Buccaneers vs Rams Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NFL, Week 12

General interior view of SoFi Stadium, the home of Los Angeles Rams before an NFL football game between the Los Angeles Rams and the Seattle Seahawks, Sunday, Jan. 5, 2025, in Inglewood, Calif. (AP Photo/Kyusung Gong)
(AP Photo/Kyusung Gong)
  • The Rams are -6.5 point favorites vs the Buccaneers
  • Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
  • Watch this game on NBC | PEAC | NBCU

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-4-0) visit SoFi Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Rams (8-2-0) on Nov. 23. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20pm EST in Inglewood, CA.

The Rams are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).

The Buccaneers vs. Rams Over/Under is 49.5 total points for the game.

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Buccaneers vs. Rams Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Buccaneers+6.5 -10549.5 -110260
Rams -6.5 -11549.5 -110-325

Buccaneers vs. Rams Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Rams will win this game with 72.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Buccaneers vs Rams Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bucs will cover the spread with 56.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Buccaneers players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Buccaneers Player Prop Bets Today

  • Sterling Shepard has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 10 away games (+4.95 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Cade Otton has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 away games (+4.75 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Bucky Irving has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+4.38 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Rachaad White has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+4.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Rachaad White has hit the Longest Rush Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+4.00 Units / 44% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Rams players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rams Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Matthew Stafford has hit the Interceptions Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.65 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Matthew Stafford has hit the TD Passes Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Matthew Stafford has hit the Carries Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+5.20 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Kyren Williams has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 18 games (+5.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Blake Corum has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.75 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+6.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+6.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.95 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.40 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 19 games (+6.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have covered the 2Q Spread in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.15 Units / 19% ROI)

Buccaneers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Buccaneers are 5-5 (-0.6 Units / -5.45% ROI).

  • Buccaneers are 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.4 Units / 16.44% ROI
  • Buccaneers are 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • Buccaneers are 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / ROI

Rams Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Rams are 7-3 (+3.6 Units / 32.43% ROI).

  • Rams are 8-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.6 Units / 8.29% ROI
  • Rams are 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • Rams are 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Rams

The Buccaneers have run successful plays on 0% of pass attempts on passes when their QB has been pressured since Week 8 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 28%.

The Buccaneers have a third down conversion rate of 26% on first read passes this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Buccaneers have run successful plays on 43% of pass attempts on first read passes this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 52%.

The Buccaneers have allowed a QB Hit on 10% of pass attempts this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

Los Angeles Rams: Keys to the Game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Rams have thrown for 27 TDs this season — most in NFL.

The Rams ran 42% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st half in Week 11 — best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

The Rams have thrown 2.7 TD passes per game (27/10) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 1.5.

The Rams have run 20% of their plays in the red zone this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

Additional Matchup Notes for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Los Angeles Rams

The Rams have thrown for 27 TDs this season — most in NFL.

The Rams ran 42% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st half in Week 11 — best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

The Rams have thrown 2.7 TD passes per game (27/10) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 1.5.

The Rams have run 20% of their plays in the red zone this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

The Buccaneers have run successful plays on 0% of pass attempts on passes when their QB has been pressured since Week 8 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 28%.

The Buccaneers have a third down conversion rate of 26% on first read passes this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Buccaneers have run successful plays on 43% of pass attempts on first read passes this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 52%.

The Buccaneers have allowed a QB Hit on 10% of pass attempts this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Offense: Important Stats

The Buccaneers have run successful plays on 0% of pass attempts on passes when their QB has been pressured since Week 8 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 28%.

The Buccaneers have a third down conversion rate of 26% on first read passes this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Buccaneers have run successful plays on 43% of pass attempts on first read passes this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 52%.

The Buccaneers have allowed a QB Hit on 10% of pass attempts this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

Los Angeles Rams Offense: Important Stats

The Rams have thrown for 27 TDs this season — most in NFL.

The Rams ran 42% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st half in Week 11 — best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

The Rams have thrown 2.7 TD passes per game (27/10) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 1.5.

The Rams have run 20% of their plays in the red zone this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Defense: Important Stats

The Buccaneers have run successful plays on 0% of pass attempts on passes when their QB has been pressured since Week 8 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 28%.

The Buccaneers have a third down conversion rate of 26% on first read passes this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Buccaneers have run successful plays on 43% of pass attempts on first read passes this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 52%.

The Buccaneers have allowed a QB Hit on 10% of pass attempts this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

Los Angeles Rams Defense: Important Stats

The Rams have thrown for 27 TDs this season — most in NFL.

The Rams ran 42% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st half in Week 11 — best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

The Rams have thrown 2.7 TD passes per game (27/10) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 1.5.

The Rams have run 20% of their plays in the red zone this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.