Cardinals vs Texans Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 15

BetMGM Betting Dec 13, 2025, 11:20 AM

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A detail view of a Houston Texans helmet on the sideline prior to an NFL preseason football game against the Carolina Panthers, Saturday, Aug. 16, 2025, in Houston. (AP Photo/Maria Lysaker)

(AP Photo/Maria Lysaker)

The Texans are -9.5 point favorites vs the Cardinals
Total (Over/Under): 42.5 points
Watch this game on FOX

The Arizona Cardinals (3-10-0) visit NRG Stadium to take on the Houston Texans (8-5-0) on Dec. 14. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Houston, TX.

The Texans are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-115).

The Cardinals vs. Texans Over/Under is 42.5 total points for the game.

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Cardinals vs. Texans Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Cardinals	+9.5 -105	42.5 -115	400
Texans	-9.5 -115	42.5 -105	-525

Cardinals vs. Texans Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Texans will win this game with 79.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Cardinals vs Texans Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Texans will cover the spread with 56.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Cardinals players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today

Jacoby Brissett has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 87% ROI)
Jacoby Brissett has hit the TD Passes Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.70 Units / 86% ROI)
Michael Carter has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 89% ROI)
Zonovan Knight has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 62% ROI)
Jacoby Brissett has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 62% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Texans players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Texans Player Prop Best Bets Today

Ka’imi Fairbairn has hit the Field Goals Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.15 Units / 46% ROI)
Xavier Hutchinson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.60 Units / 50% ROI)
Xavier Hutchinson has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.40 Units / 46% ROI)
Woody Marks has hit the Carries Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.15 Units / 69% ROI)
Nick Chubb has hit the Longest Rush Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 48% ROI)

Cardinals Best Bets:

The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.50 Units / 44% ROI)
The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 away games (+7.70 Units / 81% ROI)
The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 2H Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 away games (+6.70 Units / 71% ROI)
The Arizona Cardinals have covered the 2H Spread in 7 of their last 8 away games (+6.00 Units / 63% ROI)
The Arizona Cardinals have covered the 3Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 away games (+6.00 Units / 61% ROI)

Texans Best Bets:

The Houston Texans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+7.90 Units / 33% ROI)
The Houston Texans have covered the 4Q Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.50 Units / 29% ROI)
The Houston Texans have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 games (+6.00 Units / 20% ROI)
The Houston Texans have covered the 2H Spread in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.53 Units / 21% ROI)
The Houston Texans have hit the 2H Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+3.99 Units / 35% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Cardinals are 6-7 (-1.7 Units / -11.89% ROI).

Cardinals are 3-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.7 Units / -48.14% ROI
Cardinals are 8-5 when betting the Over for +2.5 Units / 17.48% ROI
Cardinals are 5-8 when betting the Under for -3.8 Units / ROI

Texans Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Texans are 7-6 (+0.35 Units / 2.44% ROI).

Texans are 8-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.4 Units / 22.86% ROI
Texans are 3-9 when betting the Over for -6.9 Units / -48.25% ROI
Texans are 9-3 when betting the Under for +5.7 Units / 39.86% ROI

Arizona Cardinals: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Texans

The Texans ran successful plays on 0% of plays in the 3rd quarter in Week 14 — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Texans ran successful plays on 29% of plays on first read passes in Week 14 — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 53%.

The Texans have gone three and out on 33% of their drives since Week 11 — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Texans have run successful plays on 35% of rush attempts in the 2nd half this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

Houston Texans: Keys to the Game vs. the Arizona Cardinals

The Cardinals have gone three and out on 3% of their drives in the 1st quarter this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: 21%.

The Cardinals ran successful plays on 0% of rush attempts on motion plays in Week 14 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Cardinals have run the ball on 25% of plays (67 carries/269 plays) since Week 11 — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

12% of the Cardinals offense’s first downs (2 of 17) came on the ground in Week 14 — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

Additional Matchup Notes for Arizona Cardinals vs. Houston Texans