- The Chargers are -6.5 point favorites vs the Giants
- Total (Over/Under): 44 points
- Watch this game on CBS
The Los Angeles Chargers (3-0-0) visit MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Giants (0-3-0) on Sep. 28. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in East Rutherford, NJ.
The Chargers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Chargers vs. Giants Over/Under is 44 total points for the game.
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Chargers vs. Giants Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Chargers | -6.5 -110 | 44 -118 | -300 |
| Giants | +6.5 -110 | 44 -110 | 240 |
Chargers vs. Giants Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Chargers will win this game with 84.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Chargers vs Giants Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Chargers will cover the spread with 84.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Chargers players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Chargers Player Prop Bets Today
- Justin Herbert has hit the Interceptions Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+8.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- Cameron Dicker has hit the Field Goals Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+7.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- Najee Harris has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- Justin Herbert has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 away games (+4.75 Units / 47% ROI)
- Najee Harris has hit the Carries Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+4.60 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Giants players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Russell Wilson has hit the TD Passes Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+5.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- Theo Johnson has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+5.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- Devin Singletary has hit the Carries Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 89% ROI)
- Graham Gano has hit the Field Goals Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Devin Singletary has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.55 Units / 36% ROI)
Chargers Best Bets:
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 22 games (+10.15 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 away games (+4.95 Units / 40% ROI)
Giants Best Bets:
- The New York Giants have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.65 Units / 50% ROI)
- The New York Giants have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.60 Units / 43% ROI)
- The New York Giants have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 17 games (+4.12 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New York Giants have covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Giants have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.45 Units / 23% ROI)
Chargers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Chargers are 3-0 (+3 Units / 88.24% ROI).
- Chargers are 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.4 Units / 78.16% ROI
- Chargers are 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Chargers are 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Giants are 1-2 (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Giants are 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -100% ROI
- Giants are 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Giants are 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
Los Angeles Chargers: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Giants
The Chargers have run successful plays on 71% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Chargers have thrown the ball 22% of the time (17 Pass Attempts/76 plays) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Chargers have run successful plays on 32% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Chargers have converted first downs on just 29 of 63 plays (46%) on second and 1-3 yards to go since the 2024 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 60%.
New York Giants: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers
The Giants have averaged -0.41 epa per play at home this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.02.
The Giants have run successful plays on 29% of rush attempts on play action passes since the 2024 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 53%.
The Giants have a third down conversion rate of 11% in the 2nd half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 37%.
The Giants have converted first downs on just 3 of 32 plays (9%) in the red zone this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 31%.
Additional Matchup Notes for Los Angeles Chargers vs. New York Giants
The Giants have averaged -0.41 epa per play at home this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.02.
The Giants have run successful plays on 29% of rush attempts on play action passes since the 2024 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 53%.
The Giants have a third down conversion rate of 11% in the 2nd half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 37%.
The Giants have converted first downs on just 3 of 32 plays (9%) in the red zone this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 31%.
The Chargers have run successful plays on 71% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Chargers have thrown the ball 22% of the time (17 Pass Attempts/76 plays) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Chargers have run successful plays on 32% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Chargers have converted first downs on just 29 of 63 plays (46%) on second and 1-3 yards to go since the 2024 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 60%.
Los Angeles Chargers Offense: Important Stats
The Chargers have run successful plays on 71% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Chargers have thrown the ball 22% of the time (17 Pass Attempts/76 plays) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Chargers have run successful plays on 32% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Chargers have converted first downs on just 29 of 63 plays (46%) on second and 1-3 yards to go since the 2024 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 60%.
New York Giants Offense: Important Stats
The Giants have averaged -0.41 epa per play at home this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.02.
The Giants have run successful plays on 29% of rush attempts on play action passes since the 2024 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 53%.
The Giants have a third down conversion rate of 11% in the 2nd half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 37%.
The Giants have converted first downs on just 3 of 32 plays (9%) in the red zone this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 31%.
Los Angeles Chargers Defense: Important Stats
The Chargers have run successful plays on 71% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Chargers have thrown the ball 22% of the time (17 Pass Attempts/76 plays) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Chargers have run successful plays on 32% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Chargers have converted first downs on just 29 of 63 plays (46%) on second and 1-3 yards to go since the 2024 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 60%.
New York Giants Defense: Important Stats
The Giants have averaged -0.41 epa per play at home this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.02.
The Giants have run successful plays on 29% of rush attempts on play action passes since the 2024 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 53%.
The Giants have a third down conversion rate of 11% in the 2nd half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 37%.
The Giants have converted first downs on just 3 of 32 plays (9%) in the red zone this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 31%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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