- The Eagles are -4 point favorites vs the Browns
- Total (Over/Under): 37.5 points
- Watch this game on NFLN | NFL+
The Cleveland Browns (1-0-0) visit Lincoln Financial Field to take on the Philadelphia Eagles (1-0-0) on Aug. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA, PA.
The – are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Browns vs. Eagles Over/Under is total points for the game.
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Browns vs. Eagles Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Browns | |||
| Eagles |
Browns vs. Eagles Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Eagles will win this game with 80.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Browns vs Eagles Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Eagles will cover the spread with 75.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Browns players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Browns Player Prop Bets Today
- Jerome Ford has hit the Carries Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.65 Units / 57% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Eagles players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Eagles Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jalen Hurts has hit the Interceptions Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.05 Units / 45% ROI)
Browns Best Bets:
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.10 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have covered the 4Q Spread in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.87 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.75 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 15 games (+2.30 Units / 14% ROI)
Eagles Best Bets:
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 17 games (+14.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 16 games (+12.25 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.40 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.55 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.45 Units / 40% ROI)
Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread last NFL season, the Browns were ( Units / ROI).
- Browns are 3-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.85 Units / -54.8% ROI
- Browns are 7-10 when betting the Over for -4 Units / -21.39% ROI
- Browns are 10-7 when betting the Under for +2.3 Units / ROI
Eagles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread last NFL season, the Eagles were ( Units / ROI).
- Eagles are 18-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.1 Units / 24.58% ROI
- Eagles are 10-11 when betting the Over for -2.1 Units / -9.09% ROI
- Eagles are 11-10 when betting the Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles
The Browns were winless (0-4) when forcing 2 or more turnovers last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .730.
The Browns were winless (0-13) when trailing at the end of the third quarter last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .152.
The Browns were winless (0-4) vs top 10 pass defenses last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .553.
The Browns were 1-12 (.077) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .434.
Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns
The Eagles were 11-1 (.917) when not throwing an interception last season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Browns intercepted 4 passes last season — fewest in NFL.
The Eagles were undefeated (3-0) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .249.
The Eagles were 9-1 (.900) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Eagles were undefeated (11-0) when allowing less than 3 explosive runs last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .565.
Additional Matchup Notes for Cleveland Browns vs. Philadelphia Eagles
The Eagles scored on 19.1% of their drives in the first quarter last season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Browns defense allowed scores on 20% of opponent drives in the first quarter last season — 4th-best in NFL.
The Eagles had 29 rushing touchdowns last season — T-2nd-most in NFL. The Browns allowed 22 rushing TDs last season — T-4th-most in NFL.
The Eagles were 11-1 (.917) when not throwing an interception last season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Browns intercepted 4 passes last season — fewest in NFL.
The Browns were successful on just 36.7% of plays they ran on play action passes last season — worst in NFL. The Eagles allowed a success rate of just 41.1% on play action passes last season — 2nd-best in NFL.
The Browns were successful on just 40.5% of pass attempts on play action passes last season — worst in NFL. The Eagles allowed a success rate of just 42.6% on pass attempts on play action passes last season — 2nd-best in NFL.
The Browns were successful on just 36.1% of plays they ran last season — worst in NFL. The Eagles allowed a success rate of just 39.5% last season — 3rd-best in NFL.
Cleveland Browns Offense: Important Stats
The Browns averaged -0.30 epa per play on motion plays last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.
The Browns ran successful plays on 35% of pass attempts on motion plays last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Browns ran successful plays on 35% of pass attempts in the 1st half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Browns have averaged -0.24 epa per play on motion plays since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.00.
Philadelphia Eagles Offense: Important Stats
The Eagles had 25 rushes of 20+ yards last season — 2nd-most in NFL.
The Eagles ran the ball on 39% of plays (93 carries/236 plays) on 3rd down last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 25%.
The Eagles threw the ball 40% of the time (448 Pass Attempts/1,114 plays) last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.
The Eagles started 27 drives inside opposing territory last season — most in NFL.
Cleveland Browns Defense: Important Stats
The Browns defense tackled opponents for a loss on 93 of 463 rushing attempts (20% TFL%) last season. — best in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
The Browns defense has allowed successful plays on 39% of pass attempts from their own territory since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Browns defense has allowed a fourth down conversion rate of 48% in short yardage situations since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 65%.
The Browns defense have forced three and outs on 30% of opponent drives since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 21%.
Philadelphia Eagles Defense: Important Stats
The Eagles defense allowed successful plays on 38% of pass attempts from their own territory last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 48%.
The Eagles defense allowed successful plays on 44% of pass attempts first read passes last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
The Eagles defense allowed successful plays on 52% of pass attempts open coverage last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 61%.
The Eagles defense allowed 0.02 epa per play first read passes last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.21.
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