- The Broncos are a 7.5-point home favorite against the Bengals.
- The home team has won each of the Broncos' last nine games.
- My Broncos vs Bengals prediction is the Bengals’ Team Total Under 17.5 Points (-120).
The Broncos aim to get back to .500 in the second game of an MNF doubleheader against the Bengals.Â
Denver appeared in control for most of the game against the Chargers in Week 3. However, Los Angeles kicked a game-winning field goal to move to 3-0, handing Denver a second straight loss.Â
Cincinnati struggled in Jake Browning’s first full start. As short dogs to the Vikings, Cincinnati lost 41-10 while allowing a pair of defensive scores from Minnesota.Â
Bet on Broncos vs. Bengals and other NFL matchups with up-to-date NFL odds.Â
Broncos vs. Bengals: NFL Week 4 Odds
Broncos vs. Bengals Prediction
Monday, September 22
Based on the Bengals’ offensive struggles behind Browning and Denver’s defensive matchup advantages, my Broncos vs Bengals prediction is the Bengals Team Total Under 17.5 Points (-120).Â
Most of this prediction centers around the team total oddsmakers list for Cincinnati. Some quick math suggests it opens around 17.5 or 18 points for the visitors.Â
Even if one includes the Joe Burrow starts, the Bengals offense has looked anemic through three weeks. Per ftnfantasy.com, the Bengals rank 31st in offensive DVOA.Â
The schedule gets no easier in Week 4. Zac Taylor takes his team to face a Broncos defense that ranks 14th in defensive DVOA.Â
It’s also a potential buy-low spot on Denver following two shaky defensive performances.Â
Cincinnati dropped 30 on Denver at home last year. However, it came with Burrow starting.Â
An argument exists it could have been more, as Cincinnati failed to score from the Broncos two-yard line early. However, the positive regression likely fails to arrive with Browning.Â
Denver owns a massive edge over the Cincinnati offensive line. Through three games, the Broncos rank second in pass-rush win rate, per ESPN. Conversely, Cincinnati ranks 27th in the corresponding offensive category.Â
Vance Joseph’s defense also possesses a corner group that can keep up with Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins.
Lastly, Browning has started only four career road games in his short career. In three of those games, Cincinnati finished under 17.5 points. Â
Meanwhile, Denver has consistently held teams under this number at home. Since the beginning of last year, only the Raiders, Chargers and Browns (?) cleared this in Denver.Â
Betting Broncos vs. Bengals: NFL Public Betting
| Team | % of ATS Bets | % of ATS Money | % of ML Bets | % of ML Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bengals | 35% | 14% | 57% | 23% |
| Broncos | 65% | 86% | 43% | 77% |
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