- The Chiefs are -6.5 point favorites vs the Giants
- Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
- Watch this game on NBC | PEAC | NBCU
The Kansas City Chiefs (0-2-0) visit MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Giants (0-2-0) on Sep. 21. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20pm EDT in East Rutherford, NJ.
The Chiefs are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Chiefs vs. Giants Over/Under is 45.5 total points for the game.
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Chiefs vs. Giants Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Chiefs | -6.5 -110 | 45.5 -110 | -295 |
| Giants | +6.5 -110 | 45.5 -110 | 240 |
Chiefs vs. Giants Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Chiefs will win this game with 90.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Chiefs vs Giants Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Chiefs will cover the spread with 90.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Chiefs players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Chiefs Player Prop Bets Today
- Isiah Pacheco has hit the Carries Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.85 Units / 55% ROI)
- Isiah Pacheco has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.75 Units / 51% ROI)
- Xavier Worthy has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 18 games (+4.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- Patrick Mahomes has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 12 of his last 19 games (+4.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- Travis Kelce has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 10 away games (+4.00 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Giants players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Russell Wilson has hit the TD Passes Over in 9 of his last 14 games (+6.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- Wan’Dale Robinson has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- Darius Slayton has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+5.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- Devin Singletary has hit the Carries Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 89% ROI)
- Theo Johnson has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.75 Units / 37% ROI)
Chiefs Best Bets:
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have covered the 2Q Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have covered the 4Q Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.30 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.15 Units / 14% ROI)
Giants Best Bets:
- The New York Giants have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+5.30 Units / 106% ROI)
- The New York Giants have covered the 4Q Spread in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- The New York Giants have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.65 Units / 45% ROI)
- The New York Giants have hit the 2H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+3.84 Units / 77% ROI)
- The New York Giants have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.70 Units / 53% ROI)
Chiefs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Chiefs are 0-2 (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).
- Chiefs are 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.65 Units / -100% ROI
- Chiefs are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Chiefs are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Giants are 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Giants are 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -100% ROI
- Giants are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Giants are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Kansas City Chiefs: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Giants
The Chiefs are 8-1 (.889) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2024 season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Giants have allowed an average of 141.8 rushing yards per game since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Chiefs were undefeated (8-0) at home last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .524.
The Chiefs were 4-1 (.800) vs top 10 offenses last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .318.
The Chiefs were 5-1 (.833) when not forcing a turnover last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .292.
New York Giants: Keys to the Game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs
The Giants were winless (0-4) vs top 10 pass defenses last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .553.
The Giants are winless (0-4) vs top 10 pass defenses since the 2024 season They play the Chiefs in Week 3 (Ranks 22nd in passing defense).
The Giants were 1-8 (.111) at home last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .524.
The Giants were winless (0-14) when trailing at the end of the third quarter last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .152.
Additional Matchup Notes for Kansas City Chiefs vs. New York Giants
The Giants have been successful on just 30.3% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field this season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Chiefs have allowed a success rate of just 40.0% on pass attempts on their own side of the field this season — 5th-best in NFL.
Giants RBs have rushed for 10 or more yards on just 8.3% of 351 carries since the 2024 season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Chiefs have allowed 10+ yards on just 6.8% of carries to RBs since the 2024 season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Giants have averaged just 320 yards from scrimmage per game (6,080 YFS / 19 G) since the 2024 season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Chiefs have allowed an average of just 333.3 yards from scrimmage per game (6,332/19) since the 2024 season — 5th-best in NFL.
The Chiefs have been successful on 51.2% of rush attempts this season — 4th-best in NFL. The Giants have allowed a success rate of 52.6% on rush attempts this season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Chiefs have averaged 0.08 epa per play with motion since the 2024 season — 5th-best in NFL. The Giants have allowed 0.10 epa per play against motion since the 2024 season — T-2nd-worst in NFL.
The Chiefs are 8-1 (.889) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2024 season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Giants have allowed an average of 141.8 rushing yards per game since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
Kansas City Chiefs Offense: Important Stats
The Chiefs have a third down conversion rate of 15% in the 1st half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Chiefs have averaged -0.15 epa per play on first read passes this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.23.
The Chiefs averaged just 2.2 yards per play against tight coverage last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 3.8.
The Chiefs have 16 of 33 (48%) first downs through the air this season — 3rd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 64%.
New York Giants Offense: Important Stats
The Giants committed 6 turnovers in the red zone last season — 2nd-most in NFL.
The Giants have run successful plays on 0% of rush attempts on first read passes since the 2024 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Giants averaged -0.19 epa per play on play action passes last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.09.
The Giants had 7 receptions for 20+ yards in Week 2 — most in NFL.
Kansas City Chiefs Defense: Important Stats
The Chiefs defense allowed successful plays on 8% of pass attempts from their own territory in Week 2 — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Chiefs defense allowed 93.7 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 126.8.
Offenses facing the Chiefs targeted WRs 79% of the time (44 Pass Attempts/56 plays) this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 58%.
The Chiefs defense has allowed 93.5 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs since the 2024 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 125.2.
New York Giants Defense: Important Stats
The Giants defense allowed a passer rating of 65.7 with tight coverage (122 Pass Attempts) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 28.0.
The Giants defense allowed -0.10 epa per play with tight coverage last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.43.
The Giants defense has allowed a passer rating of 112.0 on motion plays (258 Pass Attempts) since the 2024 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 96.0.
The Giants defense has allowed successful plays on 33% of pass attempts with tight coverage since the 2024 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 23%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
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- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
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