- The Vikings are -3 point favorites vs the Bengals
- Total (Over/Under): 42.5 points
- Watch this game on CBS
The Cincinnati Bengals (2-0-0) visit U.S. Bank Stadium to take on the Minnesota Vikings (1-1-0) on Sep. 21. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
The Vikings are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-105).
The Bengals vs. Vikings Over/Under is 42.5 total points for the game.
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Bengals vs. Vikings Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Bengals | +3 -115 | 42.5 -110 | 130 |
| Vikings | -3 -105 | 42.5 -110 | -155 |
Bengals vs. Vikings Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Vikings will win this game with 66.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Bengals vs Vikings Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bengals will cover the spread with 66.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bengals players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Bengals Player Prop Bets Today
- Noah Fant has hit the Receptions Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+12.35 Units / 70% ROI)
- Joe Burrow has hit the Carries Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+11.15 Units / 57% ROI)
- Joe Burrow has hit the TD Passes Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- Noah Fant has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- Andrei Iosivas has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 8 away games (+4.70 Units / 48% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Vikings players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Vikings Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Will Reichard has hit the Field Goals Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- Justin Jefferson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+4.70 Units / 44% ROI)
- Justin Jefferson has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+4.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jordan Mason has hit the Carries Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- Josh Oliver has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.70 Units / 31% ROI)
Bengals Best Bets:
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+5.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 away games (+4.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.65 Units / 32% ROI)
Vikings Best Bets:
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.87 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+5.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.80 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have covered the 2H Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.84 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 2H Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.49 Units / 29% ROI)
Bengals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bengals are 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Bengals are 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 48.78% ROI
- Bengals are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Bengals are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / ROI
Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Vikings are 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Vikings are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.7 Units / -25% ROI
- Vikings are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Vikings are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Cincinnati Bengals: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings
The Bengals were 6-2 (.750) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season — T-8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .601.
The Bengals were 2-5 (.286) when allowing 250 or more passing yards last season — T-9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .415.
The Bengals were 9-4 (.692) when forcing 1 or more turnovers last season — 10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .593.
The Bengals were 6-3 (.667) on the road last season — T-7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .476.
Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals
The Vikings were 12-1 (.923) after a win last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .588.
The Vikings were undefeated (7-0) when the opposing team converts less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .599.
The Vikings are undefeated (8-0) when allowing less than 7 explosive plays since the 2024 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .606.
The Vikings were 14-1 (.933) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .526.
Additional Matchup Notes for Cincinnati Bengals vs. Minnesota Vikings
The Vikings have 37 touchdown passes since the 2024 season — 5th-most in NFL. The Bengals have allowed 34 passing TDs since the 2024 season — T-3rd-most in NFL.
The Vikings have averaged 1.9 passing TDs per game since the 2024 season — 5th-best in NFL. The Bengals have allowed 1.8 passing touchdowns per game since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst in NFL.
Vikings WRs have 27 receiving touchdowns since the 2024 season — 4th-most in NFL. The Bengals have allowed 34 receiving touchdowns since the 2024 season — T-3rd-most in NFL.
The Bengals have been successful on just 36.4% of rush attempts on play action passes since the 2024 season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Vikings have allowed a success rate of just 23.5% on rush attempts on play action passes since the 2024 season — 2nd-best in NFL.
Bengals WRs have 269 receptions in 19 games (14.2 per game) since the 2024 season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Vikings have allowed 23.6 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
Bengals WRs have 186.3 receiving yards per game since the 2024 season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Vikings have averaged 175.2 receiving yards per game allowed to WRs since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
Cincinnati Bengals Offense: Important Stats
The Bengals have run successful plays on 47% of pass attempts on passes when their QB has been pressured since the 2024 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 32%.
The Bengals ran successful plays on 50% of pass attempts on passes when their QB was pressured last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 32%.
The Bengals threw for 43 TDs last season — most in NFL.
The Bengals converted first downs on 26 of 69 plays (38%) when their QB was scrambling last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 22%.
Minnesota Vikings Offense: Important Stats
The Vikings have averaged -0.24 epa per play on first read passes this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.23.
The Vikings have run successful plays on 30% of rush attempts in the red zone since the 2024 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Vikings have been sacked on 18% of pass attempts (9/50) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7%.
The Vikings have averaged -0.31 epa per play on motion plays this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.03.
Cincinnati Bengals Defense: Important Stats
The Bengals defense allowed an average of 1.6 yards after contact per carry (467 carries) last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: 2.0.
The Bengals defense has allowed 6 TD passes in close and late situations since the 2024 season — most in NFL.
The Bengals defense has 4 interceptions this season — T-2nd-most in NFL.
The Bengals defense allowed successful plays on 52% of plays in the 1st quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
Minnesota Vikings Defense: Important Stats
The Vikings defense blitzed on 29% of plays last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
The Vikings defense allowed a passer rating of just 75.3 against play action passes (104 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 103.1.
The Vikings defense allowed a passer rating of just 76.0 first read passes (314 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 97.5.
The Vikings defense has allowed successful plays on 23% of rush attempts against play action passes since the 2024 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 53%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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