Browns vs Bears Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 15

BetMGM Betting Dec 13, 2025, 11:20 AM

min read

Chicago Bears fans cheer during the first half of an NFL football game against the Carolina Panthers, Sunday, Oct. 6, 2024, in Chicago. The Bears defeated the Panthers 36-10. (AP Photo/Kamil Krzaczynski)

(AP Photo/Kamil Krzaczynski)

The Bears are -7.5 point favorites vs the Browns
Total (Over/Under): 39.5 points
Watch this game on FOX

The Cleveland Browns (3-10-0) visit Soldier Field to take on the Chicago Bears (9-4-0) on Dec. 14. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Chicago, IL.

The Bears are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Browns vs. Bears Over/Under is 39.5 total points for the game.

Bet now on Bears vs Browns & all NFL games with BetMGM

Browns vs. Bears Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Browns	+7.5 -110	39.5 -110	300
Bears	-7.5 -110	39.5 -110	-375

Browns vs. Bears Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Bears will win this game with 77.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Browns vs Bears Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Browns will cover the spread with 55.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

Bet now on Bears vs Browns and all NFL games with BetMGM

Get a New Player Offer

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Browns players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Browns Player Prop Bets Today

Harold Fannin Jr. has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 85% ROI)
Quinshon Judkins has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 65% ROI)
Cedric Tillman has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.40 Units / 51% ROI)
Jerome Ford has hit the Carries Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.05 Units / 62% ROI)
Quinshon Judkins has hit the Longest Rush Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bears players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Bears Player Prop Best Bets Today

Olamide Zaccheaus has hit the Longest Reception Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.80 Units / 69% ROI)
Cole Kmet has hit the Receptions Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.35 Units / 72% ROI)
Kyle Monangai has hit the Carries Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.75 Units / 59% ROI)
Luther Burden III has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+6.20 Units / 46% ROI)
Cairo Santos has hit the Field Goals Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 79% ROI)

Browns Best Bets:

The Cleveland Browns have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.10 Units / 18% ROI)
The Cleveland Browns have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.75 Units / 39% ROI)
The Cleveland Browns have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 away games (+1.90 Units / 22% ROI)
The Cleveland Browns have covered the 2Q Spread in 9 of their last 17 games (+1.45 Units / 8% ROI)
The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1H Team Total Over in 11 of their last 20 games (+1.30 Units / 6% ROI)

Bears Best Bets:

The Chicago Bears have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+10.90 Units / 45% ROI)
The Chicago Bears have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.15 Units / 30% ROI)
The Chicago Bears have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.20 Units / 32% ROI)
The Chicago Bears have covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.55 Units / 27% ROI)
The Chicago Bears have hit the 1H Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 39% ROI)

Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Browns are 5-8 (-3.8 Units / -26.57% ROI).

Browns are 3-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.45 Units / -37.2% ROI
Browns are 7-6 when betting the Over for +0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI
Browns are 6-7 when betting the Under for -1.7 Units / ROI

Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Bears are 8-5 (+2.65 Units / 18.66% ROI).

Bears are 9-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.4 Units / 51.38% ROI
Bears are 7-5 when betting the Over for +1.5 Units / 10.49% ROI
Bears are 5-7 when betting the Under for -2.7 Units / -18.88% ROI

Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears

The Bears are 4-2 (.667) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season — T-2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .244.

The Bears are 6-2 (.750) after a win this season — T-4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .549.

The Bears are 7-1 (.875) when allowing less than 3 explosive runs this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .579.

The Bears are 5-3 (.625) on the road this season — 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .458.

Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns

The Bears have started 4 drives inside their own 10 yard line this season — fewest in NFL.

The Bears have started 26 drives inside their own 20 yard line this season — fewest in NFL.

The Bears have a third down conversion rate of 50% in the 4th quarter this season — T-2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 36%.

The Bears have thrown the ball 27% of the time (13 Pass Attempts/49 plays) on 3rd and short this season — 3rd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

Additional Matchup Notes for Cleveland Browns vs. Chicago Bears