Bengals vs Steelers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 11

BetMGM Betting Nov 15, 2025, 9:42 AM

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Pittsburgh Steelers fans wave their Terrible Towels during the first half of an NFL football game between the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Baltimore Ravens, Sunday, Nov. 17, 2024, in Pittsburgh. (AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar)

(AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar)

The Bengals are +5.5 point favorites vs the Steelers
Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
Watch this game on CBS

The Cincinnati Bengals (3-6-0) visit Acrisure Stadium to take on the Pittsburgh Steelers (5-4-0) on Nov. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Pittsburgh, PA.

The Bengals are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at +5.5 (-110).

The Bengals vs. Steelers Over/Under is 49.5 total points for the game.

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Bengals vs. Steelers Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Bengals	+5.5 -110	49.5 -110	195
Steelers	-5.5 -110	49.5 -110	-235

Bengals vs. Steelers Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Steelers will win this game with 68.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Bengals vs Steelers Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bengals will cover the spread with 56.9% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bengals players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Bengals Player Prop Bets Today

Noah Fant has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.55 Units / 62% ROI)
Noah Fant has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.65 Units / 57% ROI)
Ja’Marr Chase has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.35 Units / 39% ROI)
Chase Brown has hit the Carries Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.40 Units / 36% ROI)
Noah Fant has hit the Longest Reception Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.95 Units / 63% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Steelers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Steelers Player Prop Best Bets Today

DK Metcalf has hit the Receptions Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.45 Units / 50% ROI)
Jonnu Smith has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 66% ROI)
DK Metcalf has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.35 Units / 33% ROI)
Calvin Austin III has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 90% ROI)
Kenneth Gainwell has hit the Longest Reception Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.70 Units / 46% ROI)

Bengals Best Bets:

The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.50 Units / 41% ROI)
The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.40 Units / 35% ROI)
The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+4.85 Units / 22% ROI)
The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.38 Units / 27% ROI)
The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.80 Units / 44% ROI)

Steelers Best Bets:

The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+7.35 Units / 63% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 2Q Spread in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.80 Units / 62% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+4.95 Units / 23% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+4.50 Units / 32% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.40 Units / 16% ROI)

Bengals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Bengals are 3-6 (-3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI).

Bengals are 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.5 Units / -27.78% ROI
Bengals are 7-2 when betting the Over for +4.8 Units / 48.48% ROI
Bengals are 2-7 when betting the Under for -5.7 Units / ROI

Steelers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Steelers are 4-5 (-1.4 Units / -14.43% ROI).

Steelers are 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.6 Units / -4.27% ROI
Steelers are 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
Steelers are 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI

Cincinnati Bengals: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers

The Steelers defense has allowed 15.9 receptions per game (143/9) to WRs this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 11.7.

The Steelers defense has blitzed on 18% of plays on 1st down this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 9%.

The Steelers defense has allowed scores on 58% of opponent drives (19/33) in the 4th quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 37%.

The Steelers defense have allowed just 5.6 yards per play against play action passes this season — T-4th-best in NFL; League Avg: 7.4.

Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals

The Bengals have averaged -0.34 epa per play on the road this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.02.

The Bengals have averaged just 3.9 yards per play on the road this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.6.

The Bengals have run the ball on 32% of plays (185 carries/576 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Bengals have averaged -1.21 epa per play when their QB has scrambled this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.41.

Additional Matchup Notes for Cincinnati Bengals vs. Pittsburgh Steelers