Browns vs Jets Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 10

BetMGM Betting Nov 07, 2025, 10:52 AM

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Fans arrive at MetLife Stadium before an NFL football game between the New York Jets and the Buffalo Bills Sunday, Sept. 8, 2019, in East Rutherford, N.J.

(AP Photo/Seth Wenig)

The Jets are +2.5 point favorites vs the Browns
Total (Over/Under): 38 points
Watch this game on CBS

The Cleveland Browns (2-6-0) visit MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Jets (1-7-0) on Nov. 9. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in East Rutherford, NJ.

The Jets are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at +2.5 (-110).

The Browns vs. Jets Over/Under is 38 total points for the game.

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Browns vs. Jets Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Browns	-2.5 -110	38 -110	-145
Jets	+2.5 -110	38 -110	120

Browns vs. Jets Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Jets will win this game with 54.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Browns vs Jets Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Browns will cover the spread with 52.4% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Browns players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Browns Player Prop Bets Today

Jerry Jeudy has hit the Longest Reception Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 57% ROI)
Jerome Ford has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+3.80 Units / 55% ROI)
Jerome Ford has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+3.80 Units / 41% ROI)
Andre Szmyt has hit the Field Goals Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.00 Units / 26% ROI)
Jerome Ford has hit the Carries Under in 6 of his last 9 games (+2.70 Units / 26% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Jets players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Jets Player Prop Best Bets Today

Nick Folk has hit the Field Goals Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.20 Units / 53% ROI)
Justin Fields has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Mason Taylor has hit the Longest Reception Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 62% ROI)
Justin Fields has hit the Carries Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 57% ROI)
Tyler Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 55% ROI)

Browns Best Bets:

The Cleveland Browns have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.87 Units / 62% ROI)
The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.75 Units / 35% ROI)
The Cleveland Browns have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.55 Units / 24% ROI)
The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 away games (+1.30 Units / 11% ROI)
The Cleveland Browns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 16 games (+1.20 Units / 6% ROI)

Jets Best Bets:

The New York Jets have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.50 Units / 41% ROI)
The New York Jets have hit the 2H Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games (+7.32 Units / 44% ROI)
The New York Jets have covered the 2H Spread in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.62 Units / 30% ROI)
The New York Jets have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.45 Units / 27% ROI)
The New York Jets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.40 Units / 29% ROI)

Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Browns are 3-5 (-2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI).

Browns are 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.6 Units / -19.05% ROI
Browns are 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
Browns are 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / ROI

Jets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Jets are 4-4 (-0.25 Units / -2.89% ROI).

Jets are 1-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.2 Units / -62.28% ROI
Jets are 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
Jets are 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI

Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Jets

The Browns have run successful plays on 28% of rush attempts in the 1st half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Browns have averaged just 4.4 yards per play this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.7.

The Browns have gained at least 5 yards on 29% of first down plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Browns have run successful plays on 34% of plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

New York Jets: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns

The Jets have gone for two on 44% of PATs this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 9%.

The Jets have targeted WRs 27% of the time (7 Pass Attempts/26 plays) in the red zone this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 51%.

The Jets have run successful plays on 25% of plays in the 1st quarter since Week 6 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Jets have thrown the ball 25% of the time (7 Pass Attempts/28 plays) on 3rd and short this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

Additional Matchup Notes for Cleveland Browns vs. New York Jets