- The Chiefs are currently a 1-point home underdog against the Eagles.
- Chiefs home games are 63% to the under with Patrick Mahomes as the quarterback.
- My Chiefs vs Eagles prediction is the game Total Under 47 Points (-110).
It’s a Super Bowl rematch in Week 2 as the Chiefs host the Eagles in Kansas City.Â
Philadelphia has produced strong results against the Chiefs lately. Philadelphia has won two of the last three meetings against Kansas City, including a Super Bowl 59 win.Â
Both teams enter the year amongst the favorites in the Super Bowl odds. For Philadelphia, a Super Bowl win would match the Chiefs (2023-24) as back-to-back winners.Â
Bet on Chiefs vs. Eagles and other NFL matchups with up-to-date NFL odds.Â
Chiefs vs. Eagles: NFL Week 2 Odds
Chiefs vs. Eagles Prediction
Tuesday, September 9
With Jalen Carter avoiding a suspension on Sunday against Kansas City, my Chiefs vs Eagles prediction is the Total Under 47 Points (-110).Â
It’s clear that Carter’s absence impacted the Eagles defense against Dallas. Given that Philadelphia had no way to plan for it, my perspective is that the defense looked worse than its actual quality.Â
With Carter back in the fold, it should help boost Philadelphia’s run defense. On Sunday, bettors should expect a run-heavy approach from Kansas City.Â
Even if Xavier Worthy plays, he’ll draw Quinyon Mitchell in coverage. Accordingly, I’d expect him to prove a non-factor even at full health.Â
With Rashee Rice out, I question how the Chiefs move the ball against an Eagles side with a rest advantage.Â
That said, I worry about Philadelphia’s offensive viability. Yes, the team that just scored 40 on Kansas City seven months ago.Â
A new offensive coordinator is in tow, and Kansas City deploys its famous home-field advantage for Week 2.Â
With the total sitting on or above four key numbers – 41, 43, 44 and 47 – I like the under between two rested teams on Sunday.Â
Friday, September 5
Philadelphia’s game against Dallas on Thursday didn’t sway my opinion of this total.Â
What is worth monitoring is whether additional punishment befalls Eagles defensive tackle Jalen Carter. Without him, Philadelphia looked incapable of making a stop.Â
If Carter is out for Week 2 against Kansas City, my confidence in the under decreases slightly. Accordingly, bettors should wait on Carter’s status before making a decision on the total.Â
Thursday, September 4
Based on the extended rest for both teams and the matchup advantage for the Eagles defense, my Chiefs vs Eagles prediction is the Total Under 45.5 Points (-110).Â
I’m deciding between the game total and the Chiefs team total here. Either way, I rate it a good spot for the Eagles defense.Â
Philly allowed 22 points last February. However, most of those points came in garbage time for KC.Â
Entering this season, the biggest question for Philadelphia is the secondary. However, it gets a reprieve at KC with Rashee Rice serving the second of a six-game suspension.Â
Plus, we saw last year the effects on Philadelphia’s offense following the Brazil game. Albeit without A.J. Brown, Philadelphia left much to be desired against a bad Falcons defense.Â
The unknown here is the Chiefs defense against the Eagles offense. What gives me some reassurance is the fact that Kansas City plays at home rather than a neutral site.Â
Additionally, Philly’s offense could experience some early growing pains with a new offensive coordinator.Â
Historically, Kansas City home games have proved an under machine with Patrick Mahomes. In all Mahomes home starts, Chiefs games are 34-20-1 (63%) to the under.Â
Additionally, the current line sits above two key total numbers (43-44). Plus, history likes this spot to back the under.Â
Since 2003, games featuring a total between 43 and 45.5 are 54-28-1 (65.9%) to the under, assuming two factors:
- The road team has between 8 and 11 days off
- The home team has between 8 and 9 days off
Of slight concern – those games generally perform better with a home dog. Here are the splits by home favorite vs home dog:
- Home Favorite: 27-16-1 to the under
- Home Underdog: 27-12 to the under
Given those factors, I like the under in Kansas City.Â
Betting Chiefs vs. Eagles: NFL Public Betting
| Team | % of ATS Bets | % of ATS Money | % of ML Bets | % of ML Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles | 77% | 72% | 55% | 69% |
| Chiefs | 23% | 28% | 45% | 31% |
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.







