- The Colts are currently a 2.5-point home underdog against the Broncos.
- The favorites have won each of the Broncos' last 15 games.
- My Colts vs Broncos prediction is for the Broncos (-2.5) to cover the spread.
The Colts look to build off a blowout win over the Dolphins as home underdogs against the Broncos.Â
Indy produced a 33-8 win in Week 1, ending a long drought of Week 1 failures. Indianapolis’ achievement resulted in a half-point drop by oddsmakers from the lookahead line.Â
The Broncos staggered out of the gates as heavy favorites against Tennessee. Ultimately, Denver overcame multiple Bo Nix turnovers to win 20-12 at home.Â
Bet on Colts vs. Broncos and other NFL matchups with up-to-date NFL odds.Â
Colts vs. Broncos: NFL Week 2 Odds
Colts vs. Broncos Prediction
Sunday, September 7
Based on Daniel Jones’ poor ATS record as a short underdog and the weak historical record of dogs off a big win, my Colts vs Broncos prediction is the Broncos Spread (-2.5, -115).Â
This is simply too much respect for the Colts off a win against a not-very-good Dolphins team.Â
Turnovers greatly benefited the Colts in Week 1. Of Indianapolis’ 33 points, 17 were derived from drives following a Miami turnover.Â
Bo Nix suffered a lot of turnover misfortune against Tennessee. However, his exceptional defense bailed him out as Denver limited Tennessee to 2.4 yards per play.Â
Accordingly, bettors find Indianapolis in a strong sell-high spot. Historically, early underdogs off a big win have proven good fades.Â
Since 2003, dogs off a win by 21 or more points are 16-34-2 ATS in games 2-4. When those dogs are priced at +3 or shorter: 5-23-2 ATS.Â
Additionally, Daniel Jones lacks market viability as a short market pup.Â
The Duke product began his NFL career 8-4 ATS at +3.5 or shorter. In his last six starts within that range: 0-6 ATS with five losses by 20 or more points.Â
Meanwhile, Nix owns an 8-1 ATS record as a market favorite. Broncos head coach Sean Payton is also 37-21-2 (63.8%) ATS between -3.5 and -1 in his career, including 6-3-1 with Denver.Â
Based on those factors, I like the Broncos covering a short number in Week 2 to start 2-0.Â
Betting Colts vs. Broncos: NFL Public Betting
| Team | % of ATS Bets | % of ATS Money | % of ML Bets | % of ML Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broncos | 72% | 62% | 56% | 70% |
| Colts | 28% | 38% | 44% | 30% |
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