Broncos vs Eagles Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 5

BetMGM Betting Oct 01, 2025, 11:09 AM

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General view of Lincoln Financial Field during an NFL football game between the San Francisco 49ers and Philadelphia Eagles, Sunday, Sept. 19, 2021, in Philadelphia.

(AP Photo/Rich Schultz)

The Eagles are -3.5 point favorites vs the Broncos
Total (Over/Under): 43.5 points
Watch this game on CBS

The Denver Broncos (2-2-0) visit Lincoln Financial Field to take on the Philadelphia Eagles (4-0-0) on Oct. 5. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.

The Eagles are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-118).

The Broncos vs. Eagles Over/Under is 43.5 total points for the game.

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Broncos vs. Eagles Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Broncos	+3.5 -110	43.5 -110	170
Eagles	-3.5 -118	43.5 -110	-210

Broncos vs. Eagles Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Eagles will win this game with 78.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Broncos vs Eagles Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Eagles will cover the spread with 65.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Broncos players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Broncos Player Prop Bets Today

J.K. Dobbins has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.60 Units / 47% ROI)
Evan Engram has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 53% ROI)
Courtland Sutton has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.25 Units / 31% ROI)
Bo Nix has hit the TD Passes Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.40 Units / 23% ROI)
Marvin Mims Jr. has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.15 Units / 87% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Eagles players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Eagles Player Prop Best Bets Today

Jalen Hurts has hit the Interceptions Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+14.05 Units / 46% ROI)
Jalen Hurts has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.70 Units / 49% ROI)
Jalen Hurts has hit the Completions Under in 14 of his last 19 games (+8.50 Units / 39% ROI)
DeVonta Smith has hit the Receptions Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.85 Units / 36% ROI)
Jalen Hurts has hit the TD Passes Over in 7 of his last 11 games at home (+5.95 Units / 54% ROI)

Broncos Best Bets:

The Denver Broncos have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.15 Units / 41% ROI)
The Denver Broncos have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+7.00 Units / 25% ROI)
The Denver Broncos have hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.40 Units / 16% ROI)
The Denver Broncos have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+6.05 Units / 21% ROI)
The Denver Broncos have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.00 Units / 25% ROI)

Eagles Best Bets:

The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2H Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games (+10.08 Units / 28% ROI)
The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 3Q Spread in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.90 Units / 29% ROI)
The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.70 Units / 17% ROI)
The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+5.65 Units / 15% ROI)
The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 21 games (+2.25 Units / 10% ROI)

Broncos Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Broncos are 1-3 (-2.2 Units / -51.16% ROI).

Broncos are 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.25 Units / -2.24% ROI
Broncos are 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
Broncos are 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / ROI

Eagles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Eagles are 3-1 (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI).

Eagles are 4-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 42.78% ROI
Eagles are 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
Eagles are 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI

Denver Broncos: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles

The Eagles have averaged 8.4 yards per play on contested throws since the 2024 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.3.

The Eagles have 29 of 65 (45%) first downs through the air this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 62%.

The Eagles ran successful plays on 0% of pass attempts in the 2nd half in Week 4 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Eagles have started 32 drives inside opposing territory since the 2024 season — most in NFL.

Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Broncos

The Broncos have gone three and out on 56% of their drives in the 1st quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 22%.

The Broncos have averaged just 1.4 yards per play against tight coverage this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 3.0.

The Broncos have run successful plays on 35% of pass attempts on motion plays this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Broncos have run successful plays on 34% of pass attempts in the 2nd half this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

Additional Matchup Notes for Denver Broncos vs. Philadelphia Eagles