- The Bengals are a 10.5-point home underdog against the Lions.
- The Bengals have won each of their last seven games against the Lions.
- My Bengals vs Lions prediction is the Lions Over 29.5 Points (-140).
The Lions go for a fourth straight win as heavy road favorites against the Bengals.Â
Detroit easily dispatched Cleveland in Week 4, covering a 10-point spread in the process. It marks the third straight game in which Detroit scored at least 30 points.Â
The Bengals suffered yet another blowout loss on Monday. After a 48-10 defeat in Minnesota, Cincinnati fell 28-3 as 7-point underdogs in Denver.Â
Bet on Bengals vs. Lions and other NFL matchups with up-to-date NFL odds.Â
Bengals vs. Lions: NFL Week 5 Odds
Bengals vs. Lions Prediction
Based on Cincinnati’s struggles against bad offenses this season and Detroit’s offensive strength, my Bengals vs Lions prediction is the Lions Over 29.5 Points (-140).Â
I question how the Bengals defense holds up against Detroit’s powerful offense.Â
Detroit ranks fourth in offensive DVOA, having faced the 11th-hardest set of defenses, per ftnfantasy.com.Â
Meanwhile, the Bengals have faced the easiest set of offenses. They rank 27th in defensive DVOA.Â
While the Bengals kept three of four opponents under this number, Detroit easily qualifies as the hardest opponent.Â
In Week 2 against Jacksonville, the Bengals allowed 27 points at home. However, Jacksonville failed to score three times from inside the red zone.Â
Detroit has cleared this number in three straight games….by margin. Against the Bears, Ravens and Browns, Detroit averaged 41.3 points per game.Â
Since last season, the Lions have cleared 29.5 points 14 times in 22 games, a 63.6% hit rate. Comparatively, these odds imply a probability of 58.3%.Â
That’s all without mentioning the rest advantage for Detroit. Dan Campbell’s team played on Sunday, while Cincinnati has to travel after a road MNF game.Â
Detroit doesn’t need that advantage, but it should help a powerful Lions offense.Â
Finally, Cincinnati played three games last year against top-five offensive DVOA sides. All three scored at least 35 points against the defense.Â
Betting Bengals vs. Lions: NFL Public Betting
| Team | % of ATS Bets | % of ATS Money | % of ML Bets | % of ML Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lions | 77% | 72% | 56% | 70% |
| Bengals | 23% | 28% | 44% | 30% |
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