- The Buccaneers are -2.5 point favorites vs the Steelers
- Total (Over/Under): 38.5 points
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-0-0) visit Acrisure Stadium to take on the Pittsburgh Steelers (1-0-0) on Aug. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA, PA.
The – are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Buccaneers vs. Steelers Over/Under is total points for the game.
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Buccaneers vs. Steelers Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Buccaneers | |||
| Steelers |
Buccaneers vs. Steelers Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Steelers will win this game with 79.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Buccaneers vs Steelers Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Steelers will cover the spread with 75.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Buccaneers players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Buccaneers Player Prop Bets Today
- Bucky Irving has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.20 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Steelers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Steelers Player Prop Best Bets Today
- DK Metcalf has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.35 Units / 76% ROI)
Buccaneers Best Bets:
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.55 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+8.77 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have covered the 4Q Spread in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+7.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.15 Units / 32% ROI)
Steelers Best Bets:
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 3Q Spread in 15 of their last 18 games (+12.15 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games (+10.75 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.60 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 2Q Spread in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.75 Units / 56% ROI)
Buccaneers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread last NFL season, the Buccaneers were ( Units / ROI).
- Buccaneers are 10-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 2.85% ROI
- Buccaneers are 12-6 when betting the Over for +5.4 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Buccaneers are 6-12 when betting the Under for -7.2 Units / ROI
Steelers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread last NFL season, the Steelers were ( Units / ROI).
- Steelers are 10-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.1 Units / 8.42% ROI
- Steelers are 8-10 when betting the Over for -3 Units / -15.15% ROI
- Steelers are 10-8 when betting the Under for +1.2 Units / 6.06% ROI
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers
The Buccaneers were winless (0-3) when within 3 points at the two minute warning last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Buccaneers were 3-1 (.750) vs top 10 run offenses last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .335.
The Buccaneers were 9-5 (.643) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season — 10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Buccaneers were 4-1 (.800) vs top 10 pass defenses last season — T-6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .553.
Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Steelers were undefeated (7-0) when not losing a fumble last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .582.
The Steelers were 10-7 (.588) last season — T-10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Steelers were 9-3 (.750) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent last season — T-9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .618.
The Steelers were winless (0-4) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .249.
Additional Matchup Notes for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
The Steelers scored on 15.4% of their drives in the fourth quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Buccaneers defense allowed scores on 0% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL.
The Steelers scored on 21.1% of their drives in the second half in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Buccaneers defense allowed scores on 9.5% of opponent drives in the second half in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL.
The Steelers averaged just -0.21 epa per play in the second half in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Buccaneers allowed just -0.47 epa per play in the second half in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL.
The Buccaneers were successful on 53.7% of pass attempts with motion last season — T-3rd-best in NFL. The Steelers allowed a success rate of 54.9% on pass attempts against motion last season — worst in NFL.
The Buccaneers were successful on 61.6% of pass attempts on play action passes last season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Steelers allowed a success rate of 59.6% on pass attempts on play action passes last season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Buccaneers averaged 0.23 epa per play with motion in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 4th-best in NFL. The Steelers allowed 0.16 epa per play against motion in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — T-5th-worst in NFL.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Offense: Important Stats
The Buccaneers ran successful plays on 48% of pass attempts on passes when their QB was pressured last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 32%.
The Buccaneers had a third down conversion rate of 60% in the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 38%.
The Buccaneers had a third down conversion rate of 33% on third and 10+ yards to go last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 18%.
The Buccaneers threw for 41 TDs last season — T-2nd-most in NFL.
Pittsburgh Steelers Offense: Important Stats
The Steelers averaged 0.25 epa per play on contested throws last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: -0.06.
The Steelers averaged 8.4 yards per play on contested throws last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.3.
The Steelers threw the ball 25% of the time (26 Pass Attempts/104 plays) on 1st down in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Steelers averaged -0.26 epa per play on first drive of the game last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Defense: Important Stats
The Buccaneers defense allowed successful plays on 30% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Buccaneers defense blitzed on 25% of plays last season — 2nd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
The Buccaneers defense allowed a late down conversion rate of 4% when opponents had 4-6 yards to go in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 10%.
The Buccaneers defense allowed a passer rating of just 89.1 against play action passes (106 Pass Attempts) last season — 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: 103.1.
Pittsburgh Steelers Defense: Important Stats
The Steelers defense allowed scores on 18% of opponent drives (8/45) in the 3rd quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 32%.
The Steelers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 68.3 in the red zone (149 Pass Attempts) since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 94.6.
The Steelers defense allowed successful plays on 58% of plays first read passes last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
The Steelers defense forced 6 turnovers in the red zone last season — T-most in NFL.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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