Cowboys vs Eagles Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NFL, Week 1

General view of Lincoln Financial Field during an NFL football game between the San Francisco 49ers and Philadelphia Eagles, Sunday, Sept. 19, 2021, in Philadelphia.
(AP Photo/Rich Schultz)
  • The Eagles are -8 point favorites vs the Cowboys
  • Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
  • Watch this game on NBC | PEAC | TELE | NBCU

The Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0) visit Lincoln Financial Field to take on the Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0) on Sep. 4. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.

The Eagles are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -8 (-110).

The Cowboys vs. Eagles Over/Under is 47.5 total points for the game.

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Cowboys vs. Eagles Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Cowboys+8 -12047.5 -110+325
Eagles -8 -11047.5 -110-425

Cowboys vs. Eagles Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Eagles will win this game with 85.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Cowboys vs Eagles Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Cowboys will cover the spread with 68.4% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Cowboys players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cowboys Player Prop Bets Today

  • Brandon Aubrey has hit the Field Goals Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+9.45 Units / 35% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Eagles players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Eagles Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Jalen Hurts has hit the Interceptions Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.05 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 away games (+7.05 Units / 82% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have covered the 2Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.65 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 away games (+4.43 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 3Q Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.75 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+6.75 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 2Q Spread in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.25 Units / 28% ROI)

Cowboys Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Cowboys were 1-2 (-1.15 Units / -36.51% ROI).

  • Cowboys are 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.52 Units / -37.35% ROI
  • Cowboys are 3-0 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 92.31% ROI
  • Cowboys are 0-3 when betting the Under for -3.35 Units / ROI

Eagles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Eagles were 2-1 (+0.85 Units / 25.99% ROI).

  • Eagles are 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.25 Units / 65.22% ROI
  • Eagles are 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 26.87% ROI
  • Eagles are 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.15 Units / -35.38% ROI

Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles

The Cowboys were winless (0-9) when allowing 27 or more points last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .183.

The Cowboys were 2-7 (.222) at home last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .524.

The Cowboys were 1-7 (.125) when throwing at least 1 interception last season — 6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .376.

The Cowboys were 2-7 (.222) when trailing at the end of quarter 1 last season — 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .368.

Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys

The Eagles were undefeated (3-0) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .249.

The Eagles were 13-2 (.867) when rushing for 120 or more yards last season — 4th-best in NFL. The Cowboys allowed an average of 138.6 rushing yards per game last season — 3rd-worst in NFL.

The Eagles were 11-1 (.917) when forcing 1 or more turnovers last season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Cowboys turned the ball over 28 times last season — T-3rd-most in NFL.

The Eagles were 9-1 (.900) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

Additional Matchup Notes for Dallas Cowboys vs. Philadelphia Eagles

The Eagles rushed the ball on 53.4% of plays from scrimmage last season — highest in NFL. The Cowboys allowed 5.1 yards per carry last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL.

Eagles RBs averaged 140.2 rushing yards per game last season — best in NFL. The Cowboys allowed an average of 138.6 rushing yards per game last season — 3rd-worst in NFL.

The Eagles rushed the ball on 63.9% of plays from scrimmage in the red zone last season — highest in NFL. The Cowboys have allowed 23 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone last season — most in NFL.

The Cowboys were successful on just 41.1% of pass attempts last season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Eagles allowed a success rate of just 41.0% on pass attempts last season — 2nd-best in NFL.

The Cowboys were successful on just 43.6% of pass attempts on play action passes last season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Eagles allowed a success rate of just 42.6% on pass attempts on play action passes last season — 2nd-best in NFL.

The Cowboys were successful on just 41.0% of plays they ran on play action passes last season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Eagles allowed a success rate of just 41.1% on play action passes last season — 2nd-best in NFL.

Dallas Cowboys Offense: Important Stats

The Cowboys committed 9 turnovers in the red zone last season — most in NFL.

The Cowboys averaged 0.00 epa per play on first read passes last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.21.

The Cowboys ran successful plays on 22% of pass attempts against a heavy rush last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Cowboys ran successful plays on 25% of rush attempts on play action passes last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: 53%.

Philadelphia Eagles Offense: Important Stats

The Eagles averaged 8.1 yards per play on contested throws last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 5.3.

The Eagles started 27 drives inside opposing territory last season — most in NFL.

The Eagles averaged 13.8 yards per play against a light rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 6.9.

The Eagles threw the ball 40% of the time (448 Pass Attempts/1,114 plays) last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.

Dallas Cowboys Defense: Important Stats

The Cowboys defense allowed 25 rushing TDs last season — most in NFL.

The Cowboys defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 19% in the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 38%.

The Cowboys defense allowed first downs on 43% of rush attempts in the red zone last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 31%.

The Cowboys defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 17% on 3rd and long last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 25%.

Philadelphia Eagles Defense: Important Stats

The Eagles defense allowed successful plays on 38% of pass attempts from their own territory last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 48%.

The Eagles defense allowed successful plays on 44% of plays first read passes last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 52%.

The Eagles defense allowed successful plays on 44% of pass attempts first read passes last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 52%.

The Eagles defense allowed successful plays on 52% of plays open coverage last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 60%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.