- The Bills are -1.5 point favorites vs the Buccaneers
- Total (Over/Under): 37.5 points
- Watch this game on
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The Buffalo Bills (0-2-0) visit Raymond James Stadium to take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-0-0) on Aug. 23. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Tampa, FL.
The Bills are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Bills vs. Buccaneers Over/Under is 37.5 total points for the game.
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Bills vs. Buccaneers Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Bills | -1.5 -110 | 37.5 -110 | -125 |
| Buccaneers | +1.5 -110 | 37.5 -110 | +105 |
Bills vs. Buccaneers Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Buccaneers will win this game with 79.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Bills vs Buccaneers Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Buccaneers will cover the spread with 75.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bills players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Bills Player Prop Bets Today
- Josh Allen has hit the Interceptions Under in 14 of his last 19 games (+8.20 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Buccaneers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Buccaneers Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Bucky Irving has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.20 Units / 43% ROI)
Bills Best Bets:
- The Buffalo Bills have covered the 2H Spread in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.54 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.20 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have hit the 1H Team Total Over in their last 7 away games (+7.15 Units / 82% ROI)
Buccaneers Best Bets:
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.55 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+8.77 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+8.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.15 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have covered the 4Q Spread in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.25 Units / 35% ROI)
Buffalo Bills: Keys to the Game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Bills were undefeated (4-0) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Bills are 15-1 (.938) at home since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .541.
The Bills were 4-1 (.800) vs top 10 run defenses last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .300.
The Bills were 3-1 (.750) vs top 10 run offenses last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .335.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Keys to the Game vs. the Buffalo Bills
The Buccaneers were winless (0-3) when within 3 points at the two minute warning last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Buccaneers were 3-1 (.750) vs top 10 run offenses last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .335.
The Buccaneers were 9-5 (.643) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season — 10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Buccaneers were 4-1 (.800) vs top 10 pass defenses last season — T-6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .553.
Additional Matchup Notes for Buffalo Bills vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Buccaneers were successful on 53.7% of pass attempts with motion last season — T-3rd-best in NFL. The Steelers allowed a success rate of 54.9% on pass attempts against motion last season — worst in NFL.
The Buccaneers were successful on 61.6% of pass attempts on play action passes last season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Steelers allowed a success rate of 59.6% on pass attempts on play action passes last season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Buccaneers averaged 0.23 epa per play with motion in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 4th-best in NFL. The Steelers allowed 0.16 epa per play against motion in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — T-5th-worst in NFL.
The Bills scored on 50.6% of their drives in the first half last season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Bears defense allowed scores on 48.9% of opponent drives in the first half last season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Bills scored on 40.5% of their drives in the first quarter last season — 4th-best in NFL. The Bears defense allowed scores on 41.7% of opponent drives in the first quarter last season — worst in NFL.
The Bills ran 17.9% offensive plays in the red zone last season — 5th-best in NFL. The Bears allowed their opponent to run 17.0% of plays in the red zone last season — 5th-worst in NFL.
Buffalo Bills Offense: Important Stats
The Bills averaged 0.26 epa per play on motion plays last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.
The Bills started 25 drives inside opposing territory last season — 2nd-most in NFL.
The Bills averaged 7.1 yards per play on motion plays last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 5.8.
The Bills did not convert a late down on 40 plays (0%) in close and late situations last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 9%.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Offense: Important Stats
The Buccaneers ran successful plays on 48% of pass attempts on passes when their QB was pressured last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 32%.
The Buccaneers had a third down conversion rate of 60% in the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 38%.
The Buccaneers had a third down conversion rate of 33% on third and 10+ yards to go last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 18%.
The Buccaneers threw for 41 TDs last season — T-2nd-most in NFL.
Buffalo Bills Defense: Important Stats
The Bills defense allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 2 of 79 attempts (3%) on 3rd and long last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 10%.
The Bills defense allowed a late down conversion rate of 13% when opponents had 4-6 yards to go last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 10%.
The Bills defense allowed first downs on 47% of pass attempts on 3rd down last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
The Bills defense has allowed scores on 19% of opponent drives (16/84) in the 3rd quarter since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 31%.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Defense: Important Stats
The Buccaneers defense allowed successful plays on 30% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Buccaneers defense blitzed on 25% of plays last season — 2nd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
The Buccaneers defense allowed a late down conversion rate of 4% when opponents had 4-6 yards to go in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 10%.
The Buccaneers defense allowed a passer rating of just 89.1 against play action passes (106 Pass Attempts) last season — 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: 103.1.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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