- The Chiefs are -4.5 point favorites vs the Chargers
- Total (Over/Under): 41.5 points
- Watch this game on CBS
The Los Angeles Chargers (9-4-0) visit GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium to take on the Kansas City Chiefs (6-7-0) on Dec. 14. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Kansas City, MO.
The Chiefs are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Chargers vs. Chiefs Over/Under is 41.5 total points for the game.
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Chargers vs. Chiefs Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Chargers | +4.5 -110 | 41.5 -110 | 170 |
| Chiefs | -4.5 -110 | 41.5 -110 | -210 |
Chargers vs. Chiefs Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Chiefs will win this game with 65.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Chargers vs Chiefs Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Chargers will cover the spread with 54.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Chargers players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Chargers Player Prop Bets Today
- Justin Herbert has hit the Interceptions Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+7.20 Units / 39% ROI)
- Justin Herbert has hit the Longest Rush Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.65 Units / 44% ROI)
- Cameron Dicker has hit the Field Goals Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.70 Units / 45% ROI)
- Oronde Gadsden II has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.65 Units / 43% ROI)
- Ladd McConkey has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.50 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Chiefs players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Chiefs Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Kareem Hunt has hit the Receptions Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.05 Units / 35% ROI)
- Marquise Brown has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+7.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Kareem Hunt has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- Brashard Smith has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 6 games (+6.05 Units / 92% ROI)
- Patrick Mahomes has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+5.50 Units / 46% ROI)
Chargers Best Bets:
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.48 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games (+4.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+2.90 Units / 14% ROI)
Chiefs Best Bets:
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+8.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have covered the 4Q Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 2H Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+5.29 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+5.15 Units / 27% ROI)
Chargers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Chargers are 7-6 (+0.4 Units / 2.78% ROI).
- Chargers are 9-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.15 Units / 7.47% ROI
- Chargers are 6-7 when betting the Over for -1.7 Units / -11.89% ROI
- Chargers are 7-6 when betting the Under for +0.4 Units / ROI
Chiefs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Chiefs are 5-8 (-3.8 Units / -26.57% ROI).
- Chiefs are 6-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.9 Units / -17.64% ROI
- Chiefs are 4-9 when betting the Over for -5.9 Units / -41.26% ROI
- Chiefs are 9-4 when betting the Under for +4.6 Units / 32.17% ROI
Los Angeles Chargers: Keys to the Game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs
The Chargers were successful on just 31.0% of plays they ran last week — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Chiefs allowed a success rate of just 30.8% last week — T-best in NFL.
The Chargers were successful on just 34.2% of rush attempts last week — 5th-worst in NFL. The Chiefs allowed a success rate of just 32.3% on rush attempts last week — 4th-best in NFL.
The Chargers allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 76.9% of pass attempts last week — worst in NFL. The Chiefs had pressured opposing QBs on 51.6% of passing plays last week — 3rd-best in NFL.
Kansas City Chiefs: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers
Chargers are 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes in a game (6th-best in NFL) and just .333 when allowing 5 or more explosive passes in a game this season (10th-worst in NFL).
The Chargers are 3-2 (.600) on the road this season — T-9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .458.
The Chargers are 5-1 (.833) when within 7 points at the two minute warning this season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .495.
The Chargers are 3-1 (.750) when allowing less than 3 sacks this season — 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .575.
Additional Matchup Notes for Los Angeles Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Chargers are 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes in a game (6th-best in NFL) and just .333 when allowing 5 or more explosive passes in a game this season (10th-worst in NFL).
The Chargers are 3-2 (.600) on the road this season — T-9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .458.
The Chargers are 5-1 (.833) when within 7 points at the two minute warning this season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .495.
The Chargers are 3-1 (.750) when allowing less than 3 sacks this season — 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .575.
The Chargers were successful on just 31.0% of plays they ran last week — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Chiefs allowed a success rate of just 30.8% last week — T-best in NFL.
The Chargers were successful on just 34.2% of rush attempts last week — 5th-worst in NFL. The Chiefs allowed a success rate of just 32.3% on rush attempts last week — 4th-best in NFL.
The Chargers allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 76.9% of pass attempts last week — worst in NFL. The Chiefs had pressured opposing QBs on 51.6% of passing plays last week — 3rd-best in NFL.
Los Angeles Chargers Offense: Important Stats
The Chargers were successful on just 31.0% of plays they ran last week — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Chiefs allowed a success rate of just 30.8% last week — T-best in NFL.
The Chargers were successful on just 34.2% of rush attempts last week — 5th-worst in NFL. The Chiefs allowed a success rate of just 32.3% on rush attempts last week — 4th-best in NFL.
The Chargers allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 76.9% of pass attempts last week — worst in NFL. The Chiefs had pressured opposing QBs on 51.6% of passing plays last week — 3rd-best in NFL.
Kansas City Chiefs Offense: Important Stats
Chargers are 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes in a game (6th-best in NFL) and just .333 when allowing 5 or more explosive passes in a game this season (10th-worst in NFL).
The Chargers are 3-2 (.600) on the road this season — T-9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .458.
The Chargers are 5-1 (.833) when within 7 points at the two minute warning this season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .495.
The Chargers are 3-1 (.750) when allowing less than 3 sacks this season — 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .575.
Los Angeles Chargers Defense: Important Stats
The Chargers were successful on just 31.0% of plays they ran last week — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Chiefs allowed a success rate of just 30.8% last week — T-best in NFL.
The Chargers were successful on just 34.2% of rush attempts last week — 5th-worst in NFL. The Chiefs allowed a success rate of just 32.3% on rush attempts last week — 4th-best in NFL.
The Chargers allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 76.9% of pass attempts last week — worst in NFL. The Chiefs had pressured opposing QBs on 51.6% of passing plays last week — 3rd-best in NFL.
Kansas City Chiefs Defense: Important Stats
Chargers are 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes in a game (6th-best in NFL) and just .333 when allowing 5 or more explosive passes in a game this season (10th-worst in NFL).
The Chargers are 3-2 (.600) on the road this season — T-9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .458.
The Chargers are 5-1 (.833) when within 7 points at the two minute warning this season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .495.
The Chargers are 3-1 (.750) when allowing less than 3 sacks this season — 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .575.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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