- The Bears are a 1-point home underdog against the Cowboys.
- The Bears have lost 12 of their last 13 games.
- My Bears vs Cowboys prediction is the Dallas Cowboys Moneyline (-105).
The Bears aim to avoid a 0-3 start as short home favorites against the Cowboys.Â
Chicago was blown out by the Lions 52-21 in Week 2. The loss dropped Chicago to 0-2 SU & ATS to begin the season.Â
Dallas found itself in a tight battle with the Giants in Week 2. Ultimately, Brandon Aubrey helped guide the Cowboys to a 40-37 overtime win against Dallas’ division foes.Â
Bet on Bears vs. Cowboys and other NFL matchups with up-to-date NFL odds.Â
Bears vs. Cowboys: NFL Week 3 Odds
Bears vs. Cowboys Prediction
Based on Jaylon Johnson’s injury for the Bears and the Cowboys’ passing success to begin the season, my Bears vs Cowboys prediction is the Cowboys Moneyline (-105).Â
I question how the Bears limit Dallas’ offense without their All-Pro cornerback.Â
Through two games, the Cowboys sit fifth in offensive DVOA while Chicago ranks 32nd in the corresponding defensive category, per ftnfantasy.com.Â
Some of Chicago’s record can be attributed to playing a potent Lions offense. However, Week 3 poses a similar challenge for Chicago’s defense, which allowed 334 passing yards.Â
Historically, Dallas produces strong results when the offense succeeds.Â
Dating back to the 2021 season, the Cowboys finished 32-5 when the team cleared 25.5 points, including 5-0 last season.Â
Conversely, Dallas finished 12-24 over the same span when scoring 25 or fewer points, including 4-16 over the last 20 qualifying games.Â
The over/under for this game immediately suggests oddsmakers are expecting points to flow. As of Monday afternoon, the total sits at 49.5 points.Â
Some napkin math suggests Dallas’ team total closes around 25.5 or 26.5 points.Â
Plus, the Bears have struggled to pick up wins without Johnson. Albeit in only a 12-game sample, the Bears finished 3-9 SU in 12 contests without their corner.Â
Given the glaring edge for Dallas’ offense, I like the Cowboys to hand Chicago a third straight defeat on Sunday.Â
Betting Bears vs. Cowboys: NFL Public Betting
| Team | % of ATS Bets | % of ATS Money | % of ML Bets | % of ML Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cowboys | 79% | 87% | 63% | 72% |
| Bears | 21% | 13% | 37% | 28% |
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