Bears vs Vikings Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 11

• The Vikings are -3 point favorites vs the Bears
• Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
• Watch this game on FOX

The Chicago Bears (6-3-0) visit U.S. Bank Stadium to take on the Minnesota Vikings (4-5-0) on Nov. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Minneapolis, MN.

The Vikings are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).

The Bears vs. Vikings Over/Under is 48.5 total points for the game.

Bet now on Vikings vs Bears & all NFL games with BetMGM

Bears vs. Vikings Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Bears vs. Vikings Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Vikings will win this game with 59.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Bears vs Vikings Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bears will cover the spread with 53.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

Bet now on Vikings vs Bears and all NFL games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bears players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Bears Player Prop Bets Today

• Olamide Zaccheaus has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 86% ROI)
• Cole Kmet has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.20 Units / 37% ROI)
• D’Andre Swift has hit the Longest Rush Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.95 Units / 64% ROI)
• Caleb Williams has hit the Interceptions Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+5.65 Units / 27% ROI)
• Rome Odunze has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+4.10 Units / 21% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Vikings players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Vikings Player Prop Best Bets Today

• T.J. Hockenson has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.95 Units / 67% ROI)
• Jordan Mason has hit the Carries Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.70 Units / 59% ROI)
• Will Reichard has hit the Field Goals Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+5.60 Units / 29% ROI)
• Aaron Jones has hit the Carries Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.35 Units / 34% ROI)
• Jalen Nailor has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.85 Units / 59% ROI)

Bears Best Bets:

• The Chicago Bears have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.35 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Chicago Bears have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.80 Units / 63% ROI)
• The Chicago Bears have covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.40 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Chicago Bears have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.80 Units / 47% ROI)
• The Chicago Bears have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 away games (+4.80 Units / 44% ROI)

Vikings Best Bets:

• The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.85 Units / 61% ROI)
• The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.87 Units / 54% ROI)
• The Minnesota Vikings have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 games (+4.25 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 19 games (+3.60 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.35 Units / 14% ROI)

Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Bears are 5-4 (+0.65 Units / 6.6% ROI).

• Bears are 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.2 Units / 35.44% ROI
• Bears are 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 17.17% ROI
• Bears are 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / ROI

Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Vikings are 4-5 (-1.6 Units / -16% ROI).

• Vikings are 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.85 Units / 7.2% ROI
• Vikings are 7-2 when betting the Over for +4.8 Units / 48.48% ROI
• Vikings are 2-7 when betting the Under for -5.7 Units / -57.58% ROI

Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings

The Vikings have a third down conversion rate of just 31.8% this season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Bears defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 34.0% this season — 3rd-best in NFL.

The Vikings have a third down conversion rate of just 32.7% in the first half this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Bears defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 29.5% in the first half this season — 2nd-best in NFL.

The Vikings have a third down conversion rate of just 28.6% against the blitz this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Bears defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 20.0% when blitzing this season — best in NFL.

Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears

The Vikings defense have allowed 10.4 yards per play on contested throws this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.6.

The Vikings defense have allowed -0.08 epa per play open coverage this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.40.

The Vikings defense has blitzed 138 times this season — most in NFL.

The Vikings defense have allowed 6.2 yards per play with tight coverage this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 3.3.

Additional Matchup Notes for Chicago Bears vs. Minnesota Vikings

The Vikings defense have allowed 10.4 yards per play on contested throws this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.6.

The Vikings defense have allowed -0.08 epa per play open coverage this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.40.

The Vikings defense has blitzed 138 times this season — most in NFL.

The Vikings defense have allowed 6.2 yards per play with tight coverage this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 3.3.

The Vikings have a third down conversion rate of just 31.8% this season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Bears defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 34.0% this season — 3rd-best in NFL.

The Vikings have a third down conversion rate of just 32.7% in the first half this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Bears defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 29.5% in the first half this season — 2nd-best in NFL.

The Vikings have a third down conversion rate of just 28.6% against the blitz this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Bears defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 20.0% when blitzing this season — best in NFL.

Chicago Bears Offense: Important Stats

The Vikings have a third down conversion rate of just 31.8% this season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Bears defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 34.0% this season — 3rd-best in NFL.

The Vikings have a third down conversion rate of just 32.7% in the first half this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Bears defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 29.5% in the first half this season — 2nd-best in NFL.

The Vikings have a third down conversion rate of just 28.6% against the blitz this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Bears defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 20.0% when blitzing this season — best in NFL.

Minnesota Vikings Offense: Important Stats

The Vikings defense have allowed 10.4 yards per play on contested throws this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.6.

The Vikings defense have allowed -0.08 epa per play open coverage this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.40.

The Vikings defense has blitzed 138 times this season — most in NFL.

The Vikings defense have allowed 6.2 yards per play with tight coverage this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 3.3.

Chicago Bears Defense: Important Stats

The Vikings have a third down conversion rate of just 31.8% this season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Bears defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 34.0% this season — 3rd-best in NFL.

The Vikings have a third down conversion rate of just 32.7% in the first half this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Bears defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 29.5% in the first half this season — 2nd-best in NFL.

The Vikings have a third down conversion rate of just 28.6% against the blitz this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Bears defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 20.0% when blitzing this season — best in NFL.

Minnesota Vikings Defense: Important Stats

The Vikings defense have allowed 10.4 yards per play on contested throws this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.6.

The Vikings defense have allowed -0.08 epa per play open coverage this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.40.

The Vikings defense has blitzed 138 times this season — most in NFL.

The Vikings defense have allowed 6.2 yards per play with tight coverage this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 3.3.

Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,500? Bet now on Vikings vs Bears and all NFL games with BetMGM

More NFL Betting Predictions:

• Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
• Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
• Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
• Passing Yards Prop Predictions
• Receptions Made Prop Predictions
• Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
• Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
• QB Interception Prop Predictions
• Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
• NFL Betting Previews: Every Game

More NFL Odds at BetMGM

Take your football entertainment to the next level with NFL betting at the online sportsbook.

From futures like Chiefs Super Bowl odds, Lions odds to win the division, or Ravens playoff odds, to weekly odds like spreads, moneylines, and over/under totals, there’s something for everyone.

And with the best sportsbook promotions, you could land a welcome offer, sports betting Odds Boost, or a Parlay Boost! You can also check out NFL picks and predictions and updated Super Bowl predictions throughout the year.

Log in to your BetMGM account today — or sign up for a new account via the online sportsbook or BetMGM iOS app or BetMGM Android app — to start betting!