- The Chargers are -6.5 point favorites vs the Rams
- Total (Over/Under): 39.5 points
The Los Angeles Chargers (2-0-0) visit SoFi Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Rams (1-0-0) on Aug. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Inglewood, CA.
The – are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Chargers vs. Rams Over/Under is total points for the game.
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Chargers vs. Rams Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Chargers | |||
| Rams |
Chargers vs. Rams Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Rams will win this game with 71.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Chargers vs Rams Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Rams will cover the spread with 71.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Chargers players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Chargers Player Prop Bets Today
- Justin Herbert has hit the Interceptions Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.55 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Rams players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rams Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Matthew Stafford has hit the Interceptions Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.05 Units / 70% ROI)
Chargers Best Bets:
- The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.25 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 1H Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.90 Units / 54% ROI)
Rams Best Bets:
- The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+8.98 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Rams have covered the 2Q Spread in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.75 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Rams have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+7.25 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Rams have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.10 Units / 49% ROI)
Chargers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread last NFL season, the Chargers were ( Units / ROI).
- Chargers are 11-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.6 Units / 8.06% ROI
- Chargers are 9-9 when betting the Over for -0.9 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Chargers are 9-9 when betting the Under for -0.9 Units / ROI
Rams Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread last NFL season, the Rams were ( Units / ROI).
- Rams are 11-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.15 Units / 19.58% ROI
- Rams are 9-10 when betting the Over for -2.05 Units / -9.79% ROI
- Rams are 10-9 when betting the Under for +0.1 Units / 0.48% ROI
Los Angeles Chargers: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Rams
The Chargers were undefeated (9-0) when rushing for more than 100 yards last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .618.
The Chargers are 1-9 (.100) when within 3 points at the two minute warning since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Chargers were undefeated (8-0) vs bottom 10 offenses last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .729.
The Chargers were winless (0-4) vs top 10 run offenses last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .335.
Los Angeles Rams: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers
The Rams were winless (0-5) when losing at least one fumble last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .379.
The Rams were undefeated (7-0) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Rams were 8-5 (.615) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season — T-9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .565.
The Rams were 10-2 (.833) when not losing a fumble last season — 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .582.
Additional Matchup Notes for Los Angeles Chargers vs. Los Angeles Rams
The Rams averaged 0.28 epa per play on play action passes in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 4th-best in NFL. The Chargers allowed 0.31 epa per play on play action passes in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — T-4th-worst in NFL.
The Rams scored on 29.1% of their drives in the first half last season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Chargers defense allowed scores on 25.3% of opponent drives in the first half last season — 2nd-best in NFL.
The Rams scored on 14.3% of their drives in the first quarter last season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Chargers defense allowed scores on 17% of opponent drives in the first quarter last season — 2nd-best in NFL.
The Chargers were successful on 56.3% of pass attempts with motion in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 4th-best in NFL. The Rams pressured opposing QBs on 13.3% of pass attempts against motion in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Chargers had a third down conversion rate of 52.2% in the second half in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 5th-best in NFL. The Rams defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 52.4% in the second half in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Chargers were successful on 55.9% of pass attempts against a heavy rush last season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Rams pressured opposing QBs on 16.7% of pass attempts with a heavy rush last season — worst in NFL.
Los Angeles Chargers Offense: Important Stats
The Chargers threw the ball 19% of the time (12 Pass Attempts/63 plays) on 3rd and short last season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Chargers have started 45 drives inside their own 10 yard line since the 2023 season — most in NFL.
The Chargers ran successful plays on 31% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Chargers averaged just 17.6 offensive penalty yards per game (299/17) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 25.3.
Los Angeles Rams Offense: Important Stats
The Rams did not convert a late down on 149 plays (0%) with over 10 yards to go last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 3%.
The Rams ran successful plays on 41% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 48%.
The Rams ran successful plays on 71% of pass attempts against a light rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Rams scored on 14% of their drives (6/42) in the 1st quarter last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 30%.
Los Angeles Chargers Defense: Important Stats
The Chargers defense allowed 7 rushing TDs on 414 carries (59.1 Carries Per TD) last season — best Carries Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 27.9.
The Chargers defense allowed 6 TDs that were 20+ yards in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — most in NFL.
The Chargers defense allowed successful plays on 53% of plays open coverage last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 60%.
The Chargers defense allowed just 1.1 TDs per game (18/16) in the red zone last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 1.9.
Los Angeles Rams Defense: Important Stats
The Rams defense allowed a passer rating of just 49.8 on 3rd and long (63 Pass Attempts) last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 83.1.
The Rams defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 47% in the 2nd half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
The Rams defense has allowed opponents to catch just 66 of 131 passes (50% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 62%.
The Rams defense has allowed a Completion Pct of just 47% (66 completions/142 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 60%.
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