Cowboys vs Raiders Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NFL, Week 11

Las Vegas Raiders fans look on before an NFL football game between the Raiders and the Cleveland Browns Sunday, Sept. 29, 2024, in Las Vegas. (AP Photo/David Becker)
(AP Photo/David Becker)
  • The Cowboys are -3.5 point favorites vs the Raiders
  • Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
  • Watch this game on ABC | ESPN | ESPN2 | ESPD

The Dallas Cowboys (3-5-1) visit Allegiant Stadium to take on the Las Vegas Raiders (2-7-0) on Nov. 17. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EST in Paradise, NV.

The Cowboys are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-102).

The Cowboys vs. Raiders Over/Under is 50.5 total points for the game.

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Cowboys vs. Raiders Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Cowboys-3.5 -10250.5 -110-175
Raiders +3.5 -11850.5 -110145

Cowboys vs. Raiders Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Cowboys will win this game with 62.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Cowboys vs Raiders Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Cowboys will cover the spread with 50.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Cowboys players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cowboys Player Prop Bets Today

  • Javonte Williams has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 89% ROI)
  • Javonte Williams has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+6.85 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Jake Ferguson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.45 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Javonte Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.35 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Javonte Williams has hit the Longest Rush Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.60 Units / 43% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Raiders players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Raiders Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Geno Smith has hit the Passing Yards Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.40 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Geno Smith has hit the Interceptions Over in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Geno Smith has hit the TD Passes Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.65 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Geno Smith has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.15 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Tyler Lockett has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.40 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 17 games (+10.50 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.45 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have covered the 2Q Spread in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.35 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+6.40 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.85 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the 2Q Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.65 Units / 41% ROI)

Cowboys Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Cowboys are 4-5 (-1.4 Units / -14.29% ROI).

  • Cowboys are 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.5 Units / -28.69% ROI
  • Cowboys are 6-3 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Cowboys are 3-6 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / ROI

Raiders Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Raiders are 4-5 (-1.6 Units / -16% ROI).

  • Raiders are 2-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.15 Units / -50% ROI
  • Raiders are 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Raiders are 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI

Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders

Cowboys RBs have averaged 2.6 yards after contact per carry this season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Raiders have allowed 2.2 yards after contact per carry this season — T-4th-worst in NFL.

Cowboys RBs have averaged 2.6 yards after contact per carry this season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Raiders have allowed 2.5 yards after contact per carry to RBs this season — T-2nd-worst in NFL.

Cowboys RBs have averaged just 5.7 yards after the catch this season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Raiders have allowed just 6.3 yards after catch per reception to RBs this season — 4th-best in NFL.

Las Vegas Raiders: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys

The Cowboys have committed 4 turnovers in the red zone this season — T-most in NFL.

The Cowboys have thrown the ball 65% of the time (17 Pass Attempts/26 plays) on 3rd and short this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Cowboys have run the ball on 15% of plays (16 carries/107 plays) on 3rd down this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 26%.

The Cowboys committed 9 turnovers in the red zone last season — most in NFL.

Additional Matchup Notes for Dallas Cowboys vs. Las Vegas Raiders

The Cowboys have committed 4 turnovers in the red zone this season — T-most in NFL.

The Cowboys have thrown the ball 65% of the time (17 Pass Attempts/26 plays) on 3rd and short this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Cowboys have run the ball on 15% of plays (16 carries/107 plays) on 3rd down this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 26%.

The Cowboys committed 9 turnovers in the red zone last season — most in NFL.

Cowboys RBs have averaged 2.6 yards after contact per carry this season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Raiders have allowed 2.2 yards after contact per carry this season — T-4th-worst in NFL.

Cowboys RBs have averaged 2.6 yards after contact per carry this season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Raiders have allowed 2.5 yards after contact per carry to RBs this season — T-2nd-worst in NFL.

Cowboys RBs have averaged just 5.7 yards after the catch this season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Raiders have allowed just 6.3 yards after catch per reception to RBs this season — 4th-best in NFL.

Dallas Cowboys Offense: Important Stats

Cowboys RBs have averaged 2.6 yards after contact per carry this season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Raiders have allowed 2.2 yards after contact per carry this season — T-4th-worst in NFL.

Cowboys RBs have averaged 2.6 yards after contact per carry this season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Raiders have allowed 2.5 yards after contact per carry to RBs this season — T-2nd-worst in NFL.

Cowboys RBs have averaged just 5.7 yards after the catch this season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Raiders have allowed just 6.3 yards after catch per reception to RBs this season — 4th-best in NFL.

Las Vegas Raiders Offense: Important Stats

The Cowboys have committed 4 turnovers in the red zone this season — T-most in NFL.

The Cowboys have thrown the ball 65% of the time (17 Pass Attempts/26 plays) on 3rd and short this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Cowboys have run the ball on 15% of plays (16 carries/107 plays) on 3rd down this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 26%.

The Cowboys committed 9 turnovers in the red zone last season — most in NFL.

Dallas Cowboys Defense: Important Stats

Cowboys RBs have averaged 2.6 yards after contact per carry this season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Raiders have allowed 2.2 yards after contact per carry this season — T-4th-worst in NFL.

Cowboys RBs have averaged 2.6 yards after contact per carry this season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Raiders have allowed 2.5 yards after contact per carry to RBs this season — T-2nd-worst in NFL.

Cowboys RBs have averaged just 5.7 yards after the catch this season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Raiders have allowed just 6.3 yards after catch per reception to RBs this season — 4th-best in NFL.

Las Vegas Raiders Defense: Important Stats

The Cowboys have committed 4 turnovers in the red zone this season — T-most in NFL.

The Cowboys have thrown the ball 65% of the time (17 Pass Attempts/26 plays) on 3rd and short this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Cowboys have run the ball on 15% of plays (16 carries/107 plays) on 3rd down this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 26%.

The Cowboys committed 9 turnovers in the red zone last season — most in NFL.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.