Cowboys vs Lions Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 14

• The Lions are -3 point favorites vs the Cowboys
• Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points
• Watch this game on Amazon

The Dallas Cowboys (6-5-1) visit Ford Field to take on the Detroit Lions (7-5-0) on Dec. 4. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EST in Detroit, MI.

The Lions are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-105).

The Cowboys vs. Lions Over/Under is 54.5 total points for the game.

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Cowboys vs. Lions Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Cowboys vs. Lions Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Lions will win this game with 60.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Cowboys vs Lions Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Cowboys will cover the spread with 53.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Cowboys players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cowboys Player Prop Bets Today

• George Pickens has hit the Longest Reception Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.60 Units / 51% ROI)
• Dak Prescott has hit the Carries Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.35 Units / 62% ROI)
• Jake Ferguson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.30 Units / 32% ROI)
• George Pickens has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.25 Units / 35% ROI)
• Javonte Williams has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 89% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Lions players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Lions Player Prop Best Bets Today

• David Montgomery has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.95 Units / 69% ROI)
• Jared Goff has hit the Carries Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+6.10 Units / 30% ROI)
• David Montgomery has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 62% ROI)
• Jahmyr Gibbs has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.10 Units / 24% ROI)
• David Montgomery has hit the Carries Under in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+5.05 Units / 51% ROI)

Cowboys Best Bets:

• The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 19 games (+12.65 Units / 57% ROI)
• The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.40 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Dallas Cowboys have covered the 2Q Spread in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.35 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.40 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+6.60 Units / 28% ROI)

Lions Best Bets:

• The Detroit Lions have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.00 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Detroit Lions have covered the 4Q Spread in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+6.15 Units / 55% ROI)
• The Detroit Lions have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+6.10 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Detroit Lions have hit the 2H Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+5.50 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Detroit Lions have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.40 Units / 27% ROI)

Cowboys Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Cowboys are 7-5 (+1.6 Units / 12.17% ROI).

• Cowboys are 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.4 Units / 2.48% ROI
• Cowboys are 8-4 when betting the Over for +3.6 Units / 27.27% ROI
• Cowboys are 4-8 when betting the Under for -4.8 Units / ROI

Lions Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Lions are 6-6 (-0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI).

• Lions are 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.75 Units / -4.27% ROI
• Lions are 7-5 when betting the Over for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI
• Lions are 5-7 when betting the Under for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI

Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Lions

The Cowboys scored on 60% of their drives last week — T-2nd-best in NFL. The Lions defense allowed scores on 55.6% of opponent drives last week — 4th-worst in NFL.

The Cowboys were successful on 52.9% of plays they ran against a base rush last week — 4th-best in NFL. The Lions allowed a success rate of 56.0% with a base rush last week — 2nd-worst in NFL.

Cowboys WRs have gained 14.4 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Lions have allowed 13.8 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 5th-worst in NFL.

Detroit Lions: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys

The Lions ran successful plays on 56% of pass attempts last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Lions ran successful plays on 58% of pass attempts on motion plays last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Lions ran successful plays on 61% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Lions ran 22% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st half last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

Additional Matchup Notes for Dallas Cowboys vs. Detroit Lions

The Lions ran successful plays on 56% of pass attempts last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Lions ran successful plays on 58% of pass attempts on motion plays last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Lions ran successful plays on 61% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Lions ran 22% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st half last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Cowboys scored on 60% of their drives last week — T-2nd-best in NFL. The Lions defense allowed scores on 55.6% of opponent drives last week — 4th-worst in NFL.

The Cowboys were successful on 52.9% of plays they ran against a base rush last week — 4th-best in NFL. The Lions allowed a success rate of 56.0% with a base rush last week — 2nd-worst in NFL.

Cowboys WRs have gained 14.4 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Lions have allowed 13.8 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 5th-worst in NFL.

Dallas Cowboys Offense: Important Stats

The Cowboys scored on 60% of their drives last week — T-2nd-best in NFL. The Lions defense allowed scores on 55.6% of opponent drives last week — 4th-worst in NFL.

The Cowboys were successful on 52.9% of plays they ran against a base rush last week — 4th-best in NFL. The Lions allowed a success rate of 56.0% with a base rush last week — 2nd-worst in NFL.

Cowboys WRs have gained 14.4 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Lions have allowed 13.8 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 5th-worst in NFL.

Detroit Lions Offense: Important Stats

The Lions ran successful plays on 56% of pass attempts last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Lions ran successful plays on 58% of pass attempts on motion plays last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Lions ran successful plays on 61% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Lions ran 22% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st half last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

Dallas Cowboys Defense: Important Stats

The Cowboys scored on 60% of their drives last week — T-2nd-best in NFL. The Lions defense allowed scores on 55.6% of opponent drives last week — 4th-worst in NFL.

The Cowboys were successful on 52.9% of plays they ran against a base rush last week — 4th-best in NFL. The Lions allowed a success rate of 56.0% with a base rush last week — 2nd-worst in NFL.

Cowboys WRs have gained 14.4 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Lions have allowed 13.8 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 5th-worst in NFL.

Detroit Lions Defense: Important Stats

The Lions ran successful plays on 56% of pass attempts last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Lions ran successful plays on 58% of pass attempts on motion plays last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Lions ran successful plays on 61% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Lions ran 22% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st half last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

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More NFL Betting Predictions:

• Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
• Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
• Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
• Passing Yards Prop Predictions
• Receptions Made Prop Predictions
• Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
• Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
• QB Interception Prop Predictions
• Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
• NFL Betting Previews: Every Game

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