Buccaneers vs Seahawks Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 5

• The Seahawks are -3.5 point favorites vs the Buccaneers
• Total (Over/Under): 44.5 points
• Watch this game on CBS

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-1-0) visit Lumen Field to take on the Seattle Seahawks (3-1-0) on Oct. 5. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Seattle, WA.

The Seahawks are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-102).

The Buccaneers vs. Seahawks Over/Under is 44.5 total points for the game.

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Buccaneers vs. Seahawks Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Buccaneers vs. Seahawks Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Seahawks will win this game with 69.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Buccaneers vs Seahawks Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bucs will cover the spread with 54.5% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Buccaneers players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Buccaneers Player Prop Bets Today

• Baker Mayfield has hit the TD Passes Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.60 Units / 40% ROI)
• Bucky Irving has hit the Receptions Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.83 Units / 35% ROI)
• Baker Mayfield has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.80 Units / 65% ROI)
• Rachaad White has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.85 Units / 64% ROI)
• Cade Otton has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+5.10 Units / 29% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Seahawks players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Seahawks Player Prop Best Bets Today

• Jaxon Smith-Njigba has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.80 Units / 65% ROI)
• Kenneth Walker III has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.90 Units / 65% ROI)
• Zach Charbonnet has hit the Carries Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.75 Units / 35% ROI)
• Jaxon Smith-Njigba has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+4.95 Units / 47% ROI)
• Cooper Kupp has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+4.20 Units / 44% ROI)

Buccaneers Best Bets:

• The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+9.25 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+9.00 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+7.62 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have covered the 3Q Spread in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.45 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.30 Units / 27% ROI)

Seahawks Best Bets:

• The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+5.08 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+4.85 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+3.75 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Seattle Seahawks have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+3.70 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Seattle Seahawks have covered the 3Q Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.50 Units / 15% ROI)

Buccaneers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Buccaneers are 2-2 (-0.2 Units / -4.65% ROI).

• Buccaneers are 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.25 Units / 36.29% ROI
• Buccaneers are 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
• Buccaneers are 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / ROI

Seahawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Seahawks are 3-1 (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI).

• Seahawks are 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.65 Units / 38.41% ROI
• Seahawks are 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
• Seahawks are 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Keys to the Game vs. the Seattle Seahawks

The Seahawks have scored on 44.4% of their drives in the first quarter this season — T-5th-best in NFL. The Buccaneers defense has allowed scores on 62.5% of opponent drives in the first quarter this season — T-2nd-worst in NFL.

The Seahawks have been successful on just 35.5% of rush attempts with motion since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Buccaneers have allowed a success rate of just 36.3% on rush attempts against motion since the 2024 season — 2nd-best in NFL.

The Seahawks have a third down conversion rate of just 12.5% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2024 season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Buccaneers defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 11.6% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2024 season — 4th-best in NFL.

Seattle Seahawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Seahawks have averaged 13.2 yards per play when their QB has scrambled this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 4.3.

The Seahawks have run successful plays on 28% of rush attempts on motion plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Seahawks have converted first downs on 10 of 12 plays (83%) on 3rd and short this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 60%.

The Seahawks ran successful plays on 22% of rush attempts on motion plays in Week 4 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

Additional Matchup Notes for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Seattle Seahawks

The Seahawks have averaged 13.2 yards per play when their QB has scrambled this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 4.3.

The Seahawks have run successful plays on 28% of rush attempts on motion plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Seahawks have converted first downs on 10 of 12 plays (83%) on 3rd and short this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 60%.

The Seahawks ran successful plays on 22% of rush attempts on motion plays in Week 4 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Seahawks have scored on 44.4% of their drives in the first quarter this season — T-5th-best in NFL. The Buccaneers defense has allowed scores on 62.5% of opponent drives in the first quarter this season — T-2nd-worst in NFL.

The Seahawks have been successful on just 35.5% of rush attempts with motion since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Buccaneers have allowed a success rate of just 36.3% on rush attempts against motion since the 2024 season — 2nd-best in NFL.

The Seahawks have a third down conversion rate of just 12.5% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2024 season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Buccaneers defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 11.6% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2024 season — 4th-best in NFL.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Offense: Important Stats

The Seahawks have scored on 44.4% of their drives in the first quarter this season — T-5th-best in NFL. The Buccaneers defense has allowed scores on 62.5% of opponent drives in the first quarter this season — T-2nd-worst in NFL.

The Seahawks have been successful on just 35.5% of rush attempts with motion since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Buccaneers have allowed a success rate of just 36.3% on rush attempts against motion since the 2024 season — 2nd-best in NFL.

The Seahawks have a third down conversion rate of just 12.5% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2024 season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Buccaneers defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 11.6% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2024 season — 4th-best in NFL.

Seattle Seahawks Offense: Important Stats

The Seahawks have averaged 13.2 yards per play when their QB has scrambled this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 4.3.

The Seahawks have run successful plays on 28% of rush attempts on motion plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Seahawks have converted first downs on 10 of 12 plays (83%) on 3rd and short this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 60%.

The Seahawks ran successful plays on 22% of rush attempts on motion plays in Week 4 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Defense: Important Stats

The Seahawks have scored on 44.4% of their drives in the first quarter this season — T-5th-best in NFL. The Buccaneers defense has allowed scores on 62.5% of opponent drives in the first quarter this season — T-2nd-worst in NFL.

The Seahawks have been successful on just 35.5% of rush attempts with motion since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Buccaneers have allowed a success rate of just 36.3% on rush attempts against motion since the 2024 season — 2nd-best in NFL.

The Seahawks have a third down conversion rate of just 12.5% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2024 season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Buccaneers defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 11.6% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2024 season — 4th-best in NFL.

Seattle Seahawks Defense: Important Stats

The Seahawks have averaged 13.2 yards per play when their QB has scrambled this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 4.3.

The Seahawks have run successful plays on 28% of rush attempts on motion plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Seahawks have converted first downs on 10 of 12 plays (83%) on 3rd and short this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 60%.

The Seahawks ran successful plays on 22% of rush attempts on motion plays in Week 4 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

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More NFL Betting Predictions:

• Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
• Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
• Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
• Passing Yards Prop Predictions
• Receptions Made Prop Predictions
• Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
• Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
• QB Interception Prop Predictions
• Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
• NFL Betting Previews: Every Game

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