Commanders vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 15

BetMGM Betting Dec 13, 2025, 11:20 AM

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A general overall interior view of MetLife Stadium as the New York Giants take on the Carolina Panthers during the first half an NFL football game, Sunday, Sept. 18, 2022, in East Rutherford, N.J. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig)

(AP Photo/Seth Wenig)

The Commanders are +2 point favorites vs the Giants
Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
Watch this game on FOX

The Washington Commanders (3-10-0) visit MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Giants (2-11-0) on Dec. 14. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in East Rutherford, NJ.

The Commanders are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at +2 (-110).

The Commanders vs. Giants Over/Under is 47.5 total points for the game.

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Commanders vs. Giants Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Commanders	+2 -110	47.5 -110	115
Giants	-2 -110	47.5 -110	-135

Commanders vs. Giants Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Giants will win this game with 55.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Commanders vs Giants Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Commanders will cover the spread with 52.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Commanders players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Commanders Player Prop Bets Today

Jaylin Lane has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.50 Units / 58% ROI)
Jayden Daniels has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.85 Units / 67% ROI)
Jacory Croskey-Merritt has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 63% ROI)
Jacory Croskey-Merritt has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.52 Units / 47% ROI)
Jayden Daniels has hit the Longest Rush Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 62% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Giants players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today

Wan’Dale Robinson has hit the Receptions Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+7.95 Units / 36% ROI)
Theo Johnson has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.75 Units / 60% ROI)
Theo Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
Jaxson Dart has hit the Interceptions Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+4.50 Units / 53% ROI)
Darius Slayton has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.40 Units / 25% ROI)

Commanders Best Bets:

The Washington Commanders have covered the 2H Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.04 Units / 29% ROI)
The Washington Commanders have hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 19 games (+4.19 Units / 18% ROI)
The Washington Commanders have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.30 Units / 13% ROI)
The Washington Commanders have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 13 of their last 22 games (+3.25 Units / 13% ROI)
The Washington Commanders have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+1.20 Units / 5% ROI)

Giants Best Bets:

The New York Giants have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 games (+7.40 Units / 40% ROI)
The New York Giants have hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 19 games (+7.35 Units / 38% ROI)
The New York Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.85 Units / 68% ROI)
The New York Giants have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+6.55 Units / 61% ROI)
The New York Giants have hit the 1H Team Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.35 Units / 28% ROI)

Commanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Commanders are 4-9 (-5.8 Units / -41.13% ROI).

Commanders are 3-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.2 Units / -48.81% ROI
Commanders are 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.2% ROI
Commanders are 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Giants are 7-6 (+0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI).

Giants are 2-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.55 Units / -42.69% ROI
Giants are 8-5 when betting the Over for +2.5 Units / 17.48% ROI
Giants are 5-8 when betting the Under for -3.8 Units / -26.57% ROI

Washington Commanders: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Giants

The Giants have turned the ball over on downs 8 times in the red zone this season — most in NFL.

The Giants have converted first downs on just 28 of 128 plays (22%) in the red zone this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 31%.

The Giants have scored 7 TDs on first drive of the game this season — T-most in NFL.

The Giants have run successful plays on 30% of plays in the red zone this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

New York Giants: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Commanders

The Commanders did not score on any of their 7 drives in Week 14 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Commanders have averaged -0.19 epa per play on first drive of the game this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.03.

The Commanders have scored on 15% of their drives (2/13) on first drive of the game this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Commanders have scored on 17% of their drives (5/29) in the 1st quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 33%.

Additional Matchup Notes for Washington Commanders vs. New York Giants