Buccaneers vs. Jets: NFL Week 3 Odds, Prediction

After a blowout loss against the Bills in Week 2, the Jets travel to Florida to face the Buccaneers. 

New York dropped to 0-2 SU on the season with a 30-10 loss as home dogs to Buffalo. It marks the second game in a row that the Jets defense surrendered at least 30 points. 

Tampa Bay’s result is yet to be determined. Todd Bowles’ team faces a non-conference meeting with the Texans on Monday Night Football as it seeks a 2-0 start to the season. 

Bet on Buccaneers vs. Jets and other NFL matchups with up-to-date NFL odds. 

Buccaneers vs. Jets: NFL Week 3 Odds

Buccaneers vs. Jets Prediction

Wednesday, September 17

Tyrod Taylor will start in place of Justin Fields on Sunday. The latter sustained a concussion in Week 2 against the Bills and failed to clear protocol in time for Week 3.

However, no change occurs to my prediction based on the switch from Fields to Taylor. It remains a sell-high spot on Tampa Bay after two straight covers with a short turnaround from a road MNF contest.

Plus, Taylor has excelled against the spread in his career as an underdog. Through 36 starts as a dog, Taylor is 21-12-3 ATS, including 8-3-2 between +3.5 and +7.

Sunday, September 14

Based on the rest advantage for the Jets and Baker Mayfield’s weak ATS record as a favorite, my Buccaneers vs Jets prediction is the Jets Spread (+7, -110). 

The time has come to buy low on the Jets after a blowout loss against the Bills, a clear Super Bowl contender. Is that enough to warrant New York sitting on a key number? I say no. 

Through two weeks, I’ve left impressed with the Jets offense. Justin Fields provides a rushing threat on a team that possesses decent skill players. 

Against the Steelers and Bills, New York combined to average 4.75 yards per rush attempt. If that success continues, it gives a chance to keep Tampa Bay’s offense off the field. 

Plus, the Bucs have to play on short rest following a road MNF game. If this line gets to Jets +6.5, it triggers a historically profitable betting system. 

Since 2003, home favorites between -6.5 and -2.5 in games 3-15 are 17-52-2 ATS, assuming the dog has a +1 day rest advantage. 

Between -6.5 and -5.5: 1-12 ATS. 

Plus, Mayfield has struggled as a decent-sized favorite in his career. As a market favorite between -7 and -3, Mayfield owns a 9-15-1 ATS record. 

One final trend to consider: 0-2 underdogs in Week 3 riding a two-game losing streak are 49-33-2 ATS at +7 or shorter, including 20-12 between +5.5 and +7. 

Given those factors, I like the Jets to cover the number in Florida. 

Betting Buccaneers vs. Jets: NFL Public Betting