- The Cowboys are -1 point favorites vs the Bears
- Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The Dallas Cowboys (1-1-0) visit Soldier Field to take on the Chicago Bears (0-2-0) on Sep. 21. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
The Cowboys are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -1 (-105).
The Cowboys vs. Bears Over/Under is 50.5 total points for the game.
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Cowboys vs. Bears Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Cowboys | -1 -105 | 50.5 -110 | -115 |
| Bears | +1 -115 | 50.5 -110 | -105 |
Cowboys vs. Bears Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Bears will win this game with 66.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Cowboys vs Bears Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bears will cover the spread with 66.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Cowboys players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cowboys Player Prop Bets Today
- Brandon Aubrey has hit the Field Goals Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+9.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- CeeDee Lamb has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- Javonte Williams has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 10 away games (+4.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- CeeDee Lamb has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- Miles Sanders has hit the Carries Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.10 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bears players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Bears Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Caleb Williams has hit the Interceptions Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.10 Units / 49% ROI)
- Cairo Santos has hit the Field Goals Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+7.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- Roschon Johnson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 67% ROI)
- Roschon Johnson has hit the Receptions Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.90 Units / 66% ROI)
- Caleb Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+4.70 Units / 45% ROI)
Cowboys Best Bets:
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+6.05 Units / 79% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have covered the 2Q Spread in 11 of their last 16 games (+4.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2H Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+3.59 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.15 Units / 56% ROI)
Bears Best Bets:
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 1H Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.85 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.47 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+3.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.80 Units / 28% ROI)
Cowboys Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Cowboys are 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Cowboys are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Cowboys are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Cowboys are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / ROI
Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bears are 0-2 (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).
- Bears are 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Bears are 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Bears are 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears
The Cowboys were 1-6 (.143) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Cowboys were winless (0-9) when allowing 27 or more points last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .183.
The Cowboys were 2-9 (.182) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays last season — T-6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .402.
The Cowboys were 1-7 (.125) when throwing at least 1 interception last season — 6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .376.
Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys
The Bears were winless (0-6) when allowing 250 or more passing yards last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .415.
The Bears were 1-7 (.125) on the road last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .476.
The Bears were winless (0-11) when scoring less than 22 points last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .229.
The Bears were 2-10 (.167) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
Additional Matchup Notes for Dallas Cowboys vs. Chicago Bears
The Bears were successful on 54.5% of plays they ran with motion last week — T-2nd-best in NFL. The Cowboys allowed a success rate of 60.0% against motion last week — worst in NFL.
The Bears have a third down conversion rate of just 12.3% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2024 season — T-5th-worst in NFL. The Cowboys defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 12.3% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2024 season — 4th-best in NFL.
Bears RBs have averaged just 1.7 yards after contact per carry since the 2024 season — T-2nd-worst in NFL. The Cowboys have allowed just 1.7 yards after contact per carry to RBs since the 2024 season — T-best in NFL.
The Cowboys have scored on 54.5% of their drives this season — 4th-best in NFL. The Bears defense has allowed scores on 52% of opponent drives this season — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Cowboys have been successful on just 30.0% of rush attempts on play action passes since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Bears have allowed a success rate of just 41.7% on rush attempts on play action passes since the 2024 season — T-5th-best in NFL.
The Cowboys have thrown the ball 61.9% of the time this season — 4th-highest in NFL. The Bears have allowed 9.8 yards per dropback this season — worst in NFL.
Dallas Cowboys Offense: Important Stats
The Cowboys committed 9 turnovers in the red zone last season — most in NFL.
The Cowboys averaged 0.00 epa per play on first read passes last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.21.
The Cowboys converted late downs on 1 of 9 plays (11%) with over 10 yards to go in Week 2 — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 4%.
The Cowboys ran successful plays on 44% of plays on first read passes last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
Chicago Bears Offense: Important Stats
The Bears averaged -0.33 epa per play on first drive of the game last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.
The Bears averaged just 3.1 yards per play on first drive of the game last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.5.
The Bears averaged 0.25 epa per play on contested throws last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: -0.06.
The Bears ran 2% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
Dallas Cowboys Defense: Important Stats
The Cowboys defense has allowed successful plays on 63% of plays on motion plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Cowboys defense has allowed successful plays on 74% of rush attempts on motion plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Cowboys defense has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 4 of 64 attempts (6%) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1%.
The Cowboys defense hurried opposing QBs on 22% of pass attempts last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 16%.
Chicago Bears Defense: Important Stats
The Bears defense has allowed 7 TD passes this season — most in NFL.
The Bears defense have allowed 9.5 yards per play against play action passes since the 2024 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7.5.
The Bears defense allowed 5 TD passes in Week 2 — most in NFL.
The Bears defense allowed 7 TDs in Week 2 — most in NFL.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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