Broncos vs Raiders Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 14

BetMGM Betting Dec 07, 2025, 9:50 AM

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Las Vegas Raiders fans look on before an NFL football game between the Raiders and the Cleveland Browns Sunday, Sept. 29, 2024, in Las Vegas. (AP Photo/David Becker)

(AP Photo/David Becker)

The Broncos are -7.5 point favorites vs the Raiders
Total (Over/Under): 40.5 points
Watch this game on CBS

The Denver Broncos (10-2-0) visit Allegiant Stadium to take on the Las Vegas Raiders (2-10-0) on Dec. 7. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05pm EST in Paradise, NV.

The Broncos are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-115).

The Broncos vs. Raiders Over/Under is 40.5 total points for the game.

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Broncos vs. Raiders Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Broncos	-7.5 -115	40.5 -105	-425
Raiders	+7.5 -105	40.5 -115	320

Broncos vs. Raiders Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Broncos will win this game with 71.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Broncos vs Raiders Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Broncos will cover the spread with 57.5% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Broncos players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Broncos Player Prop Bets Today

RJ Harvey has hit the Longest Rush Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.90 Units / 70% ROI)
RJ Harvey has hit the Carries Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.35 Units / 49% ROI)
Bo Nix has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.85 Units / 65% ROI)
RJ Harvey has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 55% ROI)
Bo Nix has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 86% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Raiders players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Raiders Player Prop Best Bets Today

Ashton Jeanty has hit the Longest Rush Under in his last 8 games (+8.10 Units / 88% ROI)
Ashton Jeanty has hit the Receptions Over in his last 5 games (+5.65 Units / 96% ROI)
Geno Smith has hit the Interceptions Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.40 Units / 50% ROI)
Ashton Jeanty has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 61% ROI)
Raheem Mostert has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 46% ROI)

Broncos Best Bets:

The Denver Broncos have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 games (+12.55 Units / 25% ROI)
The Denver Broncos have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+7.65 Units / 29% ROI)
The Denver Broncos have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+4.94 Units / 18% ROI)
The Denver Broncos have covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+4.60 Units / 21% ROI)
The Denver Broncos have hit the 2H Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+3.90 Units / 11% ROI)

Raiders Best Bets:

The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.05 Units / 51% ROI)
The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.95 Units / 21% ROI)
The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.00 Units / 20% ROI)
The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+3.45 Units / 32% ROI)
The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the 2Q Spread in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.45 Units / 24% ROI)

Broncos Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Broncos are 5-7 (-2.6 Units / -19.85% ROI).

Broncos are 10-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.55 Units / 30.51% ROI
Broncos are 4-8 when betting the Over for -4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI
Broncos are 8-4 when betting the Under for +3.6 Units / ROI

Raiders Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Raiders are 4-8 (-4.9 Units / -36.84% ROI).

Raiders are 2-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.8 Units / -63.08% ROI
Raiders are 5-7 when betting the Over for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI
Raiders are 7-5 when betting the Under for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI

Denver Broncos: Keys to the Game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders

The Raiders defense allowed successful plays on 55% of plays open coverage last season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 60%.

The Raiders defense allowed just 4.2 yards per play on contested throws last season — T-2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 5.3.

The Raiders defense allowed a passer rating of 106.4 when the opposing QB was scrambling (48 Pass Attempts) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 64.8.

The Raiders defense allowed successful plays on 56% of pass attempts open coverage last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 61%.

Las Vegas Raiders: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Broncos

The Raiders had a third down conversion rate of 7% on third and 10+ yards to go last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 18%.

The Raiders ran successful plays on 32% of rush attempts on motion plays last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Raiders ran successful plays on 33% of rush attempts in the 2nd half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Raiders faced a blitz 20% of the time last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

Additional Matchup Notes for Denver Broncos vs. Las Vegas Raiders