys21%67%52%27%

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About the Author Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.