- The Chargers are -3.5 point favorites vs the Raiders
- Total (Over/Under): 47 points
- Watch this game on ESPN
The Los Angeles Chargers (1-0-0) visit Allegiant Stadium to take on the Las Vegas Raiders (1-0-0) on Sep. 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Las Vegas, NV.
The Chargers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).
The Chargers vs. Raiders Over/Under is 47 total points for the game.
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Chargers vs. Raiders Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Chargers | -3.5 -105 | 47 -110 | -190 |
| Raiders | ++3.5 -115 | 47 -110 | 155 |
Chargers vs. Raiders Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Chargers will win this game with 64.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Chargers vs Raiders Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Chargers will cover the spread with 52.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Chargers players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Chargers Player Prop Bets Today
- Justin Herbert has hit the Interceptions Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.55 Units / 40% ROI)
- Ladd McConkey has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 53% ROI)
- Gus Edwards has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Justin Herbert has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.85 Units / 65% ROI)
- Najee Harris has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.30 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Raiders players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Raiders Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Geno Smith has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.95 Units / 70% ROI)
- Jakobi Meyers has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.05 Units / 47% ROI)
- Geno Smith has hit the TD Passes Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- Geno Smith has hit the Passing Yards Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 53% ROI)
- Tre Tucker has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.60 Units / 42% ROI)
Chargers Best Bets:
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.15 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 22 games (+6.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.90 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 48% ROI)
Raiders Best Bets:
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+4.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+3.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+3.20 Units / 42% ROI)
Chargers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Chargers are 1-0 (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Chargers are 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.4 Units / 140% ROI
- Chargers are 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Chargers are 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / ROI
Raiders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Raiders are 1-0 (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Raiders are 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 120% ROI
- Raiders are 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Raiders are 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Los Angeles Chargers: Keys to the Game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders
The Chargers were 4-2 (.667) when not forcing a turnover last season — T-3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .292.
The Chargers were winless (0-4) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Chargers were undefeated (9-0) when rushing for more than 100 yards last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .618.
The Chargers were winless (0-4) vs top 10 run offenses last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .335.
Las Vegas Raiders: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers
The Raiders were 1-12 (.077) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .469.
The Raiders were 2-5 (.286) when sacking the QB 3 or more times last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .664.
The Raiders were 1-9 (.100) when losing at least one fumble last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .379.
The Raiders were 2-8 (.200) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes last season — T-5th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .433.
Additional Matchup Notes for Los Angeles Chargers vs. Las Vegas Raiders
The Raiders were successful on just 37.6% of plays they ran with motion last season — T-3rd-worst in NFL. The Chargers allowed a success rate of just 40.8% against motion last season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Raiders had a third down conversion rate of just 34.8% last season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Chargers defense allowed a third down conversion rate of just 35.6% last season — T-4th-best in NFL.
The Raiders had 10 rushing touchdowns last season — 5th-fewest in NFL. The Chargers allowed 7 rushing TDs last season — fewest in NFL.
The Chargers went three and out on 22.6% of their drives in the fourth quarter last season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Raiders forced three and outs on 23% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter last season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Chargers turned the ball over 8 times last season — fewest in NFL. The Raiders forced 13 turnovers last season — T-3rd-fewest in NFL.
The Chargers scored on 6.2% of their drives in late and close games last season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Raiders defense allowed scores on 0% of opponent drives in close and late situations last season — best in NFL.
Los Angeles Chargers Offense: Important Stats
The Chargers started 24 drives inside their own 10 yard line last season — most in NFL.
The Chargers threw the ball 19% of the time (12 Pass Attempts/63 plays) on 3rd and short last season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Chargers ran the ball on 81% of plays (51 carries/63 plays) on 3rd and short last season — 2nd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
The Chargers averaged -1.96 epa per play when their QB was scrambling in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.25.
Las Vegas Raiders Offense: Important Stats
The Raiders had 9 receptions for 20+ yards in Week 1 — most in NFL.
The Raiders ran successful plays on 29% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Raiders ran successful plays on 20% of rush attempts against a light front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Raiders had a third down conversion rate of 7% on third and 10+ yards to go last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 18%.
Los Angeles Chargers Defense: Important Stats
The Chargers defense allowed successful plays on 75% of plays in the 3rd quarter in Week 1 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
The Chargers defense have allowed 8.4 yards per play when the opposing QB has scrambled since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 4.7.
The Chargers defense allowed 7 rushing TDs on 414 carries (59.1 Carries Per TD) last season — best Carries Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 27.9.
The Chargers defense allowed successful plays on 53% of plays open coverage last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 60%.
Las Vegas Raiders Defense: Important Stats
The Raiders defense have allowed just 4.0 yards per play on contested throws since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 5.3.
The Raiders defense allowed successful plays on 26% of pass attempts on contested throws last season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 35%.
The Raiders defense allowed successful plays on 56% of pass attempts open coverage last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 61%.
The Raiders defense allowed a passer rating of 106.4 when the opposing QB was scrambling (48 Pass Attempts) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 64.8.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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