Browns vs Raiders Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 12

BetMGM Betting Nov 19, 2025, 11:55 AM

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Las Vegas Raiders fans look on before an NFL football game between the Raiders and the Cleveland Browns Sunday, Sept. 29, 2024, in Las Vegas. (AP Photo/David Becker)

(AP Photo/David Becker)

The Raiders are -4 point favorites vs the Browns
Total (Over/Under): 36 points
Watch this game on CBS

The Cleveland Browns (2-8-0) visit Allegiant Stadium to take on the Las Vegas Raiders (2-8-0) on Nov. 23. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05pm EST in Paradise, NV.

The Raiders are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -4 (-110).

The Browns vs. Raiders Over/Under is 36 total points for the game.

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Browns vs. Raiders Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Browns	+4 -110	36 -110	165
Raiders	-4 -110	36 -110	-200

Browns vs. Raiders Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Raiders will win this game with 61.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Browns vs Raiders Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Browns will cover the spread with 56.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Browns players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Browns Player Prop Bets Today

Quinshon Judkins has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
Harold Fannin Jr. has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
Dillon Gabriel has hit the Interceptions Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+5.00 Units / 78% ROI)
Jerome Ford has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+4.00 Units / 59% ROI)
Jerry Jeudy has hit the Longest Reception Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 55% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Raiders players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Raiders Player Prop Best Bets Today

Geno Smith has hit the Interceptions Over in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 78% ROI)
Geno Smith has hit the TD Passes Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.65 Units / 29% ROI)
Geno Smith has hit the Passing Yards Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.35 Units / 33% ROI)
Ashton Jeanty has hit the Longest Rush Under in his last 6 games (+6.10 Units / 89% ROI)
Geno Smith has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+4.10 Units / 21% ROI)

Browns Best Bets:

The Cleveland Browns have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.67 Units / 34% ROI)
The Cleveland Browns have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.55 Units / 24% ROI)
The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 7 of their last 11 away games (+2.45 Units / 18% ROI)
The Cleveland Browns have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 away games (+0.50 Units / 4% ROI)
The Cleveland Browns have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 19 games (+0.40 Units / 2% ROI)

Raiders Best Bets:

The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.30 Units / 31% ROI)
The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.20 Units / 21% ROI)
The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.95 Units / 17% ROI)
The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+3.85 Units / 39% ROI)

Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Browns are 4-6 (-2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI).

Browns are 2-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.9 Units / -36.45% ROI
Browns are 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
Browns are 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / ROI

Raiders Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Raiders are 4-6 (-2.7 Units / -24.32% ROI).

Raiders are 2-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.15 Units / -54.42% ROI
Raiders are 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
Raiders are 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI

Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders

The Raiders have averaged just 0.4 yards per play against tight coverage this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 3.1.

The Raiders have run successful plays on 32% of rush attempts in the 2nd half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Raiders have targeted WRs 32% of the time (35 Pass Attempts/108 plays) since Week 8 — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 56%.

The Raiders have faced a blitz 18% of the time on 1st down since Week 8 — highest in NFL; League Avg: 9%.

Las Vegas Raiders: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns

The Browns defense has allowed successful plays on 18% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Browns defense has tackled opponents for a loss on 57 of 258 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 12%.

The Browns defense have allowed 11.1 yards per play when the opposing QB has scrambled this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 4.6.

The Browns defense have allowed -0.86 epa per play with tight coverage this season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.50.

Additional Matchup Notes for Cleveland Browns vs. Las Vegas Raiders