Commanders vs Falcons Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 4

• The Commanders are -1 point favorites vs the Falcons
• Total (Over/Under): 45 points
• Watch this game on CBS

The Washington Commanders (2-1-0) visit Mercedes-Benz Stadium to take on the Atlanta Falcons (1-2-0) on Sep. 28. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.

The Commanders are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -1 (-105).

The Commanders vs. Falcons Over/Under is 45 total points for the game.

Bet now on Falcons vs Commanders & all NFL games with BetMGM

Commanders vs. Falcons Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Commanders vs. Falcons Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Commanders will win this game with 66.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Commanders vs Falcons Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Commanders will cover the spread with 66.2% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

Bet now on Falcons vs Commanders and all NFL games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Commanders players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Commanders Player Prop Bets Today

• Jayden Daniels has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.85 Units / 70% ROI)
• Matt Gay has hit the Field Goals Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+7.60 Units / 35% ROI)
• Jayden Daniels has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.25 Units / 31% ROI)
• Deebo Samuel has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.15 Units / 26% ROI)
• Jayden Daniels has hit the Completions Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+4.70 Units / 46% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Falcons players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Falcons Player Prop Best Bets Today

• Bijan Robinson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.10 Units / 31% ROI)
• Tyler Allgeier has hit the Receptions Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+5.65 Units / 74% ROI)
• Michael Penix Jr. has hit the TD Passes Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
• Tyler Allgeier has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.75 Units / 41% ROI)
• Drake London has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+3.60 Units / 34% ROI)

Commanders Best Bets:

• The Washington Commanders have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.30 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Washington Commanders have covered the 2Q Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.10 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Washington Commanders have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 away games (+4.95 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Washington Commanders have covered the 2H Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.72 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Washington Commanders have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.67 Units / 29% ROI)

Falcons Best Bets:

• The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Atlanta Falcons have covered the 4Q Spread in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+2.10 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 19 games (+1.95 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.80 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.75 Units / 20% ROI)

Commanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Commanders are 2-1 (+0.9 Units / 28.13% ROI).

• Commanders are 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 19.23% ROI
• Commanders are 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
• Commanders are 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / ROI

Falcons Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Falcons are 1-2 (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).

• Falcons are 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.9 Units / -43.68% ROI
• Falcons are 0-3 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
• Falcons are 3-0 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI

Washington Commanders: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Falcons

Atlanta Falcons: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Commanders

Additional Matchup Notes for Washington Commanders vs. Atlanta Falcons

Washington Commanders Offense: Important Stats

Atlanta Falcons Offense: Important Stats

Washington Commanders Defense: Important Stats

Atlanta Falcons Defense: Important Stats

Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,500? Bet now on Falcons vs Commanders and all NFL games with BetMGM

More NFL Betting Predictions:

• Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
• Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
• Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
• Passing Yards Prop Predictions
• Receptions Made Prop Predictions
• Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
• Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
• QB Interception Prop Predictions
• Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
• NFL Betting Previews: Every Game

More NFL Odds at BetMGM

Take your football entertainment to the next level with NFL betting at the online sportsbook.

From futures like Chiefs Super Bowl odds, Lions odds to win the division, or Ravens playoff odds, to weekly odds like spreads, moneylines, and over/under totals, there’s something for everyone.

And with the best sportsbook promotions, you could land a welcome offer, sports betting Odds Boost, or a Parlay Boost! You can also check out NFL picks and predictions and updated Super Bowl predictions throughout the year.

Log in to your BetMGM account today — or sign up for a new account via the online sportsbook or BetMGM iOS app or BetMGM Android app — to start betting!