- The Bengals are -4.5 point favorites vs the Commanders
- Total (Over/Under): 42.5 points
- Watch this game on ESPN
The Cincinnati Bengals (0-1-0) visit Northwest Stadium to take on the Washington Commanders (0-1-0) on Aug. 18. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Landover, MD.
The – are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Bengals vs. Commanders Over/Under is total points for the game.
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Bengals vs. Commanders Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Bengals | |||
| Commanders |
Bengals vs. Commanders Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Commanders will win this game with 75.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Bengals vs Commanders Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Commanders will cover the spread with 75.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bengals players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Bengals Player Prop Bets Today
- Noah Fant has hit the Receptions Over in his last 10 games (+10.75 Units / 83% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Commanders players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Commanders Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Matt Gay has hit the Field Goals Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.85 Units / 49% ROI)
Bengals Best Bets:
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+9.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.05 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the Moneyline in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 40% ROI)
Commanders Best Bets:
- The Washington Commanders have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+12.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.80 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+6.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.80 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 1H Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.45 Units / 24% ROI)
Bengals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread last NFL season, the Bengals were ( Units / ROI).
- Bengals are 9-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.3 Units / -14.19% ROI
- Bengals are 11-6 when betting the Over for +4.35 Units / 23.2% ROI
- Bengals are 6-11 when betting the Under for -6.1 Units / ROI
Commanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread last NFL season, the Commanders were ( Units / ROI).
- Commanders are 14-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.7 Units / 25.36% ROI
- Commanders are 13-7 when betting the Over for +5.3 Units / 24.09% ROI
- Commanders are 7-13 when betting the Under for -7.3 Units / -33.18% ROI
Cincinnati Bengals: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Commanders
The Bengals were 3-1 (.750) when rushing for 120 or more yards last season — 8th-best in NFL. The Commanders allowed an average of 138.0 rushing yards per game last season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Bengals were winless (0-5) when trailing at the end of the third quarter last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .152.
The Bengals were winless (0-4) vs top 10 offenses last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .318.
The Bengals were 6-2 (.750) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season — T-8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .601.
Washington Commanders: Keys to the Game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals
The Commanders were undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .566.
The Commanders were winless (0-4) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Commanders were 7-1 (.875) when allowing less than 3 sacks last season — T-5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .622.
The Commanders were 5-3 (.625) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times last season — 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .249.
Additional Matchup Notes for Cincinnati Bengals vs. Washington Commanders
The Commanders were successful on 51.1% of rush attempts last season — best in NFL. The Bengals allowed a success rate of 48.2% on rush attempts last season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Commanders were successful on 48.2% of plays they ran last season — 4th-best in NFL. The Bengals allowed a success rate of 45.5% last season — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Commanders were successful on 57.9% of pass attempts on play action passes last season — 5th-best in NFL. The Bengals pressured opposing QBs on 17.4% of pass attempts on play action passes last season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Bengals were successful on just 36.4% of rush attempts on play action passes last season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Commanders allowed a success rate of just 40.0% on rush attempts on play action passes last season — T-4th-best in NFL.
The Bengals ran 23.5% offensive plays in the red zone in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL. The Commanders allowed their opponent to run 19.1% of plays in the red zone in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Bengals were 3-1 (.750) when rushing for 120 or more yards last season — 8th-best in NFL. The Commanders allowed an average of 138.0 rushing yards per game last season — 4th-worst in NFL.
Cincinnati Bengals Offense: Important Stats
The Bengals ran successful plays on 50% of pass attempts on passes when their QB was pressured last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 32%.
The Bengals threw for 43 TDs last season — most in NFL.
The Bengals averaged 289.3 passing yards per game (4,918/17) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 233.5.
The Bengals ran successful plays on 60% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
Washington Commanders Offense: Important Stats
The Commanders ran 22% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
The Commanders scored on 55% of their drives (46/84) in the 2nd half last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 37%.
The Commanders converted fourth downs on 20 of 23 plays (87%) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 57%.
The Commanders ran successful plays on 86% of pass attempts against a stacked front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
Cincinnati Bengals Defense: Important Stats
20% of the plays ran against the Bengals were in the red zone in the 1st quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
The Bengals defense allowed successful plays on 52% of plays in the 1st quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Bengals defense has allowed an average of 1.6 yards after contact per carry (914 carries) since the 2023 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: 1.9.
The Bengals defense allowed successful plays on 48% of plays on motion plays last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
Washington Commanders Defense: Important Stats
The Commanders defense allowed a passer rating of just 10.5 when the opposing QB was scrambling (43 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 64.8.
The Commanders defense has allowed 1.9 TD passes per game (64/34) since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.4.
The Commanders defense allowed scores on 56% of opponent drives (43/77) in the 2nd half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 37%.
32% of the plays ran against the Commanders were in the red zone in the 1st half in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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